TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#215
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#297
Pace71.7#103
Improvement-0.2#193

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#194
First Shot-0.6#190
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#191
Layup/Dunks+4.7#48
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement-0.8#240

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
First Shot-3.0#275
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#108
Layups/Dunks-2.0#246
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#116
Freethrows-2.5#319
Improvement+0.6#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.7% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 57.5% 68.0% 43.4%
.500 or above in Conference 71.0% 80.6% 58.0%
Conference Champion 4.2% 6.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 2.2%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round6.7% 8.5% 4.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 413 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 21   @ Purdue L 73-90 4%     0 - 1 +0.5 +3.3 -2.1
  Nov 12, 2024 65   @ New Mexico L 81-100 9%     0 - 2 -6.9 +0.0 -3.8
  Nov 14, 2024 218   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 40%     0 - 3 -1.1 +4.7 -5.8
  Nov 21, 2024 328   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 82%     1 - 3 -8.4 +3.8 -12.2
  Nov 23, 2024 334   Le Moyne W 82-61 83%     2 - 3 +8.0 +5.1 +3.3
  Nov 30, 2024 357   Prairie View W 109-74 91%     3 - 3 +17.8 +21.3 -5.0
  Dec 05, 2024 280   Lamar L 61-65 74%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -13.4 -13.7 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2024 197   Stephen F. Austin W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 15, 2024 162   @ Hawaii L 69-74 31%    
  Dec 21, 2024 6   @ Houston L 57-81 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 227   @ SE Louisiana L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 06, 2025 344   @ New Orleans W 81-74 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 166   UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-79 54%    
  Jan 13, 2025 297   Northwestern St. W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 314   @ Incarnate Word W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 20, 2025 351   @ Houston Christian W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 223   Nicholls St. W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 27, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 166   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-82 32%    
  Feb 03, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 197   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 10, 2025 280   @ Lamar W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   Incarnate Word W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 17, 2025 351   Houston Christian W 81-68 87%    
  Feb 22, 2025 95   @ McNeese St. L 67-78 16%    
  Feb 24, 2025 223   @ Nicholls St. L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 227   SE Louisiana W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 03, 2025 344   New Orleans W 84-71 87%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.6 3.6 0.9 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 5.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.0 7.9 10.5 13.0 13.8 13.5 11.7 8.6 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 73.1% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 48.0% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 18.2% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 46.4% 46.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 36.6% 36.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.3% 30.0% 30.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 3.1% 29.5% 29.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2
15-5 5.6% 23.4% 23.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 4.3
14-6 8.6% 15.3% 15.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 7.3
13-7 11.7% 9.8% 9.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 10.6
12-8 13.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 12.7
11-9 13.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 13.4
10-10 13.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.7
9-11 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.4
8-12 7.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 5.0% 5.0
6-14 3.0% 3.0
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.7 1.9 93.0 0.0%