DePaul
Big East
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#192
Expected Predictive Rating-11.0#317
Pace71.0#137
Improvement-0.9#246

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#187
First Shot-1.3#212
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#139
Layup/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
Freethrows+0.0#171
Improvement+1.8#56

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot+3.2#82
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#355
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#23
Freethrows-1.3#264
Improvement-2.7#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 16.0 15.6
.500 or above 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.8% 60.8% 69.2%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 13
Quad 21 - 72 - 20
Quad 31 - 43 - 24
Quad 43 - 26 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 169   Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-82 OT 57%     0 - 1 -11.2 -8.0 -2.6
  Nov 11, 2023 139   Long Beach St. L 73-77 49%     0 - 2 -5.3 -4.9 -0.2
  Nov 14, 2023 289   South Dakota W 72-60 79%     1 - 2 +2.0 -2.4 +5.1
  Nov 17, 2023 73   South Carolina L 68-73 20%     1 - 3 +2.3 -6.3 +8.9
  Nov 19, 2023 69   San Francisco L 54-70 19%     1 - 4 -8.1 -9.6 +0.4
  Nov 25, 2023 160   Northern Illinois L 79-89 56%     1 - 5 -12.9 -1.0 -11.4
  Dec 01, 2023 24   Iowa St. L 80-99 15%     1 - 6 -9.2 +7.5 -15.2
  Dec 06, 2023 20   @ Texas A&M L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 09, 2023 157   Louisville W 74-73 56%    
  Dec 16, 2023 52   Northwestern L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 23, 2023 31   Villanova L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 30, 2023 338   Chicago St. W 77-64 89%    
  Jan 02, 2024 4   @ Connecticut L 62-85 2%    
  Jan 06, 2024 145   @ Georgetown L 75-81 31%    
  Jan 09, 2024 11   Creighton L 66-80 10%    
  Jan 12, 2024 31   @ Villanova L 61-78 7%    
  Jan 17, 2024 44   Providence L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 20, 2024 47   @ Butler L 68-83 9%    
  Jan 24, 2024 6   Marquette L 67-82 9%    
  Jan 27, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 63-83 3%    
  Jan 30, 2024 75   @ Seton Hall L 65-77 15%    
  Feb 03, 2024 45   Xavier L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 06, 2024 53   @ St. John's L 74-88 11%    
  Feb 14, 2024 4   Connecticut L 65-82 7%    
  Feb 17, 2024 44   @ Providence L 65-80 9%    
  Feb 21, 2024 6   @ Marquette L 64-85 3%    
  Feb 24, 2024 145   Georgetown W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 28, 2024 45   @ Xavier L 68-83 10%    
  Mar 02, 2024 47   Butler L 71-80 22%    
  Mar 05, 2024 53   St. John's L 77-85 24%    
  Mar 09, 2024 75   @ Seton Hall L 65-77 15%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.5 4.6 8.9 8.8 5.3 1.6 0.2 30.0 10th
11th 7.7 16.9 16.7 10.3 3.8 0.7 0.1 56.2 11th
Total 7.7 17.5 21.3 19.5 14.2 9.1 5.3 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
9-11 0.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
8-12 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.3
7-13 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-14 5.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-15 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-16 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
3-17 19.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.5
2-18 21.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.2
1-19 17.5% 17.5
0-20 7.7% 7.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%