Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#334
Expected Predictive Rating-15.2#349
Pace68.8#214
Improvement-2.2#335

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#356
First Shot-1.9#222
After Offensive Rebound-6.4#365
Layup/Dunks-3.0#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#53
Freethrows-5.3#362
Improvement-1.0#279

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#232
First Shot-4.3#317
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#57
Layups/Dunks-3.9#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#129
Freethrows-1.2#258
Improvement-1.1#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.5% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.8% 29.2% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.2% 74.3% 61.4%
Conference Champion 8.4% 12.7% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 4.5% 8.9%
First Four7.6% 9.0% 7.4%
First Round3.7% 5.1% 3.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 411 - 1311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 109 @DePaul L 64-72 7%     0 - 1 -1.4 -9.4 +8.7
  Tue, Nov 11 106 @Rhode Island L 57-80 6%     0 - 2 -15.7 -13.3 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 14 288 @Fairfield L 71-73 OT 27%     0 - 3 -5.9 -11.2 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 15 301 Loyola Maryland L 63-74 40%     0 - 4 -18.8 -9.3 -10.1
  Mon, Nov 17 4 @Iowa St. L 57-96 1%     0 - 5 -16.1 -4.9 -10.9
  Fri, Nov 21 327 Lafayette W 74-70 58%     1 - 5 -8.4 -6.3 -2.2
  Wed, Nov 26 309 Umass Lowell L 64-75 52%     1 - 6 -22.0 -14.0 -8.3
  Sun, Nov 30 193 @Quinnipiac L 67-78 14%    
  Tue, Dec 2 302 @Bryant L 66-72 30%    
  Wed, Dec 17 354 @New Hampshire L 67-68 48%    
  Mon, Dec 22 64 @Syracuse L 59-81 2%    
  Fri, Jan 2 345 New Haven W 67-63 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 292 @Wagner L 65-71 29%    
  Thu, Jan 8 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 61-70 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 Chicago St. W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 320 @Mercyhurst L 62-67 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 359 @St. Francis (PA) W 70-69 52%    
  Fri, Jan 23 232 LIU Brooklyn L 69-72 38%    
  Sun, Jan 25 244 Central Connecticut St. L 64-67 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 336 @Le Moyne L 71-74 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 73-72 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 232 @LIU Brooklyn L 66-75 20%    
  Thu, Feb 12 340 @Chicago St. L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 292 Wagner L 67-68 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 345 @New Haven L 64-66 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 336 Le Moyne W 74-71 61%    
  Thu, Feb 26 359 St. Francis (PA) W 73-67 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 320 Mercyhurst W 65-64 53%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 8.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.8 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.5 1.0 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.7 4.5 0.9 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.5 1.1 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.8 1.1 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.6 6.8 9.6 11.9 13.0 13.2 12.2 9.5 6.8 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.3% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-1 92.8% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 76.8% 1.9    1.4 0.4 0.0
13-3 51.9% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
12-4 29.1% 2.0    0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 29.2% 29.2% 16.0 0.1 0.3
15-1 1.1% 36.6% 36.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 0.7
14-2 2.4% 27.9% 27.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 1.7
13-3 4.6% 21.2% 21.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.6
12-4 6.8% 16.6% 16.6% 16.0 1.1 5.7
11-5 9.5% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3 8.3
10-6 12.2% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 1.2 11.0
9-7 13.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.8 12.4
8-8 13.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 12.3
7-9 11.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.5
6-10 9.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.4
5-11 6.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.7
4-12 4.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.6
3-13 2.3% 2.3
2-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.9 92.0 0.0%