Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #9
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 5.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 63.1%
Advance to State Finals 83.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional
Date 8/21 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/7 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 261 245 143 237 457 348 257 229 777 405 208
Team Adjusted Rating 245 143 237 245 266 257 229 258 372 208
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional
18  Joel Mumaw 12 15:59 15:50 15:34 15:48 16:13 16:05 16:05 16:31 15:59
22  Asher Propst 11 16:04 16:09 15:49 16:10 15:51 15:58 16:09 16:34 16:06
66  Caden Click 10 16:24 16:34 16:24 16:20 16:36 16:15 16:13 17:04 16:11
179  Luke Shinneman 12 16:55 17:07 16:04 17:11 17:34 17:17 16:52 17:04 16:38
308  Alec Moor 10 17:18 17:45 17:36 18:45 17:16 17:01 16:57 17:00
318  Ronnie Neal 9 17:20 17:06 16:40 16:56 17:07 17:44 18:29 17:46
323  Alex Cole 12 17:20 17:26 17:07 17:29 17:08 17:26 17:16
364  Jack Strong 9 17:26 18:17 17:18 17:29 17:49 16:59 17:08
373  Sam Rinker 10 17:27 16:45 17:11 17:02 18:17 18:41 17:35 17:16
502  Caden Jackson 9 17:42 17:49 17:32 18:12 17:30 17:27 17:34 18:05
555  Ashton Burns 11 17:47 17:52 17:32 18:05 17:59 17:11 17:43
622  Jackson Umthum 9 17:55 17:43 17:50 18:03 17:52 18:12
728  Grant Cummings 10 18:06 18:07 17:50 18:16 17:57 17:39 18:17 18:09 18:17
747  Luke Bodinus 9 18:07 17:46 18:52 17:32 18:08 17:59 18:15 18:22
782  Cohen Hartley 11 18:10 17:49 18:51 18:13 17:54 19:26 17:55 18:09 17:51
859  Luke Mumaw 10 18:17 18:25 18:23 17:59 18:15 18:36 18:15 18:12
921  Simon Adams 11 18:21 18:49 18:03 18:37 18:10 18:01 18:20 18:42
973  Levi Call 12 18:25 18:26 18:25 18:11 18:17 18:41 18:20
1,002  J.D. Wax 11 18:27 19:06 18:33 18:41 18:31 18:16 17:59 18:17
1,050  Brendan Uggen 12 18:32 18:24 19:10 18:15 18:27 18:52 18:23 18:24
1,091  Bradyn Livingston 9 18:35 18:26 19:08 18:13 18:46 17:55 19:05
1,258  Jude Naville 9 18:46 19:05 19:09 18:45 18:39 18:41 18:34 18:39
1,347  Jack Shinneman 9 18:54 18:53 18:51 18:49 18:46 19:07 18:53 19:02
Henry Wasemann 11 19:04 19:07 18:46 19:23 19:10 19:05 19:05
Ian Pigors 12 19:11 19:29 19:28 19:25 19:16 18:51 18:58 19:02
Quinton Swift 11 19:19 19:52 18:42 19:07 20:23 19:28 18:28 19:53
Liam Kenley 9 19:27 20:01 20:48 19:37 17:25 19:05 19:22 19:21 19:42
Bode Barnes 9 19:29 20:14 19:25 16:56 20:43 19:18 19:39 19:23
Cooper Hedges 9 19:40 20:36 19:51 20:14 18:06 19:57 19:21 19:33 19:32
Ryan Clark 9 20:11 20:41 20:55 20:02 18:11 19:38 21:26
Sayne Jeong 11 20:29 21:53 21:38 20:56 18:04 20:14 20:42 20:03 20:15
Aiden Larson 10 21:07 20:49 18:10 20:40 22:04 22:03 22:30
Levi Denniston 10 21:11 22:02 21:40 21:28 17:55 21:03 21:38 20:57 21:07
Trevor Myers 12 21:51 21:59 18:54 22:11 22:23 21:52 22:03
Rylan Glenn 10 28:44 32:01 34:32 17:57 32:05 29:38 28:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 83.6% 8.9 281 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.0 8.9 12.9 12.8 13.0 9.7 7.2 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 5.2 161 0.1 1.4 9.3 21.1 31.6 20.1 9.4 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.2 90 0.5 16.2 54.6 21.4 6.5 0.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.2 56 0.7 75.1 23.4 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 99.8% 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.3 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.9 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.6 3.2 3.4 2.8 3.0 3.2 99.0% 99.8%
Asher Propst 99.0% 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.7 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.2 93.9% 98.9%
Caden Click 87.1% 63.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 21.5% 70.8%
Luke Shinneman 83.6% 124.8 0.0% 2.1%
Alec Moor 83.6% 160.4 0.0% 0.0%
Ronnie Neal 83.6% 162.2 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Cole 83.6% 163.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 100% 7.4 0.8 3.4 7.5 9.6 11.8 12.1 11.8 9.6 7.0 5.7 4.5 3.4 3.0 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Asher Propst 100% 9.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 4.8 6.6 9.2 10.3 9.8 8.3 8.8 7.1 5.8 4.4 4.3 3.1 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 100.0%
Caden Click 100% 22.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.5 3.3 3.9 4.0 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.4 4.2 4.8 4.1 4.9 4.0 99.8%
Luke Shinneman 100% 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 66.7%
Alec Moor 100% 94.1 0.0 7.4%
Ronnie Neal 100% 96.6 6.2%
Alex Cole 100% 97.9 5.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 100% 5.8 0.0 0.9 4.7 10.2 17.2 20.6 18.1 12.7 7.6 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Asher Propst 100% 7.1 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 9.7 13.8 19.4 18.0 13.5 8.2 4.8 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Caden Click 100% 12.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 7.2 10.3 11.3 10.8 9.4 7.7 6.9 6.3 4.9 4.9 3.6 3.0 2.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Luke Shinneman 100% 28.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.0 2.8 3.5 3.6 4.4 5.4 100.0%
Alec Moor 100% 44.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ronnie Neal 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Alex Cole 100% 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 3.7 0.0 5.8 17.0 36.8 24.8 10.5 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.2
Asher Propst 4.6 0.0 1.8 7.4 20.1 35.5 20.8 8.6 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Caden Click 7.9 0.0 1.1 11.5 20.8 18.4 14.9 10.7 7.7 5.9 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Luke Shinneman 15.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.7 6.9 11.7 20.9 15.9 10.2 7.3 5.3 4.0 3.3 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.6
Alec Moor 23.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.6 4.3 5.1 5.5 6.2 6.6 7.5 8.2 9.5 9.0
Ronnie Neal 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.9 3.7 4.7 5.8 5.7 7.6 7.8 8.7 9.6
Alex Cole 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 2.5 3.2 4.7 4.5 5.4 6.7 8.0 8.2 10.3