Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#257
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#227
Pace68.6#178
Improvement-2.4#282

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#232
First Shot-1.0#217
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#266
Layup/Dunks-1.1#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#37
Freethrows-2.8#339
Improvement+0.3#157

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-1.4#222
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#302
Layups/Dunks-6.2#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#4
Freethrows-2.9#329
Improvement-2.8#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 37.4% 46.7% 20.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.8% 43.9% 18.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.5%
First Round2.4% 2.9% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 411 - 513 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 72   @ Dayton L 54-64 9%     0 - 1 +0.0 -4.7 +3.1
  Nov 13, 2021 186   @ Valparaiso W 74-70 OT 26%     1 - 1 +5.6 -3.2 +8.5
  Nov 20, 2021 28   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-80 4%     1 - 2 -2.2 +4.3 -8.3
  Nov 25, 2021 161   Hawaii L 80-88 31%     1 - 3 -7.8 +9.2 -17.4
  Nov 26, 2021 172   San Diego L 52-64 33%     1 - 4 -12.4 -16.3 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2021 105   Oakland L 77-81 25%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -2.0 -0.1 -1.6
  Dec 05, 2021 199   Detroit Mercy L 56-64 46%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -12.1 -19.4 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 333   @ Central Michigan W 71-67 65%     2 - 6 -4.8 -7.3 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2021 94   DePaul L 66-72 21%     2 - 7 -2.5 -6.4 +3.9
  Dec 19, 2021 295   Northern Illinois W 61-60 70%     3 - 7 -9.4 -9.2 -0.1
  Jan 06, 2022 206   @ Wright St. L 72-90 30%     3 - 8 0 - 3 -17.5 +2.9 -21.9
  Jan 10, 2022 355   @ IUPUI W 67-65 83%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -13.0 +0.1 -12.7
  Jan 13, 2022 269   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-77 43%     5 - 8 2 - 3 +0.7 +2.7 -2.2
  Jan 15, 2022 321   @ Green Bay W 80-63 60%     6 - 8 3 - 3 +9.3 +1.7 +7.5
  Jan 20, 2022 264   Northern Kentucky W 69-66 64%    
  Jan 22, 2022 206   Wright St. L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 27, 2022 199   @ Detroit Mercy L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 29, 2022 105   @ Oakland L 66-78 12%    
  Feb 03, 2022 306   Robert Morris W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 250   Youngstown St. W 72-70 59%    
  Feb 10, 2022 156   @ Cleveland St. L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 261   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-72 40%    
  Feb 14, 2022 355   IUPUI W 71-56 92%    
  Feb 17, 2022 250   @ Youngstown St. L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 306   @ Robert Morris W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 24, 2022 321   Green Bay W 72-64 77%    
  Feb 26, 2022 269   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-68 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 7.5 3.5 0.3 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 8.5 4.7 0.5 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 7.9 6.0 0.9 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 6.6 6.4 1.3 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.7 4.4 1.2 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.7 8.0 14.0 18.5 19.7 16.5 11.3 5.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6 0.0%
15-7 11.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 0.3% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-8 1.6% 15.4% 15.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-9 5.1% 8.6% 8.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 4.6
12-10 11.3% 6.7% 6.7% 15.7 0.2 0.6 10.5
11-11 16.5% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 15.6
10-12 19.7% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.5 19.2
9-13 18.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 18.3
8-14 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.9
7-15 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.0
6-16 3.7% 3.7
5-17 1.1% 1.1
4-18 0.2% 0.2
3-19 0.0% 0.0
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.6 2.7 96.7 0.0%