Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#333
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#318
Pace72.3#84
Improvement-0.7#203

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#256
First Shot-0.6#200
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#321
Layup/Dunks-6.1#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#35
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#351
First Shot-8.4#354
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#181
Layups/Dunks-3.0#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#326
Freethrows-2.0#302
Improvement-0.3#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 44.6% 26.0% 66.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 15
Quad 44 - 95 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 126   @ Missouri L 68-78 7%     0 - 1 -4.9 +0.0 -5.1
  Nov 13, 2021 94   @ DePaul L 66-99 4%     0 - 2 -24.5 -10.0 -11.2
  Nov 15, 2021 352   @ Eastern Illinois W 62-61 56%     1 - 2 -12.0 -12.2 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 54-107 0.5%    1 - 3 -30.4 -16.6 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2021 192   Bellarmine L 69-76 17%     1 - 4 -8.4 -2.4 -6.5
  Nov 29, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 57-85 1%     1 - 5 -6.3 -5.2 -1.8
  Dec 01, 2021 19   @ Xavier L 45-78 1%     1 - 6 -16.7 -20.8 +4.6
  Dec 05, 2021 213   Western Illinois L 70-97 27%     1 - 7 -31.8 -7.0 -24.7
  Dec 08, 2021 250   @ Youngstown St. L 77-84 19%     1 - 8 -9.2 +6.3 -15.9
  Dec 11, 2021 257   Illinois-Chicago L 67-71 35%     1 - 9 -11.5 -8.2 -3.4
  Dec 19, 2021 199   @ Detroit Mercy L 75-89 13%     1 - 10 -13.1 -0.8 -11.9
  Dec 29, 2021 164   @ Kent St. W 72-69 10%     2 - 10 1 - 0 +5.5 -0.4 +5.8
  Jan 04, 2022 88   Toledo L 54-82 8%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -24.0 -17.6 -6.6
  Jan 11, 2022 263   @ Eastern Michigan L 68-99 21%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -33.9 -7.4 -24.9
  Jan 20, 2022 315   Western Michigan W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 22, 2022 242   Ball St. L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 25, 2022 152   Akron L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 29, 2022 295   @ Northern Illinois L 68-74 27%    
  Feb 01, 2022 182   Bowling Green L 78-86 23%    
  Feb 05, 2022 103   Buffalo L 76-89 12%    
  Feb 08, 2022 242   @ Ball St. L 75-84 18%    
  Feb 12, 2022 315   @ Western Michigan L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 15, 2022 263   Eastern Michigan L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 19, 2022 88   @ Toledo L 67-87 3%    
  Feb 22, 2022 84   @ Ohio L 65-86 3%    
  Feb 24, 2022 163   @ Miami (OH) L 69-83 10%    
  Feb 26, 2022 164   Kent St. L 66-75 22%    
  Mar 01, 2022 163   Miami (OH) L 72-81 22%    
  Mar 04, 2022 152   @ Akron L 66-80 9%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.1 8.9 6.0 1.5 0.1 21.2 10th
11th 1.8 8.5 13.0 7.2 1.6 0.1 32.2 11th
12th 4.0 10.4 10.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 29.9 12th
Total 4.0 12.2 20.0 21.4 18.2 12.6 6.8 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.5% 0.5
9-11 1.2% 1.2
8-12 2.9% 2.9
7-13 6.8% 6.8
6-14 12.6% 12.6
5-15 18.2% 18.2
4-16 21.4% 21.4
3-17 20.0% 20.0
2-18 12.2% 12.2
1-19 4.0% 4.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.0%