IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.6	#344
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#187
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#346

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.5%	15.5%	9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.0	15.4	15.9

.500 or above	18.0%	58.7%	17.8%
.500 or above in Conference	40.1%	72.9%	39.8%
Conference Champion	2.1%	5.8%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	14.8%	3.2%	14.9%

First Four	7.9%	7.7%	7.9%
First Round	5.5%	14.2%	5.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 8	8 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	47	@ Oklahoma	L	59-85	1%
Nov 06, 2025	55	@ TCU	L	56-80	1%
Nov 11, 2025	269	Mount St. Mary's	L	67-70	40%
Nov 18, 2025	306	@ Lehigh	L	65-72	28%
Nov 24, 2025	112	Belmont	L	67-82	9%
Dec 01, 2025	50	@ Xavier	L	59-85	1%
Dec 07, 2025	150	@ Radford	L	59-74	10%
Dec 14, 2025	132	@ Temple	L	65-81	8%
Dec 17, 2025	5	@ Florida	L	56-92	0.1%
Jan 04, 2026	354	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	74-70	65%
Jan 08, 2026	343	@ Wagner	L	57-60	40%
Jan 17, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	65-66	48%
Jan 19, 2026	340	Stonehill	W	68-65	59%
Jan 23, 2026	349	Chicago St.	W	72-69	61%
Jan 25, 2026	363	@ New Haven	W	71-68	59%
Jan 29, 2026	349	@ Chicago St.	L	69-72	42%
Jan 31, 2026	363	New Haven	W	74-65	76%
Feb 05, 2026	361	@ Mercyhurst	W	66-65	54%
Feb 12, 2026	354	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-73	45%
Feb 21, 2026	343	Wagner	W	60-57	59%
Feb 26, 2026	340	@ Stonehill	L	65-68	40%
Feb 28, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	62-69	30%
Projected Record						8 - 14	7 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5					2.1	1st
2nd										0.2	1.5	2.5	1.2	0.2					5.5	2nd
3rd									0.3	2.1	3.6	1.8	0.2						7.9	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	2.5	5.0	2.3	0.2							10.3	4th
5th							0.2	2.4	5.8	3.3	0.4	0.0							12.1	5th
6th					0.0	0.3	2.4	6.3	3.9	0.5	0.0								13.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	2.4	6.2	4.4	0.7	0.0									14.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.7	5.4	4.1	0.8	0.0										13.5	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.9	2.8	4.5	3.3	0.8	0.0											12.3	9th
10th	0.4	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.0												8.9	10th

Total	0.4	1.6	3.4	5.8	9.1	11.7	13.8	14.1	13.1	11.1	7.9	5.0	2.3	0.7						Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	76.1%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
12-4	40.5%	0.9		0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-5	10.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.7%		50.9%	50.9%		16.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.3
12-4	2.3%		43.0%	43.0%		18.1														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3
11-5	5.0%		31.0%	31.0%		17.9														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	3.5
10-6	7.9%		22.5%	22.5%		17.4															0.0	0.2	1.8	6.1
9-7	11.1%		14.0%	14.0%		16.8																0.1	1.6	9.5
8-8	13.1%		9.4%	9.4%		16.2																	1.3	11.9
7-9	14.1%		6.3%	6.3%		16.3																	0.9	13.2
6-10	13.8%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.7	13.1
5-11	11.7%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	11.4
4-12	9.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	9.0
3-13	5.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
2-14	3.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
1-15	1.6%																							1.6
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		9.5%	9.5%	0.0%	17.0														0.0	0.2	0.9	9.0	90.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%