N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#304
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#230
Pace72.4#101
Improvement-0.3#198

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#302
First Shot-3.7#281
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks-3.9#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#329
Freethrows+3.6#18
Improvement+0.3#146

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#267
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#203
Layups/Dunks-3.5#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#206
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement-0.6#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 10.5% 22.6% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 21.7% 6.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 22.3% 44.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 48 - 611 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 86 @South Carolina L 72-91 7%     0 - 1 -9.7 -0.9 -7.4
  Mon, Nov 10 361 South Carolina St. W 85-62 83%     1 - 1 +5.1 -7.5 +9.4
  Tue, Nov 18 358 @Morgan St. W 79-73 64%     2 - 1 -5.4 +0.1 -5.5
  Fri, Nov 28 126 @Davidson L 74-90 12%     2 - 2 -10.7 +8.2 -19.8
  Tue, Dec 2 198 @Charlotte L 57-74 21%     2 - 3 -16.4 -12.3 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 6 350 @NC Central W 69-54 56%     3 - 3 +5.8 -8.1 +13.5
  Tue, Dec 9 283 Howard L 69-73 46%     3 - 4 -10.6 -3.5 -7.2
  Fri, Dec 12 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-79 75%     4 - 4 -11.8 +3.6 -15.4
  Tue, Dec 16 291 @UNC Greensboro W 71-65 36%     5 - 4 +1.9 +0.3 +2.0
  Mon, Dec 29 108 UNC Wilmington L 68-76 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 212 Northeastern L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 239 @Stony Brook L 68-74 28%    
  Thu, Jan 8 180 Elon L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Jan 15 120 @William & Mary L 74-88 10%    
  Mon, Jan 19 227 @Hampton L 67-74 28%    
  Thu, Jan 22 115 Hofstra L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 137 Towson L 66-72 29%    
  Thu, Jan 29 237 @Monmouth L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 287 @Drexel L 68-72 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 185 @College of Charleston L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 229 Campbell L 77-78 48%    
  Fri, Feb 13 227 Hampton L 68-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 185 College of Charleston L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 180 @Elon L 73-82 21%    
  Thu, Feb 26 108 @UNC Wilmington L 65-79 10%    
  Sat, Feb 28 120 William & Mary L 77-85 25%    
  Tue, Mar 3 229 @Campbell L 74-81 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.7 0.3 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.3 2.4 0.1 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 13.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.1 7.4 5.1 0.8 0.0 18.6 12th
13th 1.2 4.2 7.9 8.2 4.9 1.0 0.1 27.4 13th
Total 1.2 4.3 9.0 12.6 15.5 16.0 13.4 10.8 7.6 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 80.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 58.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 29.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 8.3% 8.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 8.2% 8.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.7% 6.5% 6.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
10-8 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 4.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.4
8-10 7.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-14 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
3-15 12.6% 12.6
2-16 9.0% 9.0
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%