North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 35.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 82.7%
Advance to State Finals 96.9%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 226 209 275 212 206 801 343
Team Adjusted Rating 209 208 212 206 226 229
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational
46  Maddie Rocchio 10 19:13 19:05 19:09 19:22 19:04
65  Sophia Tipmore 11 19:29 19:39 19:16 19:15 19:20 19:46
79  Sami Tezera 10 19:35 19:33 19:25 19:32
81  Emma Vatnsdal 11 19:36 19:27 19:35 19:34
176  Rahiwa Tezera 12 20:11 20:27 20:06 20:06 20:00
183  Eleanor Hostetler 11 20:15 19:57 20:26 20:19 20:03
184  Mary Edwards 11 20:15 20:33 20:02 20:02
208  Claire Ekienberry 10 20:22 19:52 20:27 20:23
299  Reagan Shaar 12 20:45 20:42 20:03 20:42 20:43 21:09
329  Raionce Rodney 12 20:51 20:56 20:25 21:06 20:42 20:44
347  Kaelnea Mathews 9 20:53 20:53 20:55
407  Margot Grotland 11 21:07 21:31 20:59
659  Anna Youtsey 11 21:52 21:36 21:58 21:25 21:37 31:32
669  Ruby Rogers 9 21:54 22:44 21:43 21:41 21:59 21:39
749  Mia Rivas 11 22:07 22:02
769  Lilah Wilson 9 22:09 21:51 22:27 21:58 22:42 21:55
790  Baylie Clements 10 22:12 21:50 22:30
827  Isabel Tipmore 9 22:18 22:45 22:10 21:32 22:23 22:32
1,069  Zoe Munn 12 22:49 23:12 22:20 23:16 22:26 22:41
1,082  Nyla Mitchel 10 22:50 23:35 22:44 22:47 22:25
1,106  Gracie Phillips 11 22:54 22:59 22:47
1,257  Elle Bryant 9 23:12 23:11
1,267  Ellen Osterman 12 23:13 22:35 23:11 23:16 22:57 31:51
Lainey Deetz 9 23:41 23:08 23:26 26:17
Emma Rodgers 11 23:48 22:53 24:44
Anna Brames 9 24:01 24:53 24:03 23:16
Madison Jackson 9 24:06 23:37 24:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 96.9% 7.1 254 0.2 1.3 8.3 11.9 13.5 13.2 11.6 9.3 7.3 6.3 4.0 3.0 2.5 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.9% 4.2 139 1.7 9.1 17.5 26.8 31.4 10.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.3 104 1.2 17.3 32.6 43.3 5.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 45 97.7 2.3 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 97.2% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 10.9% 59.6%
Sophia Tipmore 96.9% 65.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6% 24.7%
Sami Tezera 96.9% 75.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 15.4%
Emma Vatnsdal 96.9% 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 14.4%
Rahiwa Tezera 96.9% 127.4 0.0% 0.1%
Eleanor Hostetler 96.9% 132.1 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Edwards 96.9% 132.4 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 100.0% 17.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.0 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.8 6.1 6.3 6.2 5.4 4.5 4.3 3.6 3.6 2.8 3.0 85.7% 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 28.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.8 3.8 100.0% 99.6%
Sami Tezera 99.9% 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.9 28.6% 98.7%
Emma Vatnsdal 99.9% 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.6 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.7 28.6% 98.4%
Rahiwa Tezera 99.9% 65.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 53.7%
Eleanor Hostetler 99.9% 68.9 0.0 0.0% 45.9%
Mary Edwards 99.9% 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0% 46.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 100% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 7.0 11.4 12.9 10.2 9.1 8.3 7.1 5.8 4.7 4.2 3.1 2.7 2.1 2.2 1.2 1.0 0.6 100.0%
Sophia Tipmore 100% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.5 4.8 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.6 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.0 5.1 3.7 100.0%
Sami Tezera 100% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.9 4.0 4.2 4.5 5.0 5.2 6.5 6.3 5.5 6.2 6.6 6.6 6.1 100.0%
Emma Vatnsdal 100% 21.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.4 4.9 6.0 5.2 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.2 5.8 100.0%
Rahiwa Tezera 100% 35.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 100.0%
Eleanor Hostetler 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 100.0%
Mary Edwards 100% 36.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Rocchio 4.9 0.0 0.8 54.7 24.1 10.8 5.4 2.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Sophia Tipmore 7.0 0.1 8.1 20.0 21.6 17.6 13.3 9.3 5.6 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sami Tezera 8.2 2.9 9.2 15.8 17.8 18.6 14.5 10.6 6.8 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Emma Vatnsdal 8.4 2.5 9.5 13.4 18.0 18.0 16.6 10.7 7.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
Rahiwa Tezera 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.7 7.6 14.3 16.3 15.1 12.4 8.8 6.5 3.8 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3
Eleanor Hostetler 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 5.3 10.4 15.2 15.3 14.1 9.6 8.1 5.3 4.6 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.5
Mary Edwards 15.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 5.4 10.4 13.7 15.6 14.1 11.0 7.6 5.7 4.6 3.4 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.5