Avon
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #15
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #7
Ben Davis Regional Rank #2
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 13.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Meet Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 9/4 9/11 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/5 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 295 312 283 288 960 237 288 423 1,131 278 349 313 392
Team Adjusted Rating 312 283 288 295 237 288 352 295 278 349 313 392
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Meet Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
29  Jessica Hegedus 10 19:01 18:48 18:52 19:14 18:37 18:36 18:54 18:59 19:31 19:37 19:12
81  Hannah Taylor 11 19:39 19:06 19:31 19:24 19:13 19:33 20:29 19:25 19:38 19:43 20:20
182  Clare Wigger 12 20:14 20:32 20:25 20:22 20:08 20:11 20:19 19:54 20:11 20:22
207  Ava Watkins 9 20:24 20:00 20:00 20:13 20:09 19:55 20:40 20:08 21:02 20:51 20:41
222  Jaiden Davis 12 20:28 21:22 20:49 20:27 20:03 20:57 20:42 20:27 21:30 20:17 21:12
268  Emma Carew 12 20:39 21:15 20:54 21:15 20:47 21:27 21:03 20:43 20:27 21:31
519  Eve Schurr 9 21:34 21:26 20:36 20:33 20:49 21:38 21:31 21:29 22:25 22:05 22:34
608  Addy Walker 12 21:47 22:08 21:28 21:35 21:27 21:49 22:11 21:58
709  Lizzy Maharas 12 22:04 21:55 22:10
814  Bailey Nicholson 11 22:19 22:14 21:42 21:38 23:13 22:35
1,030  Savannah Hwang 9 22:45 22:21 22:41 22:15 22:50 22:30 24:45
1,236  Lauren Mosley 10 23:12 23:29 23:04 22:51 23:26 23:40 22:47
Haley Uberta 9 23:47 24:12 23:30 23:49 24:07 23:24
Alexandra Thomas 9 24:01 24:21 24:57 23:57 23:11 23:39 24:32
Isabella Larimer 10 24:07 24:29 24:02 24:33 23:55 24:12 23:55
Sophia Fallowfield 10 25:39 23:45 25:27 25:31 26:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 14.5 365 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.3 5.4 7.6 8.8 10.8 11.9 12.1 11.1 7.9 5.2 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 6.3 190 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.6 12.6 29.6 43.5 6.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 49 30.4 67.5 2.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 30 97.8 2.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 96.2%
Hannah Taylor 100% 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 30.4%
Clare Wigger 100% 132.2 0.3%
Ava Watkins 100% 142.4 0.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 146.3 0.0%
Emma Carew 100% 155.0 0.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 186.7 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 9.6 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.0 3.7 7.1 13.6 15.1 12.3 9.4 7.2 5.8 4.1 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Hannah Taylor 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.7 3.5 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 58.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 68.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 72.9 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Carew 100% 83.5 100.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 128.9 96.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 100% 1.0 59.4 33.1 5.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Taylor 100% 4.3 0.2 5.3 21.6 19.3 14.8 12.1 9.3 6.8 4.4 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Clare Wigger 100% 12.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.4 4.9 6.5 7.9 8.3 8.9 8.5 8.8 8.3 7.2 6.6 5.4 4.1 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.9 6.0 6.4 8.1 7.8 8.5 8.6 8.9 8.1 7.4 5.6 3.7 2.6 1.4 1.0 100.0%
Jaiden Davis 100% 17.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.6 3.2 4.0 5.0 5.8 7.3 8.2 8.7 9.2 9.6 8.8 8.1 5.9 4.0 2.5 1.6 100.0%
Emma Carew 100% 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.2 3.4 4.4 5.7 7.3 8.7 10.5 11.5 11.6 9.1 6.8 5.1 100.0%
Eve Schurr 100% 33.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Hegedus 1.0 61.6 36.4 2.0 0.1
Hannah Taylor 2.8 0.3 7.0 52.7 28.8 7.6 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1
Clare Wigger 6.5 0.0 0.4 5.5 17.0 18.4 17.4 14.2 11.3 8.0 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ava Watkins 8.3 0.1 1.5 6.1 10.0 12.8 14.5 15.4 14.8 11.4 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jaiden Davis 9.2 0.0 0.6 3.0 6.3 9.6 12.8 14.5 15.8 15.1 10.7 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Emma Carew 11.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 5.0 8.3 12.4 16.8 20.0 13.1 9.2 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eve Schurr 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.3 4.1 6.2 9.0 11.4 13.8 14.6 14.0 11.5 7.3 3.1