TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.3 199
Expected Predictive Rating -2.6 210
Pace 67.4 217
Improvement +0.6 164

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 283 D D+ C- C+ C+
Defense C+ 113 C C+ B+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 D- 51% 334 +1.3 130
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 47 D+ 35% 289 +0.1 170
Three Pointers 30% 350 D+ 31% 284 -6.5 347
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 163 D- -5.2 339
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 329
Second Chance C- 29.1% 222 D+ 0.95 294 D+ 0.28 256
Turnovers C- 17.3% 209
Freethrows B 0.35 48 F+ 66% 342 C+ 0.23 135
Total Offense D+ -4.2 283

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 315 D 14.0% 325
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 176 D+ 6.6% 278
Three Pointers C- 82% 242 D+ 1.3% 289
Total D- 46% 339 F 8.4% 361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 C- 60% 245 +3.7 303
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 203 C+ 36% 112 -0.7 135
Three Pointers 37% 286 B- 32% 83 -3.2 54
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 247 C+ -0.6 156
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 171
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 116 C+ 0.99 118 C+ 0.29 102
Turnovers B+ 20.2% 30
Freethrows F 0.41 363 C 73% 201 F 0.30 361
Total Defense C+ +1.9 113

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 123 D+ 9.0% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 219 C 5.0% 159
Three Pointers D+ 88% 291 D 0.2% 328
Total C+ 54% 134 C- 4.9% 229

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 261 16.8 91
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 154 0.18 218
Improvement +1.0 #132 -0.4 #219

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 234 200 166
Conference Record 11 - 11 12 - 10 13 - 9
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.2 15.2
.500 or above 12% 48% 7%
.500 or above in Conference 98% 100% 97%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 4% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 41 - 7
Quad 32 - 43 - 11
Quad 411 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 32 @SMU L 58 - 69 4% -2  30% 0 - 1 B- +7 F -11 F D- B+ A+ +18 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 223 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 43% -13  0% 0 - 2 D -8 B- +5 D- C A F -14 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @Kansas L 46 - 77 2% -19  0% 0 - 3 D -9 F -18 F D- D+ A +9 D- B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 62 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10% -9  4% 0 - 4 C- -4 F+ -9 F D C A- +7 B- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 82 @Xavier L 67 - 88 13% -12  11% 0 - 5 D -11 F+ -9 F D A C -1 C B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 207 @Lamar W 57 - 49 40% +1  55% 1 - 5 1 - 0 B +8 F+ -8 D- C F A+ +18 A- A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 98 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 16% -1  44% 1 - 6 1 - 1 C -1 D -4 D- B- D B- +3 C- C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 265 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 73% -3  29% 1 - 7 1 - 2 D- -14 C- -2 B C- D- F -13 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 209 New Orleans W 83 - 69 64% +6  67% 2 - 7 2 - 2 B +8 B- +5 F A+ B B +4 B B A-
 Sat, Jan 3 150 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 30% +1  59% 3 - 7 3 - 2 B- +7 D+ -3 D- A D A +11 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 294 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 59% +8  80% 4 - 7 4 - 2 B+ +11 B- +4 C- B+ B- A- +8 B+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 280 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 56% +7  91% 4 - 8 4 - 3 C- -5 C+ +3 C+ D- A- F+ -8 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 304 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 61% +5  88% 5 - 8 5 - 3 B- +6 F -11 F B F A+ +17 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 281 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 77% +14  99% 6 - 8 6 - 3 C+ +2 F+ -9 C- C+ F A +11 C B A+
 Mon, Jan 19 83 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 27% -6  13% 6 - 9 6 - 4 D- -12 F -11 D F A- D+ -4 B+ F A
 Sat, Jan 24 275 @Incarnate Word W 79 - 71 55% +10  94% 7 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 C +1 C B+ F B- +3 F+ B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 150 UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 64 52% -3  26% 7 - 10 7 - 5 D- -12 F -15 F F+ D- B- +3 B+ D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 294 Houston Christian W 73 - 71 78% +0  45% 8 - 10 8 - 5 D -9 C+ +3 B- F C- F -11 F A+ B
 Mon, Feb 2 275 Incarnate Word L 69 - 71 76% -4  5% 8 - 11 8 - 6 D- -12 F+ -9 D- F C- C- -3 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 265 @Nicholls St. W 83 - 76 52% +2  74% 9 - 11 9 - 6 C+ +4 B+ +8 A- C B- D+ -4 C- F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 9 209 @New Orleans L 78 - 84 OT 41% +1  52% 9 - 12 9 - 7 D+ -6 F -14 F D- F A +9 B- A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 207 Lamar W 76 - 63 63% +12  94% 10 - 12 10 - 7 B- +7 C +1 D+ C- A+ B+ +6 B- A+ A+
 Mon, Feb 16 98 Stephen F. Austin L 68 - 78 33% -13  0% 10 - 13 10 - 8 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ D+ C+ D -6 D A F+
 Sat, Feb 21 83 @McNeese St. L 64 - 76 12%
 Mon, Feb 23 281 @SE Louisiana W 66 - 64 56%
 Sat, Feb 28 280 Northwestern St. W 72 - 64 76%
 Mon, Mar 2 304 East Texas A&M W 73 - 64 80%
Totals 12 - 15 12 - 10 -2 D+ -4 F D- C+ C+ +2 D+ F+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- D+ D+ D- 46% 50% 30% C+ D C- D+ D+ C- B F+ C+ C+ C- C+ B- C+ 43% 20% 37% D+ C C+ C+ C+ B+ F C F
1.03 51% 35% 31% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.0 .28 17% .35 66% .23 1.06 60% 36% 32% -1 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .41 73% .25
Nov
6		 SMU F F F C- F 29% 23% 48% C F C+ F D- B+ B+ D B- A+ A- A+ A A+ 40% 30% 30% C+ A+ A- A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21 1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38
Nov
8		 Tarleton St. B- F D+ B+ F+ 45% 17% 38% B- D- B D C A A+ F B+ F A+ F F F 37% 29% 34% B F D- F F C- F D F
1.11 48% 38% 39% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.9 .35 19% .52 62% .32 1.23 40% 58% 50% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.4 .50 19% .66 78% .52
Nov
11		 Kansas F D F F F 55% 22% 24% A- F F C D- D+ C F D+ A F F+ C+ F+ 30% 21% 49% C+ D- A- C- B+ A+ F A+ D
0.65 47% 17% 8% -20 +1 0.64 14% 0.8 .12 17% .22 54% .12 1.08 92% 44% 33% +11 -1 1.23 26% 1.3 .33 25% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Oklahoma St. F+ F+ F F F 55% 13% 33% A- F D- C+ D C A+ B+ A+ A- F D+ A+ B- 47% 10% 43% C- B- C- D D+ A+ F F F
0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31 1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36
Nov
28		 Xavier F+ F+ D F F 48% 30% 22% C F C- F D A B- F D+ C B A+ F C+ 36% 20% 44% D- C B- A B+ F F A+ C-
0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 0 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17 1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20
Dec
6		 Lamar F+ F+ B D D- 35% 25% 40% D+ D- F A+ C F C+ C- C+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A- 28% 39% 33% B A- A+ F+ A- B B+ B+ B+
0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28 0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12
Dec
17		 Stephen F. Austin D D- F D- F+ 50% 17% 33% B+ D- A- D B- D A+ F A- B- D+ A+ F C 45% 29% 26% D+ C- B+ D- C+ A- F A+ F
0.94 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.86 38% 0.9 .35 19% .48 56% .27 1.08 59% 18% 50% +1 -1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .72 55% .40
Dec
29		 Nicholls St. C- C- B A+ B 45% 16% 39% C+ B D+ C+ C- D- F C- F F B+ F F F+ 50% 7% 43% F F D+ F F B+ D F F
1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21 1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29
Dec
31		 New Orleans B- F F+ C F 60% 23% 17% B- F A+ B A+ B B+ B- A- B B C- B B- 36% 34% 30% A- B C+ B+ B A- F A+ F
1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32 1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36
Jan
3		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ F F A+ F 58% 24% 18% B D- B A+ A D A+ F A- A B+ F A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% B- A+ B- A+ A C F C- F
1.00 42% 27% 50% -7 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29 0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33
Jan
5		 Houston Christian B- C A+ D C- 46% 23% 31% D+ C- A+ D+ B+ B- D+ C C- A- D- B+ A+ B+ 35% 20% 45% C+ B+ D D- D- A+ F D- F
1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19 0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27
Jan
10		 Northwestern St. C+ A- A D B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F+ C D- A- A+ F A- F+ D D F F 55% 21% 24% F F D F F A+ F D- F
1.15 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 26% 1.1 .29 13% .48 64% .31 1.16 61% 44% 50% +9 +1 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 24% .46 79% .37
Jan
12		 East Texas A&M F F B+ F F 36% 32% 32% F F D+ A+ B F A+ D+ A+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% D A+ F+ B- D+ B F A F
0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31 0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25
Jan
17		 SE Louisiana F+ F A+ A D- 60% 12% 28% A+ C- C- B C+ F A F B- A B A+ D- B- 57% 19% 23% F C A- D+ B A+ B+ A- A-
0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31 0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16
Jan
19		 McNeese St. F B C+ F D+ 30% 35% 35% F D F F F A- A+ F A- D+ C B+ A+ A- 51% 24% 24% C B+ F F F A F A- F
0.90 64% 38% 23% -4 -2 0.89 17% 0.8 .13 20% .51 67% .34 1.17 58% 33% 22% -6 0 0.92 50% 1.4 .68 19% .54 69% .38
Jan
24		 Incarnate Word C F+ A A+ C 55% 20% 25% C+ C A- C+ B+ F A+ F A+ B- D+ D- D F+ 39% 18% 43% D- F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ C+
1.15 50% 50% 50% +4 +1 1.13 39% 1.2 .45 22% .67 58% .39 1.03 58% 44% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 0.7 .22 25% .29 60% .17
Jan
26		 UT Rio Grande Valley F F F F F 41% 38% 21% F+ F B F F+ D- A+ F A+ B- F C- A+ B+ 29% 20% 51% B B+ F+ C+ D B+ F B F
0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51 1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36
Jan
31		 Houston Christian C+ A- F B B- 60% 13% 28% A- B- B F F C- A+ F+ A F C- D F F 29% 24% 46% B+ F F+ A+ A+ B F F F
1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28 1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35
Feb
2		 Incarnate Word F+ C F C+ D 43% 28% 30% F+ D- F F F C- B C+ B C- F A+ F F 52% 18% 30% F F A+ A+ A+ B F C- F
1.05 60% 31% 36% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.7 .16 17% .42 74% .31 1.08 65% 25% 46% +7 +1 1.18 20% 0.5 .10 18% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Nicholls St. B+ B B+ A+ A- 53% 19% 28% B- A- F A+ C B- A- B+ A D+ F C- A C- 39% 16% 45% D+ C- B+ F F+ D+ D- C D
1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 New Orleans F B+ F F F 47% 19% 34% C+ F D D D- F A+ D A+ A C C+ A+ B 56% 24% 20% F+ B- A+ C+ A A+ F C F
0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38 0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65
Feb
14		 Lamar C F+ F+ A D 58% 16% 27% A D+ C- C- C- A+ A+ C A+ B+ C- C- A+ B 39% 37% 24% C- B- A A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.13 50% 29% 42% -3 +2 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 10% .58 69% .40 0.94 56% 40% 20% -5 -2 0.88 26% 0.5 .13 22% .52 85% .44
Feb
16		 Stephen F. Austin C- D A+ F D 44% 16% 40% B- D+ C D- D+ C+ F+ B- D- D C+ C- F D+ 48% 20% 32% F D A- A+ A F+ F D+ F
1.01 50% 56% 23% -7 +1 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 16% .21 75% .16 1.16 54% 40% 44% +3 +1 1.10 27% 0.7 .19 9% .43 69% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.7 15.3 4.3 23.3 3rd
4th 0.0 5.3 30.5 20.1 0.5 56.5 4th
5th 0.5 7.8 6.5 0.3 15.1 5th
6th 1.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.3 16.1 41.0 35.7 4.8 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6
13-9 35.7% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 34.5
12-10 41.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 40.2
11-11 16.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 16.0
10-12 2.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.0 97.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.7 1.3 35.5 51.3 11.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.2%
Lose Out 1.1%