UNLV
Mountain West
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#126
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#161
Pace67.1#238
Improvement+1.7#72

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#88
First Shot+2.4#108
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#133
Layup/Dunks+5.1#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows-1.8#277
Improvement+0.8#114

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot-1.1#212
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#159
Layups/Dunks-0.3#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#140
Freethrows+1.9#78
Improvement+0.9#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.6% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.5 11.4 13.2
.500 or above 20.1% 37.1% 15.8%
.500 or above in Conference 28.4% 38.1% 25.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 7.7% 13.3%
First Four0.8% 1.2% 0.7%
First Round2.6% 5.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 53 - 12
Quad 36 - 49 - 15
Quad 43 - 212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 320   Southern L 71-85 90%     0 - 1 -25.7 -4.0 -22.2
  Nov 11, 2023 165   Stetson W 71-55 70%     1 - 1 +13.0 +1.3 +13.6
  Nov 17, 2023 182   @ Pepperdine W 82-68 52%     2 - 1 +16.1 +13.2 +3.7
  Nov 20, 2023 71   Florida St. L 75-83 31%     2 - 2 -0.4 +6.5 -6.8
  Nov 21, 2023 90   Richmond L 65-82 39%     2 - 3 -11.5 +0.2 -13.2
  Nov 28, 2023 113   Akron W 72-70 57%     3 - 3 +2.7 -0.3 +3.0
  Dec 06, 2023 60   @ Dayton L 63-72 20%    
  Dec 09, 2023 125   Loyola Marymount W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 13, 2023 11   Creighton L 67-78 16%    
  Dec 16, 2023 59   St. Mary's L 63-69 30%    
  Dec 21, 2023 100   Hofstra W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 06, 2024 28   @ San Diego St. L 64-77 12%    
  Jan 09, 2024 42   New Mexico L 75-81 31%    
  Jan 13, 2024 56   Utah St. L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 16, 2024 76   @ Boise St. L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 19, 2024 21   @ Colorado St. L 69-83 11%    
  Jan 23, 2024 203   Air Force W 68-61 74%    
  Jan 27, 2024 146   @ San Jose St. L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 30, 2024 187   Fresno St. W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 03, 2024 163   Wyoming W 73-68 69%    
  Feb 10, 2024 42   @ New Mexico L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 14, 2024 187   @ Fresno St. W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 17, 2024 43   Nevada L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 21, 2024 203   @ Air Force W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 24, 2024 21   Colorado St. L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 27, 2024 163   @ Wyoming L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 02, 2024 146   San Jose St. W 70-66 65%    
  Mar 05, 2024 28   San Diego St. L 67-74 27%    
  Mar 09, 2024 43   @ Nevada L 68-79 17%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.5 1.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.1 1.4 0.1 13.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 7.0 6.1 1.7 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 6.3 5.6 1.4 0.1 16.3 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 6.0 4.3 1.2 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.1 8.3 12.0 13.6 15.5 13.9 10.8 7.3 4.8 3.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 52.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 72.2% 27.8% 44.4% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.5%
15-3 0.3% 78.2% 10.9% 67.2% 8.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 75.5%
14-4 0.7% 39.7% 12.9% 26.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 30.7%
13-5 1.3% 19.8% 5.7% 14.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 15.0%
12-6 3.1% 13.7% 10.2% 3.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 4.0%
11-7 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 0.3%
10-8 7.3% 3.9% 3.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.0
9-9 10.8% 3.5% 3.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.4
8-10 13.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.6
7-11 15.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 15.3
6-12 13.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
4-14 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-15 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 97.1 0.8%