Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#157
Pace62.4#346
Improvement+2.3#56

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#172
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#238
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#38
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement+0.6#128

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
First Shot+0.2#156
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#97
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement+1.7#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.8% 18.2% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 70.4% 77.2% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 78.6% 81.3% 72.5%
Conference Champion 23.0% 25.4% 17.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.4% 4.3%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.1%
First Round16.5% 18.0% 13.2%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 412 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 243 @San Diego W 71-68 57%     1 - 0 +1.3 +3.7 -2.1
  Sun, Nov 9 50 @San Diego St. L 57-73 11%     1 - 1 -2.6 -1.9 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 110 @Seattle L 74-83 26%     1 - 2 -2.4 +15.5 -19.0
  Tue, Nov 18 78 @Santa Clara L 55-64 16%     1 - 3 +1.5 -8.1 +8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 118 Sam Houston St. L 81-84 38%     1 - 4 +0.2 +6.0 -5.7
  Fri, Nov 28 219 Cal St. Northridge W 82-50 64%     2 - 4 +28.4 +0.6 +25.4
  Wed, Dec 3 342 @UMKC W 68-59 79%     3 - 4 +0.5 +4.5 -2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 315 Denver W 93-79 87%     4 - 4 +2.0 +12.1 -9.5
  Wed, Dec 10 84 @Utah Valley L 69-73 18%     4 - 5 +5.7 +4.0 +1.5
  Sun, Dec 21 197 UC Davis W 71-66 69%    
  Thu, Jan 1 281 Sacramento St. W 76-67 81%    
  Sat, Jan 3 177 Portland St. W 69-65 65%    
  Thu, Jan 8 153 @Northern Colorado L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 271 @Northern Arizona W 68-65 60%    
  Thu, Jan 15 167 Idaho W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 17 249 Eastern Washington W 77-69 77%    
  Thu, Jan 22 169 @Montana St. L 66-68 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 @Montana L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 216 @Weber St. W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 177 @Portland St. L 66-68 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 271 Northern Arizona W 71-62 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 153 Northern Colorado W 73-71 58%    
  Thu, Feb 12 249 @Eastern Washington W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 167 @Idaho L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Feb 19 204 Montana W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 169 Montana St. W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 216 Weber St. W 75-68 72%    
  Mon, Mar 2 281 @Sacramento St. W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.6 6.5 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 23.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.9 4.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.5 0.3 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.4 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.5 6.0 8.7 11.3 12.8 13.9 13.4 10.9 8.2 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9
16-2 99.3% 2.3    2.2 0.1
15-3 93.4% 4.4    3.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 79.3% 6.5    4.6 1.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 51.5% 5.6    2.6 2.4 0.7 0.0
12-6 19.8% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-7 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.0% 23.0 15.0 6.0 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 44.6% 44.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 44.1% 44.1% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.3% 42.7% 42.7% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.3
15-3 4.8% 37.9% 37.9% 13.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 3.0
14-4 8.2% 30.2% 30.2% 13.6 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7
13-5 10.9% 24.8% 24.8% 13.9 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 8.2
12-6 13.4% 19.0% 19.0% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.0 10.8
11-7 13.9% 15.6% 15.6% 14.5 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.1 11.7
10-8 12.8% 12.6% 12.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.2 11.2
9-9 11.3% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 10.2
8-10 8.7% 6.0% 6.0% 15.7 0.2 0.3 8.1
7-11 6.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
6-12 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.1 3.4
5-13 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.9 6.0 4.5 1.4 83.2 0.0%