North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #11
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 12th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 23.0%
Advance to State Finals 56.7%
Advance to Semi-State 94.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 286 295 305 349 346 1,017 280
Team Adjusted Rating 247 305 316 304 286 259
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational
13  Nate Killeen 11 15:48 15:38 15:52 16:24 15:44 15:47
81  Hayden Monk 12 16:26 16:43 16:29 16:16 16:13
135  Henry Deryke 12 16:41 16:31 16:36 16:40 16:53 16:39
189  Gabe Chambers 12 16:55 16:46 17:04
289  Andrew Charbonneau 11 17:12 17:01 17:14 17:12 17:25 17:17
335  Owen Osterman 10 17:19 17:11 17:08 18:58 17:04
416  Robert Fitzgerald 12 17:30 17:42 17:38 17:21 17:28 17:12
495  Grady Hadar 11 17:40 17:33 17:46 17:51 17:33 17:38
661  Emmett Tuason 10 17:59 17:58 17:53 17:46 17:59 18:12
696  Jackson Scott 10 18:01 18:06 17:51 18:18 18:09 17:57
947  Abel Flessner 9 18:24 18:46 18:24 18:29 18:25 17:49
963  Camden Rhoades 9 18:26 18:25 18:28 19:14 17:39
1,005  Sawyer Husain 12 18:28 18:23 18:54
1,049  Conor Burke 9 18:31 18:32
1,268  Justin Kelley 10 18:49 18:53 18:21 18:52 18:40 19:51
1,339  Elliott DeRyke 9 18:56 18:51 19:18 18:54 19:07 18:32
1,375  Alec Hueftle 10 19:00 18:35 19:02 20:47 18:49
Liell Lloyd-Hostetter 10 19:06 19:02 19:01 19:36 18:56
Max Dennis 12 19:26 19:20 20:22 18:52
Keubler Eli 9 19:42 19:50 19:42 18:53 20:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 56.7% 11.5 327 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.4 4.7 5.3 6.0 6.1 6.2 5.0 5.4 3.7 2.6 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 94.4% 6.1 188 0.0 0.5 6.9 14.4 18.1 16.7 13.6 11.5 7.8 3.5 1.1 0.3
Regionals 100% 3.5 101 0.2 21.0 36.5 21.3 15.4 4.8 0.8
Sectionals 100% 1.2 50 78.7 18.0 3.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 99.9% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.5 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.2 3.1 3.4 2.7 3.0 2.4 2.3 99.9% 99.9%
Hayden Monk 64.6% 72.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 18.1% 47.0%
Henry Deryke 56.9% 101.9 0.4% 8.9%
Gabe Chambers 56.7% 127.9 0.0% 0.8%
Andrew Charbonneau 56.7% 153.4 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Osterman 56.7% 163.8 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Fitzgerald 56.7% 175.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 100% 6.0 0.0 0.6 10.0 15.1 13.4 11.4 9.6 8.4 7.3 5.7 4.7 3.7 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Hayden Monk 99.9% 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.3 2.6 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.5 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.3 97.5% 99.7%
Henry Deryke 97.7% 42.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 59.6% 93.4%
Gabe Chambers 94.6% 61.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6% 61.5%
Andrew Charbonneau 94.4% 87.1 0.0% 14.6%
Owen Osterman 94.4% 97.0 0.0% 5.1%
Robert Fitzgerald 94.4% 110.7 0.0% 0.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 100% 4.8 0.1 0.7 12.3 22.9 18.7 14.8 12.4 8.9 5.4 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hayden Monk 100% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.5 5.7 7.3 9.4 9.3 9.8 9.5 8.8 7.5 5.8 5.2 3.6 3.9 2.4 2.1 1.4 0.9 100.0%
Henry Deryke 100% 21.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.7 4.7 6.1 6.8 6.6 7.0 7.6 7.6 7.5 6.8 6.2 100.0%
Gabe Chambers 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.6 2.6 3.6 4.1 5.0 5.8 100.0%
Andrew Charbonneau 100% 40.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Owen Osterman 100% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Robert Fitzgerald 100% 53.1 0.0 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 1.8 1.0 64.5 30.9 3.1 0.5 0.0
Hayden Monk 5.5 1.8 16.6 20.9 20.4 17.0 10.8 6.3 3.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Henry Deryke 8.9 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.9 10.9 14.6 15.9 16.6 13.2 8.0 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Gabe Chambers 12.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.8 7.8 11.5 13.5 14.4 11.9 9.8 7.4 4.8 4.1 2.7 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
Andrew Charbonneau 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.0 5.7 7.1 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.0 8.0 5.8 4.6
Owen Osterman 21.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.4 4.4 5.5 6.6 7.7 10.0 10.1 11.4 10.3 10.4
Robert Fitzgerald 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.4 4.6 5.1 7.2 10.2 13.0