Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.5 148
Results Rating +1.3 134
Consistency 0.13 53
Pace 72.0 86
Improvement +4.3 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 200 C C- C C+ D+
Defense C+ 125 C- B- C B+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 243 D 52% 325 -3.6 310
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 68 C- 37% 211 +1.9 78
Three Pointers 37% 254 A- 39% 13 +1.1 145
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.9 299 C +0.2 156
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 195
Second Chance C+ 31.0% 163 D+ 0.97 272 C- 0.30 202
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 234
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 131
Turnovers C 16.7% 180
Freethrows B- 0.33 115 D+ 69% 281 C+ 0.23 156
Total Offense C- -1.3 200

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 271 D 13.4% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 15 B- 4.0% 114
Three Pointers C- 83% 220 C 0.8% 170
Total C 56% 165 D+ 6.3% 262


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 D+ 62% 283 +4.7 333
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 168 D+ 41% 298 +0.7 245
Three Pointers 35% 332 B+ 31% 38 -4.5 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 241 C +0.5 202
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 205
Second Chance C 30.8% 201 B+ 0.92 39 B- 0.28 100
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 226
Other Turnovers B 8.1% 73
Turnovers C 16.9% 163
Freethrows B 0.26 60 A+ 65% 1 B+ 0.17 19
Total Defense C+ +1.8 125

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 149 C- 9.2% 238
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 133 D 2.2% 318
Three Pointers C+ 82% 127 D- 0.0% 356
Total B- 51% 79 D+ 4.5% 267

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 74 17.5 220
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 309 0.19 252
Consistency 0.10 22 0.09 6
Improvement -1.7 274 +6.0 5

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 166 148 133
Results Rating Rank 156 136 112
Conference Record 9 - 5 9 - 5 9 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16% 33% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round16% 33% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 35 - 45 - 10
Quad 411 - 216 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 250 @American L 78 - 84 60% -3  13% 0 - 1 D+ -8 D -5 D D- F C- -2 D- C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 70 @Providence L 81 - 106 15% -10  5% 0 - 2 D- -13 C- -2 F+ C+ B F+ -9 F+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 108 Saint Joseph's W 83 - 74 48% +1  55% 1 - 2 B +10 B +6 A D F+ B +4 D+ A+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 214 @Drexel W 84 - 68 52% +9  98% 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 B+ A+ C- C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 28 175 Merrimack W 77 - 65 67% +4  60% 3 - 2 B- +8 C+ +4 B C+ A- B +5 A C+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 216 La Salle W 73 - 71 74% -3  28% 4 - 2 C- -4 C+ +2 B- A- C D -6 A+ F D+
 Sun, Nov 30 98 Hofstra L 60 - 77 43% -4  32% 4 - 3 D- -15 F -12 F B+ C- D+ -4 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 37 Villanova L 63 - 90 11% -15  0% 4 - 4 D- -13 C- -2 C- B- C- F -13 F B C+
 Mon, Dec 8 325 Lafayette W 74 - 72 90% +6  96% 5 - 4 D- -12 F+ -9 D- F+ B- C- -2 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 20 101 @Rutgers L 69 - 70 24% +4  89% 5 - 5 B- +7 C -0 F A+ D A- +7 B A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 99 @George Mason L 79 - 83 23% -3  21% 5 - 6 C+ +4 B+ +9 A+ F+ A- D+ -5 D F+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 334 NJIT W 80 - 61 92% +6  52% 6 - 6 C+ +4 C +0 A F+ C- B +4 B- B+ B-
 Mon, Jan 5 237 @Princeton L 76 - 78 58% +1  61% 6 - 7 0 - 1 C- -4 B- +4 F+ A+ F D- -7 F B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 291 Brown W 81 - 73 85% +1  57% 7 - 7 1 - 1 C- -3 B +7 B+ F+ A F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 278 @Dartmouth W 84 - 74 66% +1  44% 8 - 7 2 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 C B- A+ B- +2 B C- C-
 Mon, Jan 19 146 @Harvard L 63 - 64 38% -1  27% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +3 C- -1 C- F D+ B +4 C- B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 85 Yale L 60 - 77 38% -5  15% 8 - 9 2 - 3 D- -13 F -13 D- D- D+ C -1 B- C A
 Fri, Jan 30 198 @Columbia L 67 - 72 48% -5  2% 8 - 10 2 - 4 C- -4 D -5 D- C- B C+ +1 F A- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 153 @Cornell W 91 - 81 39% +11  97% 9 - 10 3 - 4 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F B+ +5 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 237 Princeton W 61 - 60 78% +5  90% 10 - 10 4 - 4 D+ -7 D -6 C- D B- C -0 B- B F
 Fri, Feb 13 198 Columbia W 76 - 67 71% -2  7% 11 - 10 5 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -2 C- C C B+ +6 C- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 153 Cornell W 82 - 76 62% +3  72% 12 - 10 6 - 4 C+ +3 D- -8 F D+ B A +11 A D+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 85 @Yale L 70 - 74 19% +2  56% 12 - 11 6 - 5 B- +6 C +0 C+ F+ B- B+ +6 A+ C C
 Fri, Feb 27 278 Dartmouth W 80 - 71 83% -3  23% 13 - 11 7 - 5 C -1 C +1 C D+ C+ C -1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 146 Harvard W 64 - 61 61% -2  27% 14 - 11 8 - 5 C +1 F -12 D- C D A+ +13 A B- A+
 Fri, Mar 6 291 @Brown W 82 - 61 69% +12  98% 15 - 11 9 - 5 A- +16 B +6 B- F+ B A +10 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Mar 14 146 Harvard L 68 - 69 50%
Totals 15 - 12 9 - 5 +1 C- -1 D- C D+ C+ +2 A- D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C- A- C 36% 48% 37% D+ C C+ D+ C- C B- D+ C+ C+ D+ D+ B+ C 44% 21% 35% C- C- C B+ B- C B A+ B+
1.07 52% 37% 39% 0 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 17% .33 69% .23 1.06 62% 41% 31% 0 0 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 17% .26 65% .21
Nov
9		 American D C F A+ D+ 31% 27% 42% F+ D F+ C- D- F A+ A- A+ C- C F B- D- 41% 9% 50% D- D- C- B+ C+ C F A+ D
1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42 1.09 57% 100% 32% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
11		 Providence C- F F A+ D- 23% 36% 41% F F+ D+ A C+ B A A A+ F+ F+ A+ F F+ 43% 16% 41% C F+ F F F A- C- F F
1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27 1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33
Nov
17		 Saint Joseph's B C- C- A+ A 47% 22% 31% B+ A B- F D F+ A+ A+ A+ B D- C- B- D 36% 14% 50% C+ D+ D A+ A+ C B A A-
1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 +1 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31 0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16
Nov
21		 Drexel A+ D+ A+ B- B+ 36% 21% 43% C+ B+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ C+ C- A B+ B 49% 26% 25% C B D C+ C- F C- A+ A
1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39 1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Merrimack C+ C A+ F B+ 46% 29% 25% C- B D+ A- C+ A- A- F D B D F+ A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% C+ A C B- C+ F A A- A+
1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21 0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17
Nov
29		 La Salle C+ D- B+ A+ B+ 31% 31% 38% F B- C A+ A- C B+ D B D B+ C+ A+ A 28% 36% 36% A+ A+ F F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.14 50% 43% 47% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.6 .47 17% .32 65% .21 1.11 47% 37% 21% -11 -3 0.75 46% 1.5 .68 16% .15 63% .09
Nov
30		 Hofstra F F F F F 27% 50% 23% F F B- A- B+ C- C C- C- D+ F B- C+ F 43% 29% 29% C- F C- F F+ A+ D- F F
0.90 29% 23% 25% -19 -5 0.56 33% 1.2 .40 15% .30 71% .21 1.15 83% 33% 33% +9 -1 1.19 35% 1.3 .43 22% .35 94% .33
Dec
6		 Villanova C- F F A+ C 27% 37% 37% F C- B- B- B- C- C- F F F C- F F F 32% 15% 53% C F C+ A- B C+ A- B- A-
0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08 1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16
Dec
8		 Lafayette F+ C+ D- F D- 46% 29% 25% C D- C F F+ B- C+ F D+ C- D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% F+ F B+ A+ A B- A- F B-
1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19 1.01 62% 14% 41% +2 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Rutgers C B B F F 37% 28% 35% D F B A+ A+ D A+ C- A+ A- A F A+ B 32% 34% 34% B- B A+ A+ A+ F F A- F
1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33 1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34
Dec
28		 George Mason B+ B- A- A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% D+ A+ D+ F F+ A- C F D- D+ F F A+ D 48% 26% 26% C D F+ D+ F+ F F A+ B-
1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13 1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23
Dec
31		 NJIT C B+ A A+ A+ 23% 21% 56% F+ A D+ F F+ C- D+ F F+ B B+ C+ B C+ 32% 36% 32% A- B- D A+ B+ B- A F B
1.15 67% 45% 41% +10 -1 1.19 31% 0.8 .26 16% .32 58% .19 0.87 47% 37% 29% -6 -2 0.85 29% 0.5 .16 20% .21 83% .18
Jan
5		 Princeton B- F A+ B+ F 52% 24% 24% C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ A+ D- D- F F F 53% 11% 36% F F B+ B+ B+ D- F A+ D
1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36 1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
10		 Brown B F A+ A+ A 31% 40% 29% F B+ B- F F+ A A+ C+ A+ F+ D B C- F+ 48% 19% 33% C D- C+ F D+ F B+ B- B
1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37 1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
17		 Dartmouth B- F C- A+ C 44% 20% 35% C C B- C B- A+ A+ F A+ B- A- F A- B+ 31% 11% 57% D B D B C- C- F C+ F
1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28 1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32
Jan
19		 Harvard C- F+ A C C 40% 21% 38% D+ C- C F F D+ A B A B D- A+ B C+ 47% 10% 43% F C- C+ A B C+ A A+ A+
1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25 1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
24		 Yale F F A+ D D 29% 24% 47% D D- D F+ D- D+ A- F C+ C C- A+ F B+ 56% 19% 25% D- B- F A+ C A B- F C-
0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20 1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
30		 Columbia D C- F A+ D+ 32% 41% 27% F D- D+ C+ C- B F F F C+ F A F F 48% 22% 30% C+ F B A A- A+ A+ B A+
1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10 1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08
Jan
31		 Cornell B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% C+ A+ B- F F F A+ C+ A+ B+ B+ C+ F C 35% 9% 56% C+ C B+ A+ A+ F C- A+ B
1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38 1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17
Feb
7		 Princeton D C D- B C 37% 33% 30% F C- B F D B- C- D- D+ C B- F A+ B+ 49% 17% 34% F+ B- D+ A+ B F C A+ B
1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19 1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Columbia D+ F A- A- C 37% 24% 39% D+ C- C- C+ C C C- C- C- B+ D- A+ B- C 52% 10% 38% F+ C- B B- B A+ C A+ B+
1.08 45% 46% 38% -1 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22 0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14
Feb
14		 Cornell D- D- A+ F F 49% 21% 30% C F C F+ D+ B A+ F+ A+ A B- F A A+ 55% 4% 41% F A D C D+ B+ F+ A+ B+
1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40 1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17
Feb
21		 Yale C F F+ A+ C+ 39% 25% 35% C- C+ D+ F F+ B- C- C C- B+ C+ F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% A+ A+ C C C C C C- C
1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17 1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25
Feb
27		 Dartmouth C B+ F B C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C B+ F D+ C+ A+ F A+ C D B D D 38% 20% 42% C D+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C+
1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36 1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24
Feb
28		 Harvard F F F B+ F+ 52% 17% 31% B- D- D A- C D F F F A+ C C+ A+ A+ 42% 15% 42% D A B B- B- A+ A B A
0.89 44% 22% 38% -8 +1 0.88 26% 1.2 .31 18% .17 60% .10 0.85 59% 38% 23% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.9 .21 27% .17 78% .13
Mar
6		 Brown B B+ F+ C+ B- 42% 16% 42% B- B- C+ F F+ B D+ C- D+ A C F C+ D 63% 2% 35% F F+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C+
1.14 65% 33% 35% +3 +1 1.09 33% 0.6 .21 15% .31 74% .23 0.85 55% 100% 31% -2 +4 1.07 31% 0.5 .17 32% .33 50% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 16.5% 16.5% 13.7 0.2 5.2 10.7 0.4 83.5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 13.7 83.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 16.5% 100.0% 13.7 1.3 31.4 65.0 2.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 33.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 49.6%