St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-20.8#356
Pace72.6#90
Improvement-1.3#276

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#342
First Shot-7.7#341
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#137
Layup/Dunks+0.9#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#324
Freethrows-2.1#286
Improvement-2.7#340

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#330
First Shot-8.0#350
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#51
Layups/Dunks-13.9#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#35
Freethrows+0.5#161
Improvement+1.5#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 1.1% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 16.4% 9.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 35.4% 25.6% 36.4%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 46 - 156 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 28   @ Wisconsin L 58-81 1%     0 - 1 -7.3 -6.8 +0.0
  Nov 13, 2021 323   St. Thomas L 73-91 50%     0 - 2 -30.9 -13.6 -16.9
  Nov 18, 2021 92   @ Penn St. L 59-74 3%     0 - 3 -6.3 -4.7 -2.7
  Nov 23, 2021 79   @ St. John's L 70-76 3%     0 - 4 +3.5 -0.9 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2021 328   McNeese St. L 59-71 42%     0 - 5 -22.7 -17.5 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2021 284   N.C. A&T L 67-73 27%     0 - 6 -12.5 -6.9 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2021 235   @ Fordham L 46-68 14%     0 - 7 -23.0 -24.2 +1.7
  Dec 05, 2021 254   Hartford L 55-68 32%     0 - 8 -20.8 -25.2 +5.0
  Dec 08, 2021 208   @ St. Peter's L 60-74 9%    
  Dec 11, 2021 356   @ Delaware St. W 75-71 63%    
  Dec 19, 2021 218   Longwood L 64-72 24%    
  Dec 23, 2021 225   @ Umass Lowell L 65-78 11%    
  Dec 29, 2021 240   @ Merrimack L 56-68 14%    
  Dec 31, 2021 347   Central Connecticut St. W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 06, 2022 231   St. Francis (PA) L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 293   Mount St. Mary's L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 120   @ Wagner L 59-78 4%    
  Jan 17, 2022 268   LIU Brooklyn L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 21, 2022 326   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 23, 2022 258   @ Bryant L 71-82 16%    
  Jan 27, 2022 291   @ Sacred Heart L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 29, 2022 120   Wagner L 62-75 13%    
  Feb 03, 2022 326   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 05, 2022 291   Sacred Heart L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 10, 2022 268   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 347   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 17, 2022 293   @ Mount St. Mary's L 60-68 23%    
  Feb 19, 2022 231   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 24, 2022 258   Bryant L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 240   Merrimack L 59-65 31%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.3 0.8 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.1 5.2 2.0 0.1 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.2 7.2 2.6 0.2 18.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.7 8.8 7.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 25.2 9th
10th 0.9 3.4 6.9 7.2 4.5 1.3 0.1 24.2 10th
Total 0.9 3.4 8.0 12.2 15.4 16.1 14.3 11.2 8.1 5.0 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 61.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 20.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.1 0.7
11-7 1.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.1 1.3
10-8 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 2.8
9-9 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.9
8-10 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 11.2% 11.2
6-12 14.3% 14.3
5-13 16.1% 16.1
4-14 15.4% 15.4
3-15 12.2% 12.2
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%