IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#235
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#160

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#306

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.1%	15.5%	8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.0	14.6

.500 or above	40.2%	62.2%	35.1%
.500 or above in Conference	59.3%	72.5%	56.3%
Conference Champion	13.1%	20.6%	11.3%
Last Place in Conference	9.7%	4.8%	10.9%

First Four	1.6%	1.2%	1.7%
First Round	10.0%	15.7%	8.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 6	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	124	@ Washington St.	L	72-81	19%
Nov 12, 2025	183	@ San Diego	L	74-80	31%
Nov 15, 2025	117	@ UC San Diego	L	65-75	18%
Nov 26, 2025	176	Cal St. Northridge	L	75-78	40%
Nov 28, 2025	194	Sam Houston St.	L	71-73	43%
Dec 03, 2025	315	North Dakota	W	79-71	75%
Dec 06, 2025	151	@ South Dakota St.	L	71-78	25%
Dec 10, 2025	63	@ Notre Dame	L	61-77	8%
Dec 21, 2025	256	@ Cal Poly	L	80-82	43%
Dec 23, 2025	223	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	69-73	38%
Jan 03, 2026	247	Eastern Washington	W	74-70	62%
Jan 08, 2026	189	Montana	W	73-72	53%
Jan 10, 2026	217	Montana St.	W	71-69	57%
Jan 14, 2026	282	Idaho St.	W	72-66	68%
Jan 17, 2026	279	@ Weber St.	L	69-70	47%
Jan 22, 2026	272	Sacramento St.	W	72-67	66%
Jan 24, 2026	213	Portland St.	W	72-70	56%
Jan 29, 2026	190	@ Northern Colorado	L	72-77	33%
Jan 31, 2026	263	@ Northern Arizona	L	71-73	44%
Feb 05, 2026	217	@ Montana St.	L	68-72	37%
Feb 07, 2026	189	@ Montana	L	70-75	33%
Feb 12, 2026	279	Weber St.	W	72-67	67%
Feb 14, 2026	282	Idaho St.	W	72-66	67%
Feb 19, 2026	213	@ Portland St.	L	69-73	36%
Feb 21, 2026	272	@ Sacramento St.	L	69-70	47%
Feb 26, 2026	263	Northern Arizona	W	74-70	63%
Feb 28, 2026	190	Northern Colorado	W	75-74	52%
Mar 02, 2026	247	@ Eastern Washington	L	71-73	42%
Projected Record						13 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	1.0	2.3	3.5	3.3	1.8	0.8	0.2		13.1	1st
2nd											0.3	1.9	3.8	3.6	1.8	0.4	0.0				11.8	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.4	4.9	3.1	0.9	0.1	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.7	5.0	2.9	0.5	0.0							11.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	5.0	2.6	0.4	0.0								10.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.4	2.7	0.4	0.0									9.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.7	4.2	2.7	0.4	0.0										9.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.0	3.6	2.2	0.3	0.0											8.6	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.7	2.0	2.9	1.6	0.2	0.0												7.6	9th
10th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.8	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0													6.1	10th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.5	4.0	6.0	7.4	9.0	9.9	11.2	10.7	10.2	8.5	6.8	5.4	3.7	1.9	0.8	0.2			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	97.7%	1.8		1.7	0.1
15-3	88.4%	3.3		2.6	0.7	0.0
14-4	64.7%	3.5		2.2	1.2	0.1
13-5	34.2%	2.3		0.9	1.0	0.4	0.0
12-6	12.0%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.1%	13.1		8.6	3.3	0.9	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		64.9%	64.9%		11.9						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1
17-1	0.8%		55.0%	55.0%		12.5											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.4
16-2	1.9%		43.9%	43.9%		13.0												0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0		1.1
15-3	3.7%		38.2%	38.2%		13.5												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.3
14-4	5.4%		29.1%	29.1%		14.2													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	3.8
13-5	6.8%		20.8%	20.8%		15.0													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	5.4
12-6	8.5%		15.6%	15.6%		17.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	7.2
11-7	10.2%		10.9%	10.9%		17.1														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	9.1
10-8	10.7%		7.6%	7.6%		17.5															0.1	0.3	0.6	9.9
9-9	11.2%		5.7%	5.7%		17.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	10.5
8-10	9.9%		2.2%	2.2%		16.2																0.0	0.2	9.7
7-11	9.0%		1.4%	1.4%		17.0																0.0	0.1	8.9
6-12	7.4%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.3
5-13	6.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
4-14	4.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
3-15	2.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		10.1%	10.1%	0.0%	15.3						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	2.5	2.7	2.9	89.9		0.0%