Richmond
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #120
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #35
Rushville Regional Rank #9
Connersville Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Richmond Invitational Hare and Hounds Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational Centerville Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational North Central Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
Date 8/21 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/9 9/11 9/14 9/18 9/21 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 955 980 980 977 981 964 956 951 899 894 974 1,035 987 1,023
Team Adjusted Rating 885 885 912 904 864 866 860 850 838 910 934 938 953
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Richmond Invitational Hare and Hounds Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational Centerville Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational North Central Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
575  Alex Orihuela 10 17:49 17:33 17:33 17:52 17:51 17:37 17:34 17:36 17:39 18:00 18:01 17:51 18:20 18:16
792  Ethan Miller 10 18:11
835  Ivan Orihuela 11 18:15 17:55 17:55 17:56 17:55 17:44 18:14 18:38 18:38 17:57 18:22 18:30 18:48 18:47
1,228  Xavier Ogle 9 18:44 19:37 19:37 19:00 19:09 19:12 18:38 18:41 18:16 18:30 18:26 18:43 18:30 18:28
Greyson Farmer 9 19:02 19:17 19:17 18:58 19:40 19:26 19:26 21:18 18:48 18:54 19:04 19:27 18:37 19:04
Ethan Newton 10 19:24 19:23 19:23 19:41 19:06 19:30 19:19 19:20 19:21 19:34 18:59 19:51 19:45
Alex Antrim 11 19:50 20:11 20:11 19:51 19:50 19:51 19:39 19:30 21:23 19:41 19:35 19:46
Noah McClain 11 19:58 22:09 20:38 19:59 19:53 20:16 19:38 19:31 19:47
Jack Ferrell 10 20:27 20:55 20:55 19:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.5 211 0.1 1.1 4.9 14.0 25.6 29.8 24.5
Sectionals 100% 4.3 108 0.3 5.1 18.9 31.0 34.0 10.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 52.9% 127.8 52.9% 52.9%
Ethan Miller 2.6% 140.0 2.6% 2.6%
Ivan Orihuela 1.0% 141.0 1.0% 1.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 100% 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.2 100.0%
Ethan Miller 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ivan Orihuela 100% 41.1 99.9%
Xavier Ogle 100% 65.4 89.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 9.7 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.3 9.0 15.0 23.7 30.6 7.0 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1
Ethan Miller 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.4 5.7 20.3 16.7 11.7 8.8 7.2 5.6 5.0 3.7 2.7 2.6 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.9
Ivan Orihuela 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.8 12.3 15.6 11.9 9.6 7.8 6.8 6.0 4.7 3.9 3.4 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.7
Xavier Ogle 30.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.3 3.8