Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#213
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#156
Pace71.5#137
Improvement+2.6#30

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#154
First Shot+0.3#166
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#177
Layup/Dunks-4.4#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows+1.9#77
Improvement+1.4#67

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#300
First Shot-1.6#233
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#301
Layups/Dunks-5.2#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#122
Freethrows+3.8#13
Improvement+1.2#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.8% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 47.8% 61.8% 35.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 46.3% 35.7%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.1% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.7% 16.0% 22.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.7% 4.8% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 49 - 413 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 273 @American L 78-84 49%     0 - 1 -9.2 -1.8 -6.9
  Tue, Nov 11 76 @Providence L 81-106 10%     0 - 2 -14.6 +1.8 -13.5
  Mon, Nov 17 179 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 54%     1 - 2 +4.6 +3.3 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 21 258 @Drexel W 84-68 47%     2 - 2 +13.4 +14.4 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 28 283 Merrimack W 77-65 73%     3 - 2 +2.4 +2.5 +0.2
  Sat, Nov 29 212 La Salle W 73-71 61%     4 - 2 -4.4 +4.5 -8.6
  Sun, Nov 30 146 Hofstra L 74-75 46%    
  Mon, Dec 8 328 Lafayette W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Dec 20 119 @Rutgers L 69-78 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 68 @George Mason L 65-80 9%    
  Wed, Dec 31 349 NJIT W 81-69 86%    
  Mon, Jan 5 239 @Princeton L 74-76 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 251 Brown W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 245 @Dartmouth L 78-80 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 187 @Harvard L 70-75 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 72 Yale L 76-84 23%    
  Fri, Jan 30 135 @Columbia L 74-82 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 162 @Cornell L 81-87 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 239 Princeton W 77-73 64%    
  Fri, Feb 13 135 Columbia L 77-79 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 162 Cornell W 85-84 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 72 @Yale L 73-87 10%    
  Fri, Feb 27 245 Dartmouth W 81-77 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 187 Harvard W 73-72 56%    
  Fri, Mar 6 251 @Brown L 70-71 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.0 6.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 7.9 3.0 0.3 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 4.5 8.5 2.7 0.1 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 8.2 2.8 0.1 15.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.8 6.5 2.5 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.4 1.8 3.6 4.3 1.6 0.1 11.8 8th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.4 8.5 12.6 15.6 16.1 14.9 11.1 7.7 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 88.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
11-3 56.0% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-4 23.9% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 19.6% 19.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 25.8% 25.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-3 2.0% 19.1% 19.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-4 4.2% 14.0% 14.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.6
9-5 7.7% 10.9% 10.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.8
8-6 11.1% 8.7% 8.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 10.1
7-7 14.9% 4.2% 4.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.3
6-8 16.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0
5-9 15.6% 15.6
4-10 12.6% 12.6
3-11 8.5% 8.5
2-12 4.4% 4.4
1-13 1.8% 1.8
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.2 96.3 0.0%