Wagner
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#344
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#275
Pace66.5#236
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#360
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#277
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 18.3% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.7 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 27.7% 55.7% 26.6%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 82.8% 66.9%
Conference Champion 16.4% 27.8% 16.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.1% 7.8%
First Four10.0% 13.2% 9.8%
First Round6.4% 11.8% 6.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 411 - 1011 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 74-103 2%     0 - 1 -16.4 +2.3 -16.4
  Nov 07, 2025 100   @ Seton Hall L 54-73 4%    
  Nov 11, 2025 170   @ Fordham L 64-77 11%    
  Nov 16, 2025 295   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-76 26%    
  Nov 22, 2025 76   @ Georgetown L 58-79 3%    
  Nov 26, 2025 239   @ Manhattan L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 02, 2025 46   @ Maryland L 56-82 1%    
  Dec 17, 2025 353   Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 02, 2026 347   @ Chicago St. L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 04, 2026 334   Stonehill W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 08, 2026 352   St. Francis (PA) W 69-65 63%    
  Jan 10, 2026 361   Mercyhurst W 67-60 71%    
  Jan 17, 2026 362   @ New Haven W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 19, 2026 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 23, 2026 350   @ Le Moyne L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 25, 2026 289   @ LIU Brooklyn L 60-67 27%    
  Jan 29, 2026 310   Central Connecticut St. W 64-63 50%    
  Jan 31, 2026 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-66 61%    
  Feb 05, 2026 350   Le Moyne W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 07, 2026 310   @ Central Connecticut St. L 60-66 31%    
  Feb 12, 2026 289   LIU Brooklyn L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 14, 2026 334   @ Stonehill L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 19, 2026 361   @ Mercyhurst W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 21, 2026 352   @ St. Francis (PA) L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 26, 2026 362   New Haven W 71-64 71%    
  Feb 28, 2026 347   Chicago St. W 71-67 62%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 2.8 3.6 3.7 2.7 1.5 15.6 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 4.6 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 3.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.5 3.5 0.7 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.1 0.6 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.7 0.6 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.1 5.9 8.0 9.3 10.8 11.5 11.4 10.1 8.4 6.3 4.6 2.9 1.5 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.7% 1.5    1.4 0.1
15-1 93.6% 2.7    2.5 0.3 0.0
14-2 79.9% 3.7    2.8 0.9 0.0 0.0
13-3 57.5% 3.6    2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 33.6% 2.8    1.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 11.5% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.6% 15.6 10.2 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.5% 44.3% 44.3% 18.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8
15-1 2.9% 39.4% 39.4% 18.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.8
14-2 4.6% 32.6% 32.6% 17.6 0.1 1.6 3.1
13-3 6.3% 26.3% 26.3% 17.4 0.0 1.8 4.6
12-4 8.4% 21.6% 21.6% 16.6 0.0 1.8 6.6
11-5 10.1% 14.5% 14.5% 16.3 0.0 1.5 8.6
10-6 11.4% 8.3% 8.3% 16.3 1.0 10.4
9-7 11.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.6 11.0
8-8 10.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.5 10.4
7-9 9.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 9.0
6-10 8.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 7.8
5-11 5.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.8
4-12 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-13 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-14 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 17.0 0.0 0.6 11.0 89.2 0.0%