Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #10
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
Chesterton Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 5.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 45.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 253 157 359 175 422 217
Team Adjusted Rating 157 359 175 374 217
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational
15  Bailey Ranta 12 18:29 18:27 18:46 17:59 19:05 18:14
55  Catherine White 12 19:23 18:34 20:29 19:01 19:54 19:09
161  Alyssa Dunlap 11 20:08 19:24 20:38 19:46 21:01 19:55
182  Payton Leady 10 20:14 19:50 20:38
188  Bri Gentry 12 20:16 20:07 20:44 19:53 21:07 20:03
209  Ciara Bonner 10 20:22 19:37 20:35 19:31 20:59 22:00
283  Grace Carpenter 11 20:42 20:43 20:45 20:17 21:41 20:05
383  Isabella Smith 12 21:01 20:41 21:23 21:09 20:35
388  Ali Sierazy 10 21:02 20:21 22:05 20:20 21:46 20:43
471  Addison Leady 12 21:21 21:24 20:49 21:16 22:07 21:11
539  Madison Trumbo 10 21:33 21:01 21:31 22:03 21:50
826  Liz Hibshman 12 22:18 22:05 22:10 24:42
828  Caroline Mills 9 22:18 22:50 21:51 21:54 23:10 22:15
838  Anna Johnston 12 22:19 22:26 21:49 21:53 22:57 22:43
877  Alex Reed 10 22:24 21:54 22:25 22:35 22:46
891  Sydney Szabo 10 22:26 22:27 22:32 21:56 22:32
958  Alaina McGrogan 9 22:34 22:32 22:31 22:41
1,057  Vernoica Wilgocki 9 22:47 22:44 23:00 22:15 23:10
1,067  Rachel Cohen 11 22:49 22:40 22:42 22:46 23:11
1,148  Mckenna Handley 12 22:58 22:31 23:15 23:36
1,215  Olivia Kozak 11 23:06 23:06 23:06 23:01
1,234  Alissa Capehart 23:09 22:50 23:25
1,333  Ellie McClelland 9 23:24 22:56 23:35 23:22 23:40
Kylia Peterson 9 24:21 24:13 23:42 26:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 11.1 317 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.5 6.0 6.5 8.6 9.5 8.9 9.7 9.2 9.0 7.4 6.4 4.3 4.2 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.8 91 37.5 49.2 10.8 2.2 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.6 49 39.0 60.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.6 49 37.2 62.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 2.0 2.4 4.0 4.8 4.9 6.0 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.2 6.7 5.7 4.8 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.2 2.7 2.2 1.8 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 59.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 92.2%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 124.8 11.9%
Payton Leady 100% 132.9 5.7%
Bri Gentry 100% 134.7 5.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 143.3 2.2%
Grace Carpenter 100% 163.5 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 3.3 2.7 8.1 24.4 53.9 8.1 2.1 0.6 0.2 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 8.9 0.1 3.7 7.5 9.8 13.6 16.4 11.1 9.5 6.9 4.8 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 30.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.6 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.1 3.3 100.0%
Payton Leady 100% 36.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.4 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.8 99.9%
Ciara Bonner 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.2 99.9%
Grace Carpenter 100% 62.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 2.3 5.6 27.6 59.1 6.6 1.1 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 5.5 0.1 8.3 19.9 40.2 16.7 7.6 3.7 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 13.7 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 5.2 7.1 7.9 8.4 9.3 8.2 8.3 7.5 7.0 6.9 5.5 3.9 3.0 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.4 100.0%
Payton Leady 100% 15.8 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.8 4.2 5.5 6.3 6.6 7.4 8.5 8.2 8.7 7.9 7.3 6.9 5.2 3.9 3.2 2.0 1.2 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 16.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.0 4.3 5.4 6.8 7.2 7.2 8.4 8.6 8.0 8.1 7.5 5.3 5.0 3.6 2.4 1.4 100.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 18.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.7 2.9 3.7 5.1 5.7 6.5 7.3 8.5 9.7 9.1 8.8 7.0 5.9 4.6 3.4 100.0%
Grace Carpenter 100% 24.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.2 3.3 4.0 6.1 8.2 10.1 10.0 11.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 2.3 5.6 28.2 58.9 6.4 0.9
Catherine White 5.5 0.1 8.7 20.3 42.4 17.4 7.5 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Dunlap 12.0 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 9.7 9.9 11.0 10.6 9.4 8.7 8.7 6.9 6.0 4.7 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Payton Leady 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.0 7.1 7.8 8.5 9.1 9.4 10.0 9.7 8.8 7.4 5.7 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
Bri Gentry 14.3 0.0 0.9 2.6 4.2 5.8 7.1 7.9 8.2 9.8 10.1 9.5 8.6 9.0 6.6 4.8 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
Ciara Bonner 16.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.9 5.3 6.3 8.2 8.3 9.8 10.3 10.7 10.4 8.8 6.3 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.3
Grace Carpenter 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.5 2.8 4.0 6.7 9.6 13.4 18.3 16.7 11.7 6.9 3.2