Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #20
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #9
Rushville Regional Rank #2
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 4.9%
Advance to State Finals 20.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Round Up Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Mason Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional
Date 8/15 8/25 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/25 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 358 299 624 327 377 355 360 360 370 430 341
Team Adjusted Rating 299 338 293 332 327 360 360 370 430 341
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Arabian Round Up Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Mason Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hancock County Hoosier Heritage Conference Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional
99  Austin Rush 12 16:36 16:29 16:11 16:28 16:32 16:35 16:35 16:38 16:51 17:01 16:30
112  Tristan Trevino 11 16:39 16:57 16:21 16:37 16:39 16:54 16:42
144  Joseph Blagrave 12 16:49 16:30 16:54 16:33 16:44 16:49 16:57 16:42 16:57 16:49 16:54
240  Sam Wilson 12 17:07 16:49 17:07 16:45 17:14 17:05 17:10 17:30 17:08 17:19 17:06
246  Reyce Morgan 12 17:09 16:42 16:55 16:43 16:50 17:15 17:15 17:12 17:53 18:17
256  Colin Strachman 10 17:11 17:31 17:54 17:10 17:18 17:00 17:21 17:06 16:59 17:20 16:56
520  Landon Willis 9 17:45 17:44 18:13 18:09 18:14 17:57 18:01 17:21 17:30
963  Xaiden Jenson 9 18:24 18:25 18:25 18:29 18:18 18:18 18:28
993  Ahmed Saleh 9 18:26 18:09 18:43 18:26 18:38 18:17 18:27
Brayden Strantz 9 19:25 20:57 19:31 19:15 18:52
Wilson Hoeppner 10 20:24 19:34 20:44 20:53 20:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 20.9% 12.8 348 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 8.3 230 0.1 0.4 2.2 6.3 11.9 15.6 17.6 18.1 13.5 8.5 4.2 1.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 46 40.0 46.3 13.7
Sectionals 100% 1.8 40 39.2 44.8 16.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 40.1% 77.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.2% 33.3%
Tristan Trevino 32.2% 82.4 0.0 14.3% 22.6%
Joseph Blagrave 21.9% 98.3 1.2% 4.6%
Sam Wilson 20.9% 132.2 0.0% 0.0%
Reyce Morgan 20.9% 133.6 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Strachman 20.9% 137.6 0.0% 0.0%
Landon Willis 20.9% 181.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 100% 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.9 100.0%
Tristan Trevino 100% 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.6 2.4 100.0%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Sam Wilson 100% 78.0 0.0 99.9%
Reyce Morgan 100% 80.1 99.9%
Colin Strachman 100% 83.4 99.9%
Landon Willis 100% 127.8 61.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 100% 3.0 3.1 21.6 25.1 16.8 10.8 7.2 4.9 3.5 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tristan Trevino 100% 3.9 1.5 11.3 19.1 19.4 13.6 9.2 6.9 5.7 4.3 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joseph Blagrave 100% 7.3 0.2 1.2 4.0 8.6 12.2 11.8 9.9 9.0 7.9 7.1 7.1 5.7 4.5 3.6 2.9 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sam Wilson 100% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 2.2 2.3 3.6 3.9 6.0 6.9 7.4 8.0 8.2 8.3 9.0 8.4 7.3 5.3 4.0 2.8 1.7 0.8 100.0%
Reyce Morgan 100% 16.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.8 2.9 3.7 5.1 5.9 7.3 7.4 7.9 8.7 9.3 8.7 8.4 5.9 4.2 3.6 2.3 1.1 100.0%
Colin Strachman 100% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.3 4.7 5.7 6.9 7.0 7.5 9.2 9.2 9.7 8.7 6.9 5.0 3.3 2.0 100.0%
Landon Willis 100% 28.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.9 5.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Rush 2.8 3.4 23.4 30.3 18.0 9.4 4.9 4.2 3.1 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.0
Tristan Trevino 3.5 1.3 13.5 23.9 24.2 12.7 7.2 6.0 4.9 2.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Joseph Blagrave 6.1 0.1 1.4 4.3 11.7 20.2 11.8 9.7 9.4 10.9 6.9 4.3 3.8 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
Sam Wilson 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.9 4.1 5.0 8.5 9.0 9.1 9.3 10.6 11.0 11.6 9.7 4.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Reyce Morgan 13.2 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.5 3.4 4.2 7.5 8.9 9.1 9.8 9.6 11.8 12.8 10.7 6.0 0.8 0.1 0.1
Colin Strachman 14.3 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.9 4.7 6.8 8.8 9.0 9.4 11.9 14.4 14.7 10.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Landon Willis 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 5.1 25.3 19.8 16.4 13.7 9.6 3.9 2.4