Avon
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #23
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #9
Ben Davis Regional Rank #3
South Putnam Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.4%
Advance to State Finals 8.9%
Advance to Semi-State 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 367 494 397 619 432 494 415 437 342
Team Adjusted Rating 347 361 354 388 402 415 437 342
State RankRunnerSeason Rating THSB State Preview Brown County Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
27  Nathaniel Beeler 12 16:10 15:57 16:04 15:52 15:52 16:34 16:17 16:15 16:24
165  Awet Hailu 12 16:52 17:31 16:53 17:22 16:39
226  Nicholas James 12 17:02 17:04 17:18 17:03 17:06 16:57 16:51
257  Sam Crook 11 17:07 17:29 17:13 17:14 17:08 17:09 17:10 16:55
329  Griffin O'Neill 10 17:16 17:00 17:07 17:19 17:07 17:26 17:35 17:23
410  Jake Shepherd 12 17:25 17:16 17:20 17:26 17:40
486  Justin Loh 12 17:33 17:34 17:39 17:30
737  Garrison Hirst 11 17:55 17:54 19:26 18:05 17:37
871  Cameron O'Mara 11 18:07 18:17 18:09 17:58 18:25 17:57
879  Ethan Maharas 12 18:07 17:49 18:48 18:28 17:27 18:50 17:54
880  Logan Shaffer 11 18:07 18:19 18:06 18:00 18:11
911  Ben Hochgesang 11 18:10 18:01 18:23
1,005  Connor O'Neill 12 18:18 18:28 17:59 18:16 18:30
1,260  Levi Beeler 10 18:36 18:52 19:04 18:36 18:18 18:28
1,301  Sam Sublette 10 18:38 18:56 18:34 18:44 18:48 18:20
1,314  Aiden Shaw 9 18:39 19:33 18:53 18:19 18:43 18:24
1,347  Dawson LeMay 9 18:41 18:46 18:35 18:40 18:49 18:42
1,363  Jeffrey Hays 10 18:42 18:34 18:40 18:52
1,452  Cullen Broda 9 18:49 18:53 18:34 18:27 19:23 18:39 19:23
Wes Mills 9 19:12 19:22 19:07 19:21 19:45 18:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 8.9% 14.2 359 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2
Semi-State 99.8% 9.3 246 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.0 6.2 12.8 16.9 17.8 15.7 12.2 7.5 5.2 2.5 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.3 94 0.8 8.0 63.2 20.8 7.1 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.2 51 1.7 77.0 21.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathaniel Beeler 92.2% 31.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 2.3 1.3 2.0 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.1 2.3 2.3 91.4% 92.2%
Awet Hailu 9.1% 92.3 0.2% 0.6%
Nicholas James 9.0% 120.3 0.1% 0.2%
Sam Crook 8.9% 132.5 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin O'Neill 8.9% 147.7 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Shepherd 8.9% 166.3 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Loh 8.9% 177.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathaniel Beeler 100% 13.5 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.1 2.6 3.0 4.0 4.7 6.2 5.4 6.2 6.8 5.8 5.9 5.7 4.1 4.3 3.7 4.7 3.4 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.5 100.0% 100.0%
Awet Hailu 100.0% 56.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 80.0% 99.5%
Nicholas James 99.9% 71.1 0.1 40.0% 95.7%
Sam Crook 99.8% 78.6 20.0% 90.9%
Griffin O'Neill 99.8% 93.9 0.0% 74.2%
Jake Shepherd 99.8% 109.2 0.0% 46.6%
Justin Loh 99.8% 121.0 0.0% 24.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathaniel Beeler 100% 4.9 1.0 4.3 11.6 16.7 18.6 13.7 11.5 8.0 5.8 4.1 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Awet Hailu 100% 16.5 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 2.0 4.4 5.9 9.1 10.2 11.2 11.4 8.8 10.3 7.0 4.5 3.9 2.6 2.0 0.9 100.0%
Nicholas James 100% 20.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 2.4 2.5 5.8 6.8 7.4 8.5 8.8 8.5 8.0 6.4 5.5 5.6 100.0%
Sam Crook 100% 23.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.8 3.4 5.0 6.2 6.7 7.0 6.8 6.1 6.6 7.2 100.0%
Griffin O'Neill 100% 29.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.2 2.0 3.2 3.3 4.9 5.0 5.3 100.0%
Jake Shepherd 100% 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.5 2.1 100.0%
Justin Loh 100% 40.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathaniel Beeler 2.6 5.6 25.5 33.0 17.3 10.4 6.4 1.5 0.6
Awet Hailu 8.4 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.4 14.3 18.3 31.8 14.0 7.7 4.5 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Nicholas James 10.4 0.1 0.3 2.4 4.7 11.5 23.3 17.8 12.7 10.7 7.3 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2
Sam Crook 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.0 5.5 10.6 16.7 15.7 13.2 12.2 9.0 5.5 4.0 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
Griffin O'Neill 14.7 0.2 0.6 2.1 5.0 10.0 10.8 12.4 13.4 12.3 10.0 6.5 5.4 4.2 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3
Jake Shepherd 17.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 5.4 7.7 9.6 12.4 11.8 10.1 9.1 7.9 6.1 3.9 3.8 2.8
Justin Loh 20.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 2.0 3.5 6.6 9.0 9.4 9.7 10.2 8.5 9.2 7.6 7.0