Lapel
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #115
New Haven Semi-State Rank #34
Delta Regional Rank #4
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/22 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/18 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 880 808 1,040 851 966 1,127 1,067 926 815 864 963
Team Adjusted Rating 808 818 851 966 912 903 926 815 864 963
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
10  Luke Combs 11 15:49 15:26 15:22 15:25 16:55 15:18 16:01 16:09 15:38 15:57 16:02 16:04
1,054  Carson Huber 11 18:24 18:26 18:13 19:00 18:32 18:36 18:33 18:35 18:22 18:07 18:09 18:30
1,101  Jesse McCurdy 11 18:27 18:00 18:19 18:23 18:48 18:03 18:31 18:57
1,388  Killian O'Connor 11 18:49 18:51 18:48 18:26 19:12 19:04 18:51 18:51 18:50 18:54 18:29 19:06
Luke Rich 11 19:14 18:48 18:47 18:54 19:27 19:09 19:34 19:14 19:17 19:05 19:29 19:16
Collin Stewart 11 20:36 21:18 21:20 21:17 20:53 20:51 21:10 20:30 20:37 20:15 20:56
Tyler Wooldridge 10 21:53 21:16 21:17 21:50 21:30 22:00 22:22 22:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 18.9 503 0.4 11.7 88.0
Regionals 100% 4.6 150 52.3 36.4 9.4 1.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.0 141 99.8 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 99.9% 11.7 0.1 1.0 1.8 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.2 6.8 6.7 7.1 5.2 6.3 5.2 5.0 3.5 4.5 3.6 3.0 2.4 2.6 2.1 2.6 1.8 0.8 1.1 99.9% 99.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 4.3 4.0 7.7 13.3 19.9 16.2 12.8 10.0 5.4 4.6 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Carson Huber 100% 160.3 0.0%
Jesse McCurdy 100% 161.7 0.0%
Killian O'Connor 100% 167.9 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 100% 1.0 52.7 39.5 5.4 1.9 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Carson Huber 100% 43.0 78.2%
Jesse McCurdy 100% 44.3 70.5%
Killian O'Connor 100% 52.7 16.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Combs 1.0 52.6 39.8 5.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
Carson Huber 31.2 0.2
Jesse McCurdy 31.8
Killian O'Connor 35.3