IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.4	#161
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	79.8	#5
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.0	#134

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#219

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.7%	18.2%	10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.9	13.4	14.1

.500 or above	66.7%	75.9%	49.3%
.500 or above in Conference	78.2%	82.7%	69.7%
Conference Champion	18.1%	21.7%	11.5%
Last Place in Conference	2.0%	1.4%	3.0%

First Four	0.9%	0.7%	1.3%
First Round	15.5%	18.2%	10.5%
Second Round	1.2%	1.5%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Neutral) - 65.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 4	17 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	245	Queens	W	83-79	65%
Nov 07, 2025	99	@ George Mason	L	68-77	21%
Nov 11, 2025	275	@ Coastal Carolina	W	75-72	60%
Nov 15, 2025	248	Mercer	W	85-78	75%
Nov 18, 2025	17	@ Arkansas	L	70-90	4%
Nov 23, 2025	238	@ Jackson St.	W	79-78	53%
Nov 25, 2025	60	@ Nebraska	L	72-85	13%
Nov 29, 2025	311	South Carolina St.	W	84-73	83%
Dec 02, 2025	300	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	74-70	64%
Dec 06, 2025	275	Coastal Carolina	W	78-69	77%
Dec 18, 2025	315	@ North Dakota	W	84-79	67%
Dec 28, 2025	12	@ Texas Tech	L	67-88	3%
Dec 31, 2025	204	@ Longwood	L	80-81	47%
Jan 03, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	85-74	82%
Jan 07, 2026	318	Charleston Southern	W	83-72	83%
Jan 10, 2026	336	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	89-82	73%
Jan 14, 2026	108	High Point	L	78-80	45%
Jan 17, 2026	184	@ UNC Asheville	L	79-81	44%
Jan 21, 2026	150	Radford	W	74-72	57%
Jan 24, 2026	267	@ Presbyterian	W	75-73	58%
Jan 31, 2026	184	UNC Asheville	W	82-78	64%
Feb 04, 2026	150	@ Radford	L	71-75	37%
Feb 07, 2026	204	Longwood	W	83-78	66%
Feb 12, 2026	307	@ Gardner-Webb	W	82-77	65%
Feb 19, 2026	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	92-79	86%
Feb 21, 2026	108	@ High Point	L	75-83	26%
Feb 26, 2026	318	@ Charleston Southern	W	80-75	67%
Feb 28, 2026	267	Presbyterian	W	78-70	76%
Projected Record						16 - 12	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.1	3.4	5.2	4.9	2.6	0.8		18.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.0	6.6	6.7	3.1	0.5				20.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	4.3	7.1	5.1	1.2	0.1					18.8	3rd
4th							0.1	1.5	4.6	5.9	3.2	0.5	0.0						15.7	4th
5th						0.1	1.5	4.2	4.3	1.7	0.2								11.9	5th
6th				0.0	0.2	1.2	3.1	2.5	0.6	0.0	0.0								7.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	1.1	0.2											4.1	7th
8th			0.1	0.5	1.0	0.5	0.1												2.3	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0													1.0	9th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	3.6	5.9	8.5	10.4	12.4	13.6	13.3	11.4	8.4	5.4	2.6	0.8			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
15-1	100.0%	2.6		2.5	0.1
14-2	90.4%	4.9		3.7	1.1	0.0
13-3	62.1%	5.2		3.0	1.9	0.3
12-4	30.3%	3.4		1.3	1.6	0.5	0.0
11-5	8.1%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	18.1%	18.1		11.5	5.3	1.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.8%		62.4%	62.4%		11.4						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			0.3
15-1	2.6%		53.1%	52.9%	0.2%	12.1										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.2		0.3%
14-2	5.4%		41.3%	41.3%		12.6											0.0	0.2	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.0		3.2
13-3	8.4%		32.0%	32.0%		13.1												0.1	0.7	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0	5.7
12-4	11.4%		23.3%	23.3%		13.8												0.0	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.5	0.1	8.7
11-5	13.3%		18.5%	18.5%		14.4													0.1	0.6	1.0	0.7	0.1	10.9
10-6	13.6%		11.9%	11.9%		14.9													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.2	12.0
9-7	12.4%		7.8%	7.8%		16.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	11.4
8-8	10.4%		6.1%	6.1%		17.1														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	9.8
7-9	8.5%		4.4%	4.4%		17.1															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.1
6-10	5.9%		2.0%	2.0%		17.0																0.0	0.1	5.8
5-11	3.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	3.5
4-12	2.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
3-13	1.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
2-14	0.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.7%	15.7%	0.0%	13.9						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8	2.8	3.9	3.9	2.8	1.7	84.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.0					100.0