Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 9.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 66.8%
Advance to State Finals 89.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/21 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 232 239 145 223 463 333
Team Adjusted Rating 239 145 223 243 251
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
17  Joel Mumaw 12 15:52 15:49 15:34 15:46 16:13
27  Asher Propst 11 15:57 16:08 15:49 16:07 15:49
80  Caden Click 10 16:26 16:33 16:24 16:18 16:34
198  Ronnie Neal 9 16:57 17:05 16:40 16:53 17:05
222  Luke Shinneman 12 17:02 17:06 16:04 17:08 17:31
306  Sam Rinker 10 17:15 16:44 17:11 16:59 18:13
333  Alex Cole 12 17:19 17:25 17:08 17:27 17:05
458  Jack Strong 9 17:36 18:16 17:19 17:27
515  Alec Moor 10 17:42 17:44 17:37 18:42 17:13
546  Caden Jackson 9 17:44 17:48 17:33 18:09 17:30
558  Jackson Umthum 9 17:46 17:43 17:47
611  Ashton Burns 11 17:54 17:51 17:32 18:02
678  Grant Cummings 10 18:00 18:06 17:50 18:13 17:58 17:36
689  Luke Bodinus 9 18:01 17:44 18:49 17:33 18:13
818  Luke Mumaw 10 18:12 18:24 18:23 17:56 18:12
911  Cohen Hartley 11 18:21 17:48 18:52 18:10 17:55 19:22
928  Levi Call 12 18:23 18:25 18:25 18:08
930  Simon Adams 11 18:23 18:47 18:03 18:34 18:07
994  Brendan Uggen 12 18:28 18:22 19:10 18:12 18:24
1,118  Bradyn Livingston 9 18:37 18:25 19:09 18:10 18:47
1,193  J.D. Wax 11 18:42 19:04 18:34 18:38 18:36
1,270  Jack Shinneman 9 18:50 18:51 18:52 18:46 18:51
1,319  Jude Naville 9 18:54 19:04 19:10 18:41 18:44
Henry Wasemann 11 19:01 19:05 18:42 19:29
Quinton Swift 11 19:16 19:51 18:43 19:03 20:29
Liam Kenley 9 19:30 19:59 20:49 19:33 17:26 19:11
Bode Barnes 9 19:35 20:12 19:26 16:56 20:50
Cooper Hedges 9 19:55 20:34 19:51 20:10 18:07 20:03
Ryan Clark 9 19:59 20:40 20:55 19:58 18:12 19:44
Aiden Larson 10 20:12 20:50 18:10 20:46
Sayne Jeong 11 20:43 21:51 21:39 20:52 18:05 20:21
Levi Denniston 10 21:12 22:00 21:41 21:24 17:56 21:10
Trevor Myers 12 21:28 21:57 18:55 22:19
Rylan Glenn 10 28:03 32:02 34:22 17:58 32:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 89.0% 8.7 284 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.5 13.0 13.9 12.0 10.3 8.1 6.8 5.0 3.7 2.6 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 99.6% 4.4 154 0.4 3.2 30.4 27.9 17.6 9.5 6.0 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.5 84 1.2 65.7 20.4 8.6 3.6 0.4
Sectionals 100% 2.2 53 1.3 82.4 16.0 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 99.9% 19.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.3 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.0 2.8 3.2 2.6 2.8 98.9% 99.9%
Asher Propst 99.7% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.7 3.1 2.5 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.6 97.1% 99.5%
Caden Click 89.5% 77.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.8% 50.1%
Ronnie Neal 89.0% 135.0 0.0% 0.6%
Luke Shinneman 89.0% 143.4 0.0% 0.1%
Sam Rinker 89.0% 162.0 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Cole 89.0% 168.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 100% 7.2 0.3 5.2 10.4 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.8 8.0 7.2 6.6 5.2 3.9 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Asher Propst 100% 9.4 0.1 1.7 3.9 6.1 7.8 8.1 9.2 10.1 8.5 7.5 7.4 5.9 5.1 4.9 3.3 2.6 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Caden Click 100.0% 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.2 4.3 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.8 4.0 4.6 95.2% 99.6%
Ronnie Neal 99.6% 63.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 58.6%
Luke Shinneman 99.6% 71.5 0.0 0.0% 40.9%
Sam Rinker 99.6% 91.2 0.0% 11.1%
Alex Cole 99.6% 97.3 0.0% 5.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 100% 5.4 0.0 0.2 6.8 16.0 18.9 18.5 16.2 12.0 6.6 2.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Asher Propst 100% 6.8 0.1 2.1 6.2 12.4 15.5 18.0 16.4 14.0 8.1 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Caden Click 100% 14.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.1 8.3 10.4 10.2 10.1 9.4 7.7 7.1 5.1 5.3 4.4 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.4 1.0 100.0%
Ronnie Neal 100% 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.8 4.5 5.3 100.0%
Luke Shinneman 100% 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.9 100.0%
Sam Rinker 100% 42.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Alex Cole 100% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Mumaw 3.4 0.1 9.7 28.1 29.4 19.7 9.0 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Asher Propst 4.4 0.0 3.1 12.2 24.5 28.4 20.2 8.5 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
Caden Click 8.5 0.1 0.7 4.1 13.1 21.0 20.8 12.5 9.2 8.2 6.0 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ronnie Neal 15.6 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 3.4 5.6 10.3 17.1 15.4 10.8 8.2 7.3 4.9 3.6 3.2 2.1 1.7 0.9
Luke Shinneman 17.4 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.4 5.5 9.9 13.8 11.8 10.5 9.4 8.2 6.3 5.4 4.1 3.4 2.9
Sam Rinker 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.0 4.3 6.0 6.1 6.8 8.0 8.5 8.9 8.8 8.9
Alex Cole 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 3.8 3.7 5.2 6.0 6.5 7.4 8.7 9.1