Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#284
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#272
Pace64.9#302
Improvement-0.4#203

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#271
First Shot+1.2#141
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#362
Layup/Dunks-3.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#26
Freethrows-3.6#345
Improvement-1.4#294

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#258
First Shot-2.9#271
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#178
Layups/Dunks+3.7#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#345
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement+1.0#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 5.7% 8.3% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 12.1% 16.9% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.9% 22.8% 48.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 94 - 13
Quad 47 - 811 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 305 @Bucknell L 70-78 43%     0 - 1 -12.8 -4.7 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 9 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.9 +15.7 -12.4
  Tue, Nov 18 290 St. Peter's W 81-70 63%     1 - 2 +1.0 +8.4 -6.9
  Sun, Nov 23 129 Southern Illinois L 59-79 21%     1 - 3 -18.1 -10.9 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 25 291 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 52%     2 - 3 +5.9 +2.4 +4.7
  Mon, Dec 1 172 Iona L 66-89 40%     2 - 4 -26.9 -8.7 -18.2
  Sat, Dec 6 349 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 59%     2 - 5 -12.0 -8.6 -3.1
  Wed, Dec 10 79 @George Washington W 70-58 7%     3 - 5 +22.3 +1.0 +21.6
  Sat, Dec 13 217 Cal St. Northridge L 66-88 50%     3 - 6 -28.6 -8.6 -20.8
  Tue, Dec 16 348 Rider W 65-57 78%     4 - 6 -6.9 -3.3 -2.6
  Mon, Dec 29 263 Missouri St. W 66-64 57%    
  Fri, Jan 2 270 Jacksonville St. W 66-64 58%    
  Sun, Jan 4 155 Kennesaw St. L 75-79 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 117 @Sam Houston St. L 68-81 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 189 @Louisiana Tech L 59-67 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 216 UTEP L 65-66 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 135 New Mexico St. L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 107 @Liberty L 63-76 11%    
  Wed, Jan 28 135 @New Mexico St. L 62-73 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 216 @UTEP L 62-68 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 107 Liberty L 66-73 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 160 Middle Tennessee L 67-71 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 187 @Florida International L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 263 @Missouri St. L 63-67 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 Western Kentucky L 72-76 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 160 @Middle Tennessee L 64-74 20%    
  Thu, Feb 26 270 @Jacksonville St. L 63-67 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 155 @Kennesaw St. L 72-82 18%    
  Thu, Mar 5 117 Sam Houston St. L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 189 Louisiana Tech L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.9 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.3 6.4 4.6 1.0 0.0 16.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.0 7.2 4.3 1.1 0.1 19.9 11th
12th 0.4 1.9 4.5 6.8 6.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 23.9 12th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.7 8.7 12.1 14.2 14.4 12.8 10.8 7.9 5.4 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 41.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 27.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 22.2% 22.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 13.1% 13.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 0.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-8 1.8% 4.7% 4.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-9 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 3.3
10-10 5.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 5.4
9-11 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
8-12 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.8
7-13 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-14 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
5-15 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-16 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
3-17 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
2-18 4.7% 4.7
1-19 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%