IUPUI
Horizon
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.5#355
Expected Predictive Rating-24.3#358
Pace59.5#347
Improvement-3.5#316

Offense
Total Offense-10.9#357
First Shot-10.7#356
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#195
Layup/Dunks-9.0#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#290
Freethrows-2.5#332
Improvement+1.2#103

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#338
First Shot-4.5#312
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#326
Layups/Dunks+2.0#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#323
Freethrows-3.7#344
Improvement-4.7#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 94.8% 88.2% 95.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 42 - 172 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 118   @ Butler L 47-56 3%     0 - 1 -3.0 -11.4 +6.7
  Nov 11, 2021 270   @ Evansville L 40-60 10%     0 - 2 -23.5 -26.9 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2021 317   Denver L 47-63 22%     0 - 3 -25.4 -26.9 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2021 251   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59-65 12%     0 - 4 -10.7 -17.5 +7.0
  Nov 17, 2021 318   @ Texas San Antonio L 57-60 16%     0 - 5 -10.1 -7.0 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2021 199   Detroit Mercy L 45-69 11%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -28.1 -26.9 -3.7
  Dec 04, 2021 105   Oakland L 45-78 5%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -31.0 -25.5 -6.5
  Dec 10, 2021 308   @ Tennessee St. L 44-70 14%     0 - 8 -31.9 -25.5 -10.8
  Dec 16, 2021 350   Chicago St. L 55-61 48%     0 - 9 -23.0 -19.9 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2021 145   Morehead St. L 52-80 8%     0 - 10 -29.4 -13.7 -20.1
  Jan 08, 2022 206   @ Wright St. L 58-72 6%     0 - 11 0 - 3 -13.5 -15.8 +2.0
  Jan 10, 2022 257   Illinois-Chicago L 65-67 17%     0 - 12 0 - 4 -9.5 -1.1 -8.8
  Jan 13, 2022 321   @ Green Bay L 54-69 18%     0 - 13 0 - 5 -22.7 -16.0 -8.9
  Jan 15, 2022 269   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 54-89 10%     0 - 14 0 - 6 -38.3 -13.4 -29.1
  Jan 18, 2022 22   @ Ohio St. L 37-83 1%     0 - 15 -30.4 -23.5 -15.2
  Jan 20, 2022 206   Wright St. L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 22, 2022 264   Northern Kentucky L 56-65 20%    
  Jan 27, 2022 105   @ Oakland L 52-76 1%    
  Jan 29, 2022 199   @ Detroit Mercy L 55-73 4%    
  Feb 03, 2022 250   Youngstown St. L 59-69 18%    
  Feb 05, 2022 306   Robert Morris L 61-68 28%    
  Feb 10, 2022 261   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 56-71 9%    
  Feb 12, 2022 156   @ Cleveland St. L 53-73 2%    
  Feb 14, 2022 257   @ Illinois-Chicago L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 17, 2022 306   @ Robert Morris L 59-71 13%    
  Feb 19, 2022 250   @ Youngstown St. L 56-71 7%    
  Feb 24, 2022 269   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 58-67 22%    
  Feb 26, 2022 321   Green Bay L 59-64 35%    
Projected Record 2 - 26 2 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.0 10th
11th 0.9 3.6 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 16.8 30.1 25.2 12.5 3.3 0.3 0.0 88.3 12th
Total 16.8 30.1 26.1 16.2 7.4 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14 0.0% 0.0
7-15 0.2% 0.2
6-16 0.6% 0.6
5-17 2.5% 2.5
4-18 7.4% 7.4
3-19 16.2% 16.2
2-20 26.1% 26.1
1-21 30.1% 30.1
0-22 16.8% 16.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.8%