Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #28
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #12
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Noblesville Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional
Date 8/21 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/7 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 430 321 422 733 398 355 357 613 446
Team Adjusted Rating 321 422 682 398 355 357 471 446
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Hamilton County THSB State Preview Indiana Catholic Championship RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional
93  Ethan Hines 11 16:34 16:15 18:26 17:54 16:28 16:24 16:26 16:19
198  Jack Weber 11 17:00 16:50 17:01 18:20 16:40 16:43 16:36 17:48
268  Ben Grissom 10 17:13 16:58 16:59 18:05 17:15 16:55 17:02 17:26 17:11
297  Johnny King 10 17:17 17:14 17:24 17:19 17:10 17:15 17:13 17:11
303  Evan McNeany 12 17:18 16:41 17:03 17:55 17:08 17:04 17:00 17:47 18:02
374  Christian Geary 12 17:27 17:03 16:53 17:55 17:33 17:58 17:38 17:45 17:09
584  Carson Hess 9 17:50 17:55 17:59 17:59 17:49 17:39 17:39
697  Luke Moster 9 18:02 17:31 17:45 17:37 19:27 18:13 18:31
707  Patrick Mcparland 10 18:03 18:23 18:21 18:05 17:48 18:08 17:42
818  William Gebhardt 9 18:13 18:25 17:48 17:54 18:07 18:28 18:12 18:42
1,179  Luke Woods 9 18:41 18:34 18:41 18:46 18:49
1,265  Nathan Traub 11 18:47 18:12 18:52 18:38 18:30 18:59 21:07 19:00
1,357  Luke Ross 9 18:55 18:54 19:03 18:34 18:41 19:46
John Museck 11 19:07 19:08 20:22 19:11 19:04 18:49 18:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.3 158 0.0 0.6 3.9 13.0 34.5 46.3 1.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.9 95 0.6 10.2 89.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hines 42.3% 74.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.3% 42.3%
Jack Weber 0.4% 96.5 0.4% 0.4%
Evan McNeany 0.0% 99.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hines 99.7% 31.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 99.7% 99.7%
Jack Weber 59.6% 62.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.6% 59.6%
Ben Grissom 14.8% 72.5 14.8% 14.8%
Johnny King 6.9% 77.0 6.9% 6.9%
Evan McNeany 5.7% 77.5 5.7% 5.7%
Christian Geary 0.7% 85.0 0.7% 0.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hines 100% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 3.1 4.4 5.4 6.4 7.6 6.6 7.2 7.1 7.3 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.7 4.7 3.4 3.3 100.0%
Jack Weber 100% 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.6 100.0%
Ben Grissom 100% 39.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 100.0%
Johnny King 100% 43.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Evan McNeany 100% 44.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Christian Geary 100% 51.5 0.1 100.0%
Carson Hess 100% 61.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hines 10.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.7 6.5 10.4 13.0 13.6 12.3 10.5 13.1 9.9 4.1 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jack Weber 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.0 1.9 3.2 7.2 15.4 17.1 11.8 9.3 8.0 6.9 6.0 3.8 2.7 2.4 1.3
Ben Grissom 20.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 5.4 7.5 8.8 8.8 9.0 8.5 9.5 9.4 7.6 7.0
Johnny King 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 4.3 5.8 6.7 7.0 7.8 8.8 8.5 9.9 9.3
Evan McNeany 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.4 5.1 5.8 7.1 7.3 8.3 9.6 9.9 9.1
Christian Geary 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.6 6.1 8.5
Carson Hess 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2