IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.9	#348
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#143
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#328

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	14.4	15.3

.500 or above	2.9%	6.7%	1.4%
.500 or above in Conference	7.1%	11.6%	5.3%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	46.5%	36.7%	50.4%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 9	7 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	316	@ Northern Illinois	L	69-75	28%
Nov 07, 2025	30	@ Mississippi	L	57-86	0.3%
Nov 13, 2025	289	@ Houston Christian	L	63-71	24%
Nov 17, 2025	218	Lamar	L	63-69	30%
Nov 22, 2025	293	Morehead St.	L	63-68	34%
Nov 23, 2025	152	@ East Tennessee St.	L	60-75	9%
Dec 03, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	74-58	92%
Dec 07, 2025	212	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	62-74	15%
Dec 13, 2025	56	@ Miami (FL)	L	60-85	2%
Dec 17, 2025	163	South Alabama	L	61-69	24%
Dec 20, 2025	234	Louisiana	L	67-72	34%
Dec 28, 2025	57	@ Kansas St.	L	57-82	2%
Jan 01, 2026	281	Southern Miss	L	72-74	43%
Jan 03, 2026	193	Texas St.	L	66-73	28%
Jan 08, 2026	234	@ Louisiana	L	64-75	18%
Jan 10, 2026	281	@ Southern Miss	L	69-77	25%
Jan 17, 2026	284	Georgia St.	L	72-74	43%
Jan 22, 2026	187	@ Marshall	L	65-78	14%
Jan 24, 2026	201	@ Appalachian St.	L	57-70	15%
Jan 29, 2026	249	Georgia Southern	L	72-76	36%
Jan 31, 2026	275	Coastal Carolina	L	66-69	41%
Feb 04, 2026	200	@ Old Dominion	L	63-76	15%
Feb 11, 2026	140	@ Arkansas St.	L	65-81	9%
Feb 14, 2026	193	@ Texas St.	L	63-76	15%
Feb 18, 2026	130	Troy	L	63-74	19%
Feb 21, 2026	140	Arkansas St.	L	68-78	20%
Feb 25, 2026	163	@ South Alabama	L	58-72	12%
Feb 27, 2026	130	@ Troy	L	60-77	9%
Projected Record						7 - 21	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.6	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0							0.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0								1.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.1									1.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	0.8	1.3	0.3	0.0									2.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.0	0.9	1.8	0.7	0.0	0.0									3.5	8th
9th						0.1	0.8	2.2	1.4	0.1											4.6	9th
10th					0.0	0.8	3.0	2.5	0.4	0.0											6.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.8	3.5	3.8	0.9	0.1												9.2	11th
12th			0.2	1.5	4.7	5.4	1.5	0.1													13.5	12th
13th		0.7	3.5	7.2	6.6	2.5	0.2	0.0													20.8	13th
14th	4.7	9.8	10.7	6.9	2.2	0.3	0.0														34.6	14th

Total	4.7	10.5	14.4	15.7	14.4	12.4	9.3	6.8	4.6	3.2	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	62.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	31.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	17.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%		12.6%	12.6%		14.0															0.0			0.0
14-4	0.1%		13.6%	13.6%		14.3														0.0		0.0		0.1
13-5	0.3%		10.3%	10.3%		16.4													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
12-6	0.6%		7.1%	7.1%		16.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
11-7	1.0%		0.8%	0.8%		14.5															0.0	0.0		1.0
10-8	1.8%		1.1%	1.1%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8
9-9	3.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
8-10	4.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
7-11	6.8%																							6.8
6-12	9.3%																							9.3
5-13	12.4%																							12.4
4-14	14.4%																							14.4
3-15	15.7%																							15.7
2-16	14.4%																							14.4
1-17	10.5%																							10.5
0-18	4.7%																							4.7

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%