All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/31 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/7 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
268 |
259 |
150 |
246 |
473 |
365 |
273 |
243 |
797 |
422 |
215 |
276 |
299 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
259 |
150 |
246 |
249 |
282 |
273 |
243 |
265 |
387 |
215 |
276 |
299 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 24 |
Joel Mumaw |
12 |
16:03 |
15:52 |
15:35 |
15:49 |
16:14 |
|
16:08 |
16:07 |
|
16:33 |
16:00 |
16:07 |
16:05 |
| 33 |
Asher Propst |
11 |
16:11 |
16:11 |
15:50 |
16:11 |
|
15:53 |
16:01 |
16:11 |
|
16:36 |
16:08 |
16:16 |
16:17 |
| 44 |
Caden Click |
10 |
16:16 |
16:37 |
16:25 |
16:22 |
|
16:39 |
16:17 |
16:16 |
|
17:07 |
16:13 |
16:07 |
16:10 |
| 176 |
Luke Shinneman |
12 |
16:57 |
17:11 |
16:05 |
17:14 |
|
17:38 |
17:21 |
16:55 |
|
17:07 |
16:40 |
16:58 |
17:24 |
| 295 |
Alec Moor |
10 |
17:20 |
17:49 |
17:39 |
18:50 |
|
17:20 |
17:05 |
17:01 |
|
|
17:03 |
17:27 |
17:32 |
| 312 |
Jack Strong |
9 |
17:24 |
18:22 |
17:21 |
17:33 |
|
|
17:53 |
17:02 |
|
|
17:10 |
17:50 |
17:16 |
| 368 |
Alex Cole |
12 |
17:30 |
17:30 |
17:10 |
17:33 |
|
17:12 |
17:30 |
17:20 |
|
|
|
17:31 |
18:36 |
| 375 |
Ronnie Neal |
9 |
17:31 |
17:10 |
16:42 |
16:59 |
|
17:11 |
17:48 |
18:34 |
|
|
17:49 |
|
|
| 385 |
Sam Rinker |
10 |
17:32 |
16:48 |
17:14 |
17:05 |
|
18:21 |
18:47 |
17:39 |
17:18 |
|
|
|
|
| 502 |
Caden Jackson |
9 |
17:46 |
17:54 |
17:35 |
18:17 |
17:33 |
|
17:31 |
17:38 |
|
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 509 |
Ashton Burns |
11 |
17:47 |
17:57 |
17:35 |
18:09 |
|
|
18:04 |
17:15 |
|
17:47 |
|
|
|
| 658 |
Jackson Umthum |
9 |
18:01 |
|
17:46 |
17:54 |
|
|
18:08 |
17:56 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 739 |
Grant Cummings |
10 |
18:10 |
18:12 |
17:53 |
18:20 |
18:01 |
17:43 |
18:22 |
18:14 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 760 |
Cohen Hartley |
11 |
18:12 |
17:54 |
18:56 |
18:17 |
17:57 |
19:32 |
17:59 |
18:14 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 770 |
Luke Bodinus |
9 |
18:12 |
17:50 |
|
18:57 |
17:36 |
18:10 |
18:04 |
18:20 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
|
| 879 |
Luke Mumaw |
10 |
18:22 |
18:31 |
18:27 |
18:03 |
|
18:20 |
18:41 |
18:20 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 919 |
Simon Adams |
11 |
18:25 |
18:55 |
18:07 |
18:42 |
|
18:15 |
18:06 |
18:25 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 946 |
J.D. Wax |
11 |
18:28 |
19:12 |
18:37 |
18:46 |
|
18:33 |
18:22 |
18:04 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 949 |
Levi Call |
12 |
18:28 |
18:31 |
18:29 |
18:16 |
|
|
18:22 |
18:46 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,037 |
Brendan Uggen |
12 |
18:35 |
18:29 |
19:15 |
18:20 |
|
18:32 |
18:58 |
18:28 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,084 |
Bradyn Livingston |
9 |
18:40 |
18:31 |
19:13 |
18:18 |
18:50 |
|
|
18:00 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,232 |
Jude Naville |
9 |
18:49 |
19:12 |
19:14 |
18:50 |
|
18:41 |
18:47 |
18:40 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,350 |
Jack Shinneman |
9 |
18:59 |
18:59 |
18:56 |
18:54 |
|
18:48 |
19:13 |
18:59 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
|
Henry Wasemann |
11 |
19:11 |
19:13 |
|
18:51 |
|
19:27 |
19:16 |
19:11 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ian Pigors |
12 |
19:13 |
19:35 |
19:33 |
19:31 |
|
19:20 |
18:57 |
19:04 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
|
Quinton Swift |
11 |
19:29 |
20:00 |
18:47 |
19:12 |
|
20:27 |
19:35 |
18:34 |
19:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Liam Kenley |
9 |
19:30 |
20:08 |
20:55 |
19:43 |
17:28 |
19:08 |
19:28 |
19:27 |
19:47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bode Barnes |
9 |
19:33 |
20:21 |
19:31 |
|
16:58 |
20:48 |
19:24 |
19:46 |
19:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cooper Hedges |
9 |
19:42 |
20:44 |
19:57 |
20:21 |
18:10 |
20:01 |
19:27 |
19:39 |
19:37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ryan Clark |
9 |
20:17 |
20:50 |
21:02 |
20:08 |
18:15 |
19:42 |
|
|
21:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sayne Jeong |
11 |
20:29 |
22:03 |
21:46 |
21:04 |
18:08 |
20:19 |
20:50 |
20:10 |
20:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Levi Denniston |
10 |
21:14 |
22:12 |
21:48 |
21:36 |
17:59 |
21:08 |
21:48 |
21:05 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Aiden Larson |
10 |
21:25 |
|
20:56 |
|
18:13 |
20:45 |
22:14 |
22:13 |
22:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
Trevor Myers |
12 |
22:01 |
22:09 |
18:59 |
|
|
22:18 |
22:34 |
22:02 |
22:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rylan Glenn |
10 |
28:55 |
|
32:23 |
35:00 |
18:00 |
32:24 |
|
30:00 |
29:01 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
9.5 |
286 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.7 |
17.7 |
17.3 |
14.7 |
11.0 |
9.6 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.2 |
163 |
|
0.3 |
2.7 |
24.1 |
39.3 |
20.4 |
8.7 |
3.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.3 |
93 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
73.7 |
18.9 |
5.0 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
56 |
0.7 |
80.8 |
17.4 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Mumaw |
100% |
26.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
|
99.0% |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
94.9% |
| Caden Click |
100% |
47.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
88.8% |
| Luke Shinneman |
100% |
127.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
158.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
162.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Alex Cole |
100% |
170.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Mumaw |
100% |
9.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
7.8 |
8.9 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
8.5 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
13.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Caden Click |
100% |
16.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Shinneman |
100% |
59.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
69.2% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
91.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.6% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
95.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.6% |
| Alex Cole |
100% |
103.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Mumaw |
100% |
6.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.3 |
7.6 |
16.2 |
16.6 |
12.4 |
10.5 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
9.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
4.7 |
8.5 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
9.8 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Caden Click |
100% |
11.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
9.2 |
9.0 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
7.8 |
6.6 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Shinneman |
100% |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
43.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
45.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Alex Cole |
100% |
50.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Mumaw |
3.8 |
0.1 |
2.6 |
11.5 |
45.5 |
22.1 |
10.3 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Asher Propst |
5.2 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
2.3 |
13.4 |
29.2 |
23.0 |
13.6 |
7.8 |
4.2 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caden Click |
6.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
4.8 |
14.4 |
27.4 |
19.8 |
13.0 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Shinneman |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
13.3 |
18.9 |
16.5 |
11.6 |
8.4 |
6.1 |
4.2 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
| Alec Moor |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
| Jack Strong |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
7.0 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
| Alex Cole |
26.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
5.9 |
7.7 |
8.5 |
|
