Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#217
Pace76.1#31
Improvement+2.4#75

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#104
First Shot+0.9#146
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#69
Layup/Dunks-2.2#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows+1.8#54
Improvement+3.2#26

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#281
First Shot-1.9#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#298
Layups/Dunks+0.0#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#312
Freethrows-0.3#215
Improvement-0.9#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.8% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 14.9
.500 or above 51.2% 61.2% 33.0%
.500 or above in Conference 49.8% 59.8% 31.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 2.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.1% 3.7% 2.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 410 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 312   @ Western Carolina L 71-79 OT 70%     0 - 1 -14.2 -18.9 +6.1
  Nov 15, 2021 22   @ Ohio St. L 58-89 7%     0 - 2 -15.4 -10.8 -3.8
  Nov 19, 2021 231   Norfolk St. L 84-90 70%     0 - 3 -12.1 +4.6 -16.3
  Nov 23, 2021 269   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-68 69%     1 - 3 +8.2 +10.3 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2021 142   Southern Utah L 73-87 42%     1 - 4 -12.8 -4.0 -8.0
  Nov 28, 2021 350   Chicago St. W 75-57 93%     2 - 4 +1.0 -11.0 +10.5
  Dec 01, 2021 190   @ Duquesne W 78-70 42%     3 - 4 +9.2 +5.0 +4.1
  Dec 07, 2021 105   Oakland W 73-72 39%     4 - 4 +3.0 -4.0 +7.0
  Dec 19, 2021 306   Robert Morris W 100-74 83%     5 - 4 +15.2 +8.6 +3.6
  Jan 01, 2022 242   @ Ball St. L 80-81 55%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -3.0 +0.5 -3.4
  Jan 05, 2022 103   @ Buffalo L 88-99 23%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -4.0 +8.4 -11.3
  Jan 08, 2022 163   Miami (OH) W 87-83 OT 57%     6 - 6 1 - 2 +1.5 -2.3 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2022 84   @ Ohio L 78-85 17%     6 - 7 1 - 3 +2.3 +7.1 -4.6
  Jan 15, 2022 88   Toledo L 78-91 32%     6 - 8 1 - 4 -9.0 +3.0 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2022 295   @ Northern Illinois W 75-70 65%    
  Jan 20, 2022 152   Akron W 75-74 56%    
  Jan 22, 2022 315   @ Western Michigan W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 25, 2022 263   Eastern Michigan W 81-74 77%    
  Jan 29, 2022 164   Kent St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 01, 2022 333   @ Central Michigan W 86-78 77%    
  Feb 05, 2022 295   Northern Illinois W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 08, 2022 164   @ Kent St. L 70-73 36%    
  Feb 12, 2022 163   @ Miami (OH) L 77-80 37%    
  Feb 15, 2022 103   Buffalo L 83-86 42%    
  Feb 19, 2022 242   Ball St. W 84-78 74%    
  Feb 22, 2022 152   @ Akron L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 315   Western Michigan W 82-71 85%    
  Mar 01, 2022 84   Ohio L 74-79 34%    
  Mar 04, 2022 88   @ Toledo L 74-84 18%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.0 0.1 5.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 4.5 1.7 0.1 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.8 3.2 0.2 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 8.4 4.1 0.3 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.4 8.8 5.2 0.6 0.0 19.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.9 4.1 0.6 0.0 16.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.2 2.2 0.3 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.4 9.4 14.0 17.8 18.1 14.7 9.8 4.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 32.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
14-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 2.0% 9.5% 9.5% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
13-7 4.7% 9.1% 9.1% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.3
12-8 9.8% 6.4% 6.4% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.2
11-9 14.7% 4.2% 4.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 14.0
10-10 18.1% 4.3% 4.3% 15.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 17.4
9-11 17.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.2 0.2 17.4
8-12 14.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.8
7-13 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.4
6-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 0.6 96.8 0.0%