All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
THSB State Preview |
Guerin Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Indianapolis City |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
402 |
445 |
463 |
459 |
654 |
465 |
752 |
439 |
418 |
333 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
445 |
396 |
426 |
479 |
440 |
424 |
439 |
410 |
333 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
THSB State Preview |
Guerin Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Indianapolis City |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 35 |
Nick Hruskoci |
12 |
16:13 |
15:43 |
15:31 |
16:22 |
|
16:19 |
|
16:25 |
16:14 |
16:04 |
16:39 |
| 121 |
Jackson Carlile |
11 |
16:44 |
17:07 |
|
16:54 |
|
17:06 |
|
16:55 |
17:10 |
16:32 |
|
| 256 |
Grant Ferguson |
12 |
17:07 |
17:09 |
17:24 |
|
17:39 |
17:10 |
|
17:12 |
16:57 |
16:55 |
|
| 342 |
Collin Monesmith |
11 |
17:18 |
17:34 |
17:19 |
17:20 |
17:34 |
17:21 |
|
17:15 |
17:10 |
17:05 |
|
| 449 |
Connor Carlile |
9 |
17:30 |
17:54 |
18:55 |
18:35 |
17:42 |
|
17:46 |
18:28 |
|
17:17 |
|
| 560 |
Liam Eifert |
9 |
17:39 |
17:41 |
17:25 |
17:30 |
17:41 |
|
18:13 |
17:37 |
|
|
|
| 579 |
Nathan Fiedeldy |
11 |
17:41 |
18:01 |
17:38 |
17:42 |
17:44 |
17:48 |
|
|
17:35 |
17:35 |
|
| 643 |
Jack Wajda |
10 |
17:47 |
18:28 |
18:00 |
18:05 |
18:03 |
|
17:53 |
17:37 |
17:50 |
17:34 |
|
| 669 |
Pj Avery |
11 |
17:50 |
18:02 |
|
17:52 |
17:39 |
|
17:48 |
|
17:53 |
|
|
| 699 |
Toby Bradshaw |
11 |
17:52 |
17:45 |
17:55 |
17:32 |
18:39 |
|
17:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 919 |
Kyle Pehlman |
11 |
18:11 |
18:02 |
19:13 |
17:43 |
18:04 |
|
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Nolan Clark |
10 |
19:14 |
19:40 |
19:04 |
18:58 |
19:52 |
|
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
2.2% |
14.9 |
368 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
34.3% |
9.0 |
242 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
7.7 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
3.7 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.8 |
153 |
|
|
0.8 |
9.4 |
24.2 |
48.8 |
13.7 |
3.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.9 |
83 |
0.1 |
17.2 |
75.0 |
7.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Hruskoci |
87.8% |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
87.5% |
87.8% |
| Jackson Carlile |
5.5% |
76.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.4% |
4.1% |
| Grant Ferguson |
2.2% |
124.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Collin Monesmith |
2.2% |
141.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Connor Carlile |
2.2% |
160.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Liam Eifert |
2.2% |
178.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Nathan Fiedeldy |
2.2% |
184.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Hruskoci |
100% |
15.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jackson Carlile |
92.1% |
45.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
88.0% |
91.6% |
| Grant Ferguson |
40.8% |
68.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.8% |
21.0% |
| Collin Monesmith |
34.8% |
85.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
4.1% |
| Connor Carlile |
34.3% |
104.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Liam Eifert |
34.3% |
119.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Nathan Fiedeldy |
34.3% |
122.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Hruskoci |
100% |
7.9 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
6.7 |
10.8 |
14.0 |
13.1 |
11.6 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jackson Carlile |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Ferguson |
100% |
37.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Collin Monesmith |
100% |
45.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Connor Carlile |
100% |
54.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.5% |
| Liam Eifert |
100% |
60.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.1% |
| Nathan Fiedeldy |
100% |
62.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Hruskoci |
3.4 |
0.6 |
5.1 |
35.7 |
20.5 |
13.9 |
13.2 |
6.2 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jackson Carlile |
10.4 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
5.1 |
9.2 |
13.0 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
11.6 |
9.3 |
7.3 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Grant Ferguson |
17.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
4.3 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
11.3 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
11.3 |
8.2 |
7.0 |
5.9 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
| Collin Monesmith |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
8.9 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
| Connor Carlile |
26.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
| Liam Eifert |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
| Nathan Fiedeldy |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
|
