Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#306
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#337
Pace69.5#154
Improvement+2.7#66

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#244
First Shot-2.0#242
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks+1.5#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#303
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+1.9#70

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#331
First Shot-5.8#334
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#176
Layups/Dunks-3.4#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#274
Freethrows-0.2#210
Improvement+0.8#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.4% 3.6% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 1.6% 6.5%
First Four0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 47 - 127 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 81   @ Central Florida L 59-69 6%     0 - 1 -0.4 -6.8 +6.2
  Nov 12, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 60-100 1%     0 - 2 -18.3 -5.0 -12.3
  Nov 15, 2021 84   @ Ohio L 71-85 6%     0 - 3 -4.7 -0.3 -3.8
  Nov 19, 2021 282   Mount St. Mary's L 70-74 OT 55%     0 - 4 -13.5 -13.6 +0.6
  Nov 27, 2021 53   @ Davidson L 70-88 4%     0 - 5 -6.3 -0.8 -5.6
  Dec 02, 2021 321   @ Green Bay L 58-70 48%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -19.7 -14.6 -6.2
  Dec 04, 2021 269   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-77 31%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -11.3 -2.7 -8.8
  Dec 11, 2021 221   Florida Gulf Coast L 74-85 39%     0 - 8 -16.3 -3.8 -12.4
  Dec 19, 2021 182   @ Bowling Green L 74-100 17%     0 - 9 -24.2 -9.3 -12.0
  Dec 22, 2021 301   @ St. Francis (PA) W 75-67 40%     1 - 9 +2.4 +4.9 -1.9
  Dec 30, 2021 105   @ Oakland L 61-79 8%     1 - 10 0 - 3 -11.0 -9.0 -1.9
  Jan 05, 2022 250   Youngstown St. L 60-64 46%     1 - 11 0 - 4 -11.2 -21.4 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2022 156   Cleveland St. L 77-78 27%     1 - 12 0 - 5 -3.1 +1.4 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2022 261   Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-76 48%     1 - 13 0 - 6 -13.8 -3.8 -10.3
  Jan 13, 2022 206   Wright St. L 73-75 36%     1 - 14 0 - 7 -6.5 +0.9 -7.6
  Jan 15, 2022 264   Northern Kentucky W 74-64 49%     2 - 14 1 - 7 +2.0 +3.2 -0.3
  Jan 21, 2022 261   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 29%    
  Jan 23, 2022 156   @ Cleveland St. L 67-78 13%    
  Jan 27, 2022 269   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-72 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 321   Green Bay W 71-67 68%    
  Feb 03, 2022 257   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-75 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 355   @ IUPUI W 68-61 72%    
  Feb 09, 2022 199   Detroit Mercy L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 11, 2022 105   Oakland L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 13, 2022 250   @ Youngstown St. L 70-76 27%    
  Feb 17, 2022 355   IUPUI W 71-59 87%    
  Feb 19, 2022 257   Illinois-Chicago L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 24, 2022 264   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-72 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 206   @ Wright St. L 74-83 20%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 6 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.3 2.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.0 0.8 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 5.0 2.4 0.2 9.7 8th
9th 0.5 3.8 8.1 5.4 0.6 0.0 18.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 8.2 12.6 8.0 1.4 0.0 32.9 10th
11th 0.6 3.5 8.2 9.0 4.6 0.8 0.0 26.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.1 12th
Total 0.1 1.2 4.6 11.0 17.8 21.2 18.8 13.4 7.3 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 0.1% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-10 0.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-11 1.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.1 1.0
10-12 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 3.0
9-13 7.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.2
8-14 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
7-15 18.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.8
6-16 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.2
5-17 17.8% 17.8
4-18 11.0% 11.0
3-19 4.6% 4.6
2-20 1.2% 1.2
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%