Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#136
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#132
Pace80.6#7
Improvement-0.7#249

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+0.0#167
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#82
Layup/Dunks+2.6#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#285
Freethrows-2.0#292
Improvement+0.7#109

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#172
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#149
Layups/Dunks-0.2#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#324
Freethrows+0.9#133
Improvement-1.4#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 11.5% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.7
.500 or above 85.6% 88.4% 70.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 88.0% 80.7%
Conference Champion 12.6% 13.4% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round10.8% 11.3% 7.9%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 84.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 35 - 57 - 9
Quad 411 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 187   @ Portland L 73-78 51%     0 - 1 -3.5 -8.5 +5.4
  Nov 11, 2023 182   @ DePaul W 77-73 49%     1 - 1 +5.9 +2.0 +3.7
  Nov 14, 2023 22   @ San Diego St. L 76-88 9%     1 - 2 +4.3 +4.4 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2023 55   @ Michigan W 94-86 16%     2 - 2 +20.4 +16.7 +2.9
  Nov 20, 2023 231   Illinois St. L 52-61 69%     2 - 3 -12.5 -20.8 +8.4
  Nov 21, 2023 158   Iona W 80-76 55%     3 - 3 +4.4 -2.2 +6.1
  Nov 22, 2023 152   Louisiana L 82-92 54%     3 - 4 -9.3 +9.8 -19.5
  Nov 26, 2023 229   @ Montana St. W 75-69 58%     4 - 4 +5.6 +6.4 -0.6
  Dec 02, 2023 270   Sacramento St. W 83-72 84%    
  Dec 10, 2023 32   @ USC L 71-85 10%    
  Dec 28, 2023 203   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 76-75 53%    
  Dec 30, 2023 299   Cal St. Northridge W 87-75 87%    
  Jan 04, 2024 331   @ Cal Poly W 77-67 81%    
  Jan 06, 2024 227   UC Riverside W 81-73 77%    
  Jan 11, 2024 245   @ UC San Diego W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 13, 2024 159   @ UC Santa Barbara L 80-81 45%    
  Jan 18, 2024 118   Hawaii W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 25, 2024 69   UC Irvine L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 27, 2024 227   @ UC Riverside W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 01, 2024 288   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-69 69%    
  Feb 03, 2024 245   UC San Diego W 83-74 79%    
  Feb 10, 2024 331   Cal Poly W 80-64 92%    
  Feb 15, 2024 199   @ UC Davis W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 299   @ Cal St. Northridge W 84-78 71%    
  Feb 22, 2024 288   Cal St. Bakersfield W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 25, 2024 118   @ Hawaii L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 29, 2024 203   Cal St. Fullerton W 79-72 73%    
  Mar 02, 2024 69   @ UC Irvine L 73-82 21%    
  Mar 07, 2024 159   UC Santa Barbara W 83-78 65%    
  Mar 09, 2024 199   UC Davis W 82-75 72%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.6 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 12.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.7 6.6 4.0 1.3 0.1 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.0 6.0 2.5 0.4 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.9 6.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 3.3 4.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.5 8.6 10.7 13.3 14.0 13.5 10.9 8.0 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
18-2 94.0% 2.2    1.8 0.3
17-3 73.6% 3.5    2.4 1.0 0.1
16-4 45.1% 3.6    1.9 1.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 16.9% 1.8    0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 5.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.6% 12.6 7.5 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 65.9% 58.5% 7.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.6%
19-1 0.7% 53.0% 48.8% 4.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 8.3%
18-2 2.3% 33.8% 33.8% 12.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5
17-3 4.8% 25.6% 25.6% 12.5 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 3.5
16-4 8.0% 20.6% 20.6% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.3
15-5 10.9% 16.0% 16.0% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 9.2
14-6 13.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 11.8
13-7 14.0% 9.2% 9.2% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 12.7
12-8 13.3% 7.5% 7.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 12.4
11-9 10.7% 5.3% 5.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.1
10-10 8.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.3
9-11 5.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.4
8-12 3.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.6
7-13 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-14 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.0% 10.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.7 2.8 1.2 0.5 89.0 0.0%