Wagner
Northeast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#155
Expected Predictive Rating+19.0#9
Pace63.4#316
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#129
First Shot+5.1#42
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#349
Layup/Dunks+7.4#14
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#266
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement+0.1#160

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
First Shot-2.5#257
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#66
Layups/Dunks+2.7#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#193
Freethrows-5.9#352
Improvement-0.2#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.9% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.2% 55.3% 44.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.0 14.4
.500 or above 95.3% 99.5% 94.9%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 99.3% 96.0%
Conference Champion 55.4% 71.7% 54.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four2.5% 0.4% 2.6%
First Round44.1% 54.9% 43.2%
Second Round4.1% 8.7% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 32 - 23 - 4
Quad 416 - 419 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 258   Hartford W 77-59 80%     1 - 0 +9.7 +0.8 +9.5
  Nov 13, 2021 79   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 58-44 20%     2 - 0 +23.6 +6.4 +19.4
  Dec 01, 2021 27   @ Seton Hall L 61-76 8%    
  Dec 04, 2021 236   @ Stony Brook W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 08, 2021 68   @ Penn St. L 58-67 19%    
  Dec 20, 2021 356   Delaware St. W 84-61 98%    
  Dec 23, 2021 222   @ Fairfield W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 29, 2021 292   @ St. Francis (PA) W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 31, 2021 290   @ Mount St. Mary's W 64-59 67%    
  Jan 06, 2022 229   Bryant W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 08, 2022 311   Sacred Heart W 75-63 85%    
  Jan 15, 2022 333   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-63 91%    
  Jan 17, 2022 329   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-65 90%    
  Jan 21, 2022 275   @ LIU Brooklyn W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 23, 2022 238   @ Merrimack W 61-59 55%    
  Jan 27, 2022 292   St. Francis (PA) W 76-65 82%    
  Jan 29, 2022 333   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 03, 2022 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-62 85%    
  Feb 05, 2022 275   LIU Brooklyn W 77-67 80%    
  Feb 10, 2022 290   Mount St. Mary's W 67-56 83%    
  Feb 12, 2022 238   Merrimack W 64-56 74%    
  Feb 17, 2022 311   @ Sacred Heart W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 348   Central Connecticut St. W 77-59 94%    
  Feb 24, 2022 329   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 26, 2022 229   @ Bryant W 76-75 53%    
Projected Record 18 - 7 14 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.3 9.4 13.6 13.1 9.8 3.9 55.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 4.8 6.3 5.2 1.9 0.3 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.9 3.1 5.0 7.7 10.7 12.3 14.9 15.6 13.4 9.8 3.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 3.9    3.9
17-1 100.0% 9.8    9.7 0.1
16-2 97.9% 13.1    12.3 0.9
15-3 87.5% 13.6    10.9 2.6 0.1
14-4 62.9% 9.4    5.8 3.2 0.4 0.0
13-5 34.8% 4.3    1.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 0.0
12-6 11.1% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 55.4% 55.4 44.5 9.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 3.9% 80.7% 79.9% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 3.8%
17-1 9.8% 69.6% 69.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 3.0
16-2 13.4% 61.8% 61.8% 13.8 0.0 0.7 2.1 3.6 1.8 0.1 5.1
15-3 15.6% 52.1% 52.1% 14.3 0.2 1.1 3.4 3.1 0.4 7.5
14-4 14.9% 46.7% 46.7% 14.8 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.1 8.0
13-5 12.3% 38.7% 38.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 1.5 7.5
12-6 10.7% 33.7% 33.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.8 7.1
11-7 7.7% 29.6% 29.6% 15.7 0.1 0.6 1.6 5.4
10-8 5.0% 20.8% 20.8% 15.9 0.1 0.9 4.0
9-9 3.1% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.9
8-10 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
7-11 0.9% 0.9
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 45.2% 45.2% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 3.2 7.2 12.3 13.9 7.6 54.8 0.1%