Syracuse
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
4  Justyn Knight SO 30:56
9  Colin Bennie SO 31:06
11  Martin Hehir SR 31:10
72  Philo Germano SO 31:41
79  Joel Hubbard JR 31:43
113  Dan Lennon SR 31:54
161  Joe Kush SR 32:07
227  Shawn Wilson SO 32:21
418  Juris Silenieks SR 32:49
444  TJ Hornberger FR 32:52
National Rank #3 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #1 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Nationals


National Champion 18.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 91.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 99.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 95.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Justyn Knight Colin Bennie Martin Hehir Philo Germano Joel Hubbard Dan Lennon Joe Kush Shawn Wilson Juris Silenieks TJ Hornberger
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown 09/25 445 31:34 31:39 31:38 32:19 32:00 32:08 32:19 32:53
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 307 31:10 31:14 31:12 32:15 31:42 32:02 32:30
ACC Championships 10/30 223 30:47 30:56 31:04 31:37 32:23 31:52 32:12 32:24 32:47 32:54
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 407 31:34 31:35 31:36 32:05 31:57 31:57 32:13
NCAA Championship 11/21 117 30:36 30:46 30:50 31:21 31:23 31:33 32:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 3.1 163 18.0 25.8 24.3 14.9 8.1 4.0 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.0 27 95.7 4.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justyn Knight 100% 7.9 0.2 3.8 12.0 10.5 8.6 5.9 5.2 4.2 3.8 3.7 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0
Colin Bennie 100% 14.4 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.9 6.1 5.5 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.4 2.5 2.2 2.5 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.1
Martin Hehir 100% 18.4 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.2 3.8 4.6 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.6 2.3 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.4
Philo Germano 100% 70.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4
Joel Hubbard 100% 74.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4
Dan Lennon 100% 99.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Joe Kush 100% 130.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Justyn Knight 1.0 55.1 18.3 11.3 5.4 2.8 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Colin Bennie 1.9 20.3 32.6 18.2 8.2 6.0 3.2 2.7 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Martin Hehir 2.4 16.1 26.1 22.3 10.7 6.2 4.2 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Philo Germano 8.3 0.0 0.5 2.8 7.2 10.2 9.8 8.8 8.8 7.5 5.8 5.9 4.6 4.4 3.0 2.8 2.8 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.0 0.8
Joel Hubbard 9.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 8.4 9.5 9.0 8.6 7.1 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.8 4.2 3.7 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7
Dan Lennon 12.7 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.8 5.2 6.4 6.7 7.3 7.6 6.1 6.3 5.1 5.5 4.2 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.7
Joe Kush 17.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.5 4.9 6.1 6.0 6.4 6.0 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 3.6 3.1 2.5 2.8 2.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 95.7% 100.0% 95.7 95.7 1
2 4.2% 100.0% 4.2 4.2 2
3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 100.0% 95.7 4.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.7% 1.0 1.0
BYU 97.8% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 97.6% 2.0 2.0
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Florida State 91.5% 3.0 2.7
Michigan State 90.9% 1.0 0.9
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Furman 88.3% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina St. 87.9% 2.0 1.8
Washington 77.6% 1.0 0.8
Columbia 70.8% 1.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 65.9% 1.0 0.7
Tulsa 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 64.4% 1.0 0.6
Virginia Tech 61.7% 1.0 0.6
Indiana 61.1% 1.0 0.6
Oklahoma 60.8% 1.0 0.6
Boise State 57.0% 1.0 0.6
Illinois 47.5% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Wisconsin 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Portland 2.2% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 2.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 20.2
Minimum 10.0
Maximum 27.0