Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#125
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#194
Pace67.8#221
Improvement+1.3#99

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#108
First Shot+1.0#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#109
Layup/Dunks-6.5#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#38
Freethrows+1.9#71
Improvement-1.2#275

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#159
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#194
Layups/Dunks-3.1#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#53
Freethrows-1.1#254
Improvement+2.5#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.7% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.3 13.9
.500 or above 54.0% 69.1% 44.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 63.4% 52.9%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.3% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.1% 3.5%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round2.9% 3.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 39.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 49 - 115 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2023 91   Yale L 80-83 51%     0 - 1 -0.5 +6.7 -7.2
  Nov 14, 2023 262   Jackson St. W 88-66 85%     1 - 1 +13.6 +6.9 +5.7
  Nov 19, 2023 106   Stephen F. Austin L 76-86 44%     1 - 2 -5.9 +5.5 -11.2
  Nov 20, 2023 155   Oakland L 69-74 59%     1 - 3 -4.7 +2.1 -7.3
  Nov 21, 2023 228   Florida International W 61-60 71%     2 - 3 -2.1 -7.7 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2023 175   UTEP W 67-47 72%     3 - 3 +16.5 -3.8 +20.1
  Nov 29, 2023 348   Central Arkansas W 90-63 95%     4 - 3 +11.3 +5.8 +4.7
  Dec 02, 2023 43   @ Nevada L 59-73 15%     4 - 4 -0.3 -3.2 +2.0
  Dec 09, 2023 126   @ UNLV L 71-74 39%    
  Dec 16, 2023 154   UC Santa Barbara W 74-72 57%    
  Dec 18, 2023 323   Detroit Mercy W 80-65 91%    
  Dec 22, 2023 21   Colorado St. L 71-79 24%    
  Dec 29, 2023 179   Tarleton St. W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 04, 2024 135   Santa Clara W 78-74 62%    
  Jan 06, 2024 59   St. Mary's L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 13, 2024 311   Pacific W 79-65 90%    
  Jan 18, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 67-75 22%    
  Jan 20, 2024 182   @ Pepperdine W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 25, 2024 171   Portland W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 27, 2024 59   @ St. Mary's L 61-70 22%    
  Jan 30, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 68-85 7%    
  Feb 07, 2024 215   @ San Diego W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 10, 2024 182   Pepperdine W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 15, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 71-82 17%    
  Feb 17, 2024 69   San Francisco L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 22, 2024 135   @ Santa Clara L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 24, 2024 311   @ Pacific W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 29, 2024 215   San Diego W 77-69 75%    
  Mar 02, 2024 171   @ Portland L 75-76 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.2 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 7.2 8.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 22.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 8.3 7.0 2.0 0.1 19.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 6.8 5.0 0.8 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.3 0.2 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 4.4 8.2 12.0 15.9 15.8 15.1 12.1 7.7 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 73.2% 0.4    0.3 0.2
13-3 36.4% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1
12-4 9.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 55.8% 14.0% 41.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48.6%
14-2 0.6% 10.5% 6.6% 3.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.1%
13-3 1.8% 8.9% 7.7% 1.2% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.3%
12-4 3.8% 10.0% 10.0% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.5
11-5 7.7% 5.5% 5.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.3
10-6 12.1% 5.4% 5.4% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.5
9-7 15.1% 2.6% 2.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 14.7
8-8 15.8% 2.7% 2.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 15.3
7-9 15.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 15.6
6-10 12.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.9
5-11 8.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.1
4-12 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-13 1.6% 1.6
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.0% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 96.9 0.1%