Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#357
Expected Predictive Rating-20.9#363
Pace72.3#109
Improvement+2.1#58

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#341
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#354
Layup/Dunks-1.1#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement+1.1#92

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#353
First Shot-4.3#322
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#334
Layups/Dunks-4.5#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#305
Freethrows+2.7#42
Improvement+0.9#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 4.1% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.8% 41.1% 64.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Home) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 114 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 327 @Northern Illinois L 82-102 24%     0 - 1 -26.9 -0.4 -25.2
  Fri, Nov 7 61 @Mississippi L 65-86 2%     0 - 2 -8.9 -4.9 -2.8
  Thu, Nov 13 272 @Houston Christian L 61-72 14%     0 - 3 -13.9 -15.7 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 17 246 Lamar L 66-79 27%     0 - 4 -20.8 -9.4 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 22 309 Morehead St. L 80-83 29%     0 - 5 -11.7 +2.7 -14.3
  Sun, Nov 23 123 @East Tennessee St. L 55-97 4%     0 - 6 -36.2 -14.6 -22.1
  Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66-52 86%     1 - 6 -12.0 -12.3 +1.4
  Sun, Dec 7 137 @Stephen F. Austin L 76-96 5%     1 - 7 -15.5 +3.6 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 13 33 @Miami (FL) L 79-104 1%     1 - 8 -8.8 +13.5 -22.0
  Wed, Dec 17 180 South Alabama L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Dec 20 326 Louisiana L 68-69 44%    
  Sun, Dec 28 68 @Kansas St. L 69-94 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 202 Southern Miss L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Jan 3 241 Texas St. L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 326 @Louisiana L 65-72 24%    
  Sat, Jan 10 202 @Southern Miss L 68-83 9%    
  Sat, Jan 17 335 Georgia St. L 74-75 48%    
  Thu, Jan 22 160 @Marshall L 68-85 6%    
  Sat, Jan 24 230 @Appalachian St. L 62-75 11%    
  Thu, Jan 29 237 Georgia Southern L 77-84 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 245 Coastal Carolina L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 217 @Old Dominion L 69-83 11%    
  Wed, Feb 11 154 @Arkansas St. L 71-89 5%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 @Texas St. L 65-78 12%    
  Wed, Feb 18 142 Troy L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 154 Arkansas St. L 74-86 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 180 @South Alabama L 63-79 8%    
  Fri, Feb 27 142 @Troy L 66-84 5%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.2 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.7 1.0 0.0 6.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 4.5 5.3 1.8 0.1 13.6 12th
13th 0.7 4.4 9.2 8.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 26.1 13th
14th 5.1 12.8 15.4 9.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 46.2 14th
Total 5.1 13.6 19.9 20.2 16.5 11.4 6.5 3.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 11.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 0.8% 0.8
8-10 1.7% 1.7
7-11 3.8% 3.8
6-12 6.5% 6.5
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 16.5% 16.5
3-15 20.2% 20.2
2-16 19.9% 19.9
1-17 13.6% 13.6
0-18 5.1% 5.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.0%