UNLV
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#139
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#213
Pace77.0#29
Improvement-1.8#299

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#140
First Shot+1.5#134
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks+3.8#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#303
Freethrows+1.5#96
Improvement-4.4#362

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#153
First Shot+2.3#93
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#312
Layups/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#22
Freethrows-1.7#295
Improvement+2.6#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 13.7
.500 or above 15.2% 18.7% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 32.6% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.1% 7.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 64 - 11
Quad 33 - 48 - 16
Quad 45 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 251 Tennessee Martin L 81-86 82%     0 - 1 -13.2 -4.4 -8.2
  Sat, Nov 8 247 Chattanooga W 101-69 81%     1 - 1 +24.0 +25.7 -0.7
  Tue, Nov 11 204 Montana L 93-102 76%     1 - 2 -14.9 +3.3 -17.0
  Sun, Nov 16 76 @Memphis W 92-78 19%     2 - 2 +24.6 +15.1 +7.7
  Thu, Nov 20 174 Saint Joseph's W 99-85 70%     3 - 2 +10.0 +13.8 -5.5
  Mon, Nov 24 95 Maryland L 67-74 34%     3 - 3 -1.5 -6.0 +4.8
  Tue, Nov 25 16 Alabama L 76-115 7%     3 - 4 -21.6 -0.6 -16.6
  Thu, Nov 27 130 Rutgers L 65-80 48%     3 - 5 -13.2 -5.8 -7.6
  Sun, Dec 7 88 @Stanford W 75-74 23%     4 - 5 +10.1 +4.1 +6.0
  Sat, Dec 13 230 Tennessee St. L 60-63 79%     4 - 6 -10.1 -14.2 +4.2
  Sat, Dec 20 181 Fresno St. W 83-77 71%    
  Sat, Jan 3 322 Air Force W 79-65 90%    
  Tue, Jan 6 90 @Wyoming L 75-83 25%    
  Fri, Jan 9 70 @Colorado St. L 72-82 18%    
  Tue, Jan 13 46 Boise St. L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 188 @San Jose St. W 77-76 50%    
  Tue, Jan 20 44 @Utah St. L 73-86 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 52 San Diego St. L 76-82 29%    
  Tue, Jan 27 74 New Mexico L 80-83 38%    
  Fri, Jan 30 98 @Nevada L 73-80 27%    
  Tue, Feb 3 181 @Fresno St. L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 91 Grand Canyon L 75-77 45%    
  Tue, Feb 10 188 San Jose St. W 79-73 71%    
  Fri, Feb 13 46 @Boise St. L 68-81 12%    
  Wed, Feb 18 70 Colorado St. L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 322 @Air Force W 76-68 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 91 @Grand Canyon L 72-80 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 98 Nevada L 76-77 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 44 Utah St. L 76-83 26%    
  Fri, Mar 6 52 @San Diego St. L 73-85 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.4 0.2 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.4 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.8 5.6 1.5 0.1 15.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 4.1 7.7 6.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 20.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.7 6.5 3.9 1.0 0.0 17.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.4 9.0 12.5 14.7 14.5 12.9 10.7 7.3 4.4 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 37.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 16.4% 16.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.5% 9.9% 8.5% 1.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5%
14-6 1.3% 5.4% 5.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
13-7 2.7% 6.3% 6.3% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
12-8 4.4% 3.0% 3.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.2
11-9 7.3% 2.9% 2.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 7.0
10-10 10.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
9-11 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
8-12 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 14.5
7-13 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.7
6-14 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-15 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-16 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.0 0.0%