Avon
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #14
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Ben Davis Regional Rank #2
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 25.1%
Advance to State Finals 69.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Brownsburg 4-Way (4k) THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 276 284 249 274 277 923 220
Team Adjusted Rating 284 249 274 277 276 220
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Brownsburg 4-Way (4k) THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
22  Jessica Hegedus 10 18:48 18:42 18:36 18:51 19:11 18:34
54  Hannah Taylor 11 19:22 19:00 19:31 19:29 19:21 19:08
133  Ava Watkins 9 20:00 19:52 19:52 19:57 20:09 20:03
201  Clare Wigger 12 20:19 20:23 20:17 20:21 20:18 20:01
277  Eve Schurr 9 20:41 21:15 20:37 20:32 20:29 20:41
288  Jaiden Davis 12 20:42 21:11 20:58 20:45 20:22 19:56
327  Emma Carew 12 20:50 21:04 20:12 20:50 21:10 20:39
500  Addy Walker 12 21:27 21:55 21:06 21:22 21:28 21:18
646  Lizzy Maharas 12 21:50 21:43 21:36 22:03
662  Bailey Nicholson 11 21:53 22:02 22:22 21:37 21:31
807  Savannah Hwang 9 22:15 22:08 22:11 22:34 22:07
1,120  Lauren Mosley 10 22:55 23:14 22:56 22:42
Haley Uberta 9 23:39 24:02 23:21
Isabella Larimer 10 24:01 24:11 23:52 24:21
Sophia Fallowfield 10 24:54 23:29 25:15 25:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 69.5% 11.7 327 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.3 3.0 5.1 5.8 6.6 7.7 7.2 7.0 7.2 5.7 4.0 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 6.2 196 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.0 16.2 48.4 21.7 6.3 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 57 2.6 95.9 1.5
Sectionals 100% 1.0 32 98.9 1.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 98.5% 24.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.2 94.9% 97.5%
Hannah Taylor 73.1% 53.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 11.7% 39.4%
Ava Watkins 69.5% 107.5 0.0% 0.7%
Clare Wigger 69.5% 134.0 0.0% 0.0%
Eve Schurr 69.5% 159.2 0.0% 0.0%
Jaiden Davis 69.5% 160.3 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Carew 69.5% 168.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 9.4 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.4 6.0 9.6 11.6 12.3 12.4 9.6 7.6 6.1 4.9 4.0 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Hannah Taylor 100% 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.1 3.0 3.8 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.4 3.8 4.3 3.6 3.9 3.6 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 55.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 72.2 100.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 94.1 100.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 95.6 100.0%
Emma Carew 100% 103.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 1.0 59.9 21.7 10.3 5.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Taylor 100% 4.9 0.3 6.2 11.6 14.9 18.0 13.6 10.9 7.6 6.4 4.0 2.5 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 3.3 4.5 5.9 7.1 9.1 10.5 11.7 11.8 10.7 8.9 6.5 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 17.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.8 4.2 5.5 8.5 11.4 14.2 16.0 13.2 9.3 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.6 100.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.2 10.2 11.4 14.3 14.1 12.7 10.3 100.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.7 4.5 7.2 10.6 13.0 15.5 13.4 11.2 100.0%
Emma Carew 100% 24.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.3 8.3 11.8 14.0 15.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 1.0 73.9 24.4 1.5 0.2
Hannah Taylor 2.7 0.5 15.9 49.4 21.2 9.3 2.8 0.7 0.2
Ava Watkins 6.5 0.0 0.4 5.8 12.9 20.9 21.8 19.2 13.7 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0
Clare Wigger 9.1 0.1 1.2 3.4 8.3 13.9 20.5 30.7 14.1 5.2 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.0
Eve Schurr 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.0 8.1 20.5 24.2 20.2 13.4 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jaiden Davis 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 6.4 17.5 23.3 22.0 15.8 7.4 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emma Carew 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 7.0 14.4 21.3 25.9 15.9 7.5 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0