St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.1 20
Results Rating +18.8 18
Consistency 0.16 192
Pace 73.5 50
Improvement -0.1 187

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 44 C+ A- A- A- B
Defense A 10 A B A- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 13 C 59% 160 +5.0 28
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 252 C- 36% 251 -2.2 287
Three Pointers 38% 250 C 34% 162 -1.5 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 38 C +0.1 164
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 136
Second Chance A- 37.5% 22 B+ 1.15 38 A- 0.43 19
Opponents' Steals A- 7.1% 11
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 44
Turnovers A- 13.1% 15
Freethrows A 0.38 7 C+ 73% 156 A- 0.28 8
Total Offense B+ +7.6 44

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 58% 36 C+ 10.4% 154
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 53% 3 B 2.8% 38
Three Pointers C+ 86% 125 B+ 0.2% 22
Total A- 66% 26 C+ 5.4% 163


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 A 47% 8 -2.2 105
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 59 B- 36% 94 +1.0 274
Three Pointers 32% 359 B+ 30% 28 -6.3 1
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 132 A -7.2 8
1st FG Attempt A 0.87 11
Second Chance B 26.8% 61 C+ 0.99 112 B 0.26 61
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.6% 44
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 16
Turnovers A- 20.7% 16
Freethrows B- 0.28 99 B- 71% 84 B- 0.19 84
Total Defense A +10.5 10

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 31 B 14.9% 52
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 20 B- 6.6% 76
Three Pointers A- 76% 19 A+ 2.8% 6
Total A 43% 7 A 9.0% 15

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 16 18.6 337
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 10 0.13 53
Consistency 0.14 322 0.11 106
Improvement -2.9 312 +2.8 65

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 20 20 13
Results Rating Rank 19 18 11
Conference Record 18 - 2 18 - 2 18 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 4% 9% 0%
Top 4 Seed 33% 56% 17%
Top 6 Seed 92% 99% 87%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% n/a 100%
Average Seed 4.9 4.2 5.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round84% 89% 81%
Sweet Sixteen42% 47% 39%
Elite Eight15% 17% 14%
Final Four5% 6% 5%
Championship Game2% 2% 2%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 24 - 6
Quad 212 - 015 - 6
Quad 38 - 124 - 7
Quad 44 - 027 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 217 Quinnipiac W 108 - 74 98% +22  99% 1 - 0 A+ +28 A +14 A+ B+ C A- +8 B- A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 15 Alabama L 96 - 103 60% -4  13% 1 - 1 B +8 B +7 B+ A- C+ B- +2 B+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 15 151 William & Mary W 93 - 60 96% +15  96% 2 - 1 A+ +30 B- +4 C- B A A+ +23 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 330 Bucknell W 97 - 49 99% +17  76% 3 - 1 A+ +34 B+ +9 B+ C+ C A+ +21 A+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 6 Iowa St. L 82 - 83 33% -2  29% 3 - 2 A +22 A+ +21 C A+ A+ C+ +1 A+ F B
 Tue, Nov 25 46 Baylor W 96 - 81 72% +12  99% 4 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- B+ +6 A+ B- C+
 Wed, Nov 26 38 Auburn L 74 - 85 67% -0  45% 4 - 3 C+ +3 B- +5 D- A+ D- C- -3 D- F+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 66 Mississippi W 63 - 58 87% +7  89% 5 - 3 B +11 F+ -10 F A+ F A+ +21 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 13 253 Iona W 91 - 64 98% +8  78% 6 - 3 A +19 B- +5 A B+ F A+ +11 A+ C+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 94 DePaul W 79 - 66 92% +10  95% 7 - 3 1 - 0 A- +16 B+ +9 B+ C A+ A- +7 A+ D+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 25 Kentucky L 66 - 78 58% -1  53% 7 - 4 C+ +4 C- -1 F A+ C B +5 A- D A+
 Tue, Dec 23 146 Harvard W 85 - 59 96% +10  65% 8 - 4 A+ +24 A +13 A- A+ D+ A+ +11 B- A+ A-
 Wed, Dec 31 73 @Georgetown W 95 - 83 74% +6  67% 9 - 4 2 - 0 A +23 A+ +26 A+ A+ B- C- -3 D B B+
 Sat, Jan 3 70 Providence L 71 - 77 87% +5  90% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C -0 F+ -10 F A D+ A +10 A+ F C+
 Tue, Jan 6 83 @Butler W 84 - 70 78% +4  53% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +24 A- +11 B C+ A+ A+ +13 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 71 @Creighton W 90 - 73 74% +13  83% 11 - 5 4 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +23 A+ C+ A+ B+ +6 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 76 Marquette W 92 - 68 89% +11  99% 12 - 5 5 - 1 A+ +29 A+ +15 B A+ A A+ +13 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 37 @Villanova W 86 - 79 55% +5  81% 13 - 5 6 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 B+ A- A+ B+ +7 C D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 20 51 Seton Hall W 65 - 60 83% -4  14% 14 - 5 7 - 1 B+ +13 B- +4 F A+ A A +9 B B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 88 @Xavier W 88 - 83 80% -3  34% 15 - 5 8 - 1 B+ +14 B +7 C- A A- A- +7 C- A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 83 Butler W 92 - 70 90% +13  97% 16 - 5 9 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +28 A+ A+ A+ C+ +0 B+ A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 94 @DePaul W 68 - 56 81% +4  66% 17 - 5 10 - 1 A +21 B- +5 F A+ A+ A+ +16 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Feb 6 9 Connecticut W 81 - 72 53% +3  72% 18 - 5 11 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +16 A A+ A+ A +11 D+ A A+
 Mon, Feb 9 88 Xavier W 87 - 82 OT 91% +0  52% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B +8 D+ -3 C F A A +11 A+ C C-
 Sat, Feb 14 70 @Providence W 79 - 69 73% +7  90% 20 - 5 13 - 1 A +22 C- -1 F B+ A+ A+ +21 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 76 @Marquette W 76 - 70 75% +3  75% 21 - 5 14 - 1 A- +17 B+ +9 C+ A A- A- +8 A- C C
 Sat, Feb 21 71 Creighton W 81 - 52 88% +16  99% 22 - 5 15 - 1 A+ +34 C+ +2 C+ C C+ A+ +30 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 25 9 @Connecticut L 40 - 72 31% -18  1% 22 - 6 15 - 2 D -9 F -15 F F+ A+ C+ +0 A B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 37 Villanova W 89 - 57 76% +19  94% 23 - 6 16 - 2 A+ +43 A+ +15 A A A+ A+ +26 A+ A A+
 Tue, Mar 3 73 Georgetown W 72 - 69 88% -4  19% 24 - 6 17 - 2 B +8 C -0 D- A- A A- +8 B- A A+
 Fri, Mar 6 51 @Seton Hall W 72 - 65 65% +4  84% 25 - 6 18 - 2 A +21 A+ +15 A+ C A+ A- +7 A+ F D+
 Thu, Mar 12 70 Providence W 85 - 72 81% +15  97% 26 - 6 A +22 B- +4 C+ B B+ A+ +17 A A+ C-
 Fri, Mar 13 51 Seton Hall W 78 - 68 75% +10  99% 27 - 6 A +21 A+ +17 A A+ A- B +5 A F B
 Sat, Mar 14 9 Connecticut L 71 - 73 41%
Totals 27 - 7 18 - 2 +18 B+ +8 B C B A +10 C C+ A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C C- C C 47% 31% 38% B C+ A- B+ A- A- A C+ A- A A B- B+ A 43% 25% 32% C+ A B C+ B A- B- B- B-
1.19 59% 36% 34% 0 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .43 13% .38 73% .28 0.94 47% 36% 30% -7 0 0.87 27% 1.0 .26 21% .28 71% .27
Nov
3		 Quinnipiac A B+ F A+ A 64% 7% 29% A+ A+ A C- B+ C A+ F A+ A- A- D- B B- 42% 30% 28% B- B- C- A+ A- A+ C- C C
1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32 0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21
Nov
8		 Alabama B B- A F B 48% 26% 26% B+ B+ C- A+ A- C+ A+ B- A+ B- C- D A- B+ 39% 17% 43% B+ B+ B+ F C F+ B+ A+ A+
1.14 57% 47% 27% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.5 .38 14% .55 70% .39 1.22 63% 50% 30% +1 0 1.06 30% 1.4 .41 8% .28 64% .18
Nov
15		 William & Mary B- C+ A+ F D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C- A- D+ B A B- D+ C+ A+ A+ A- A A+ 34% 14% 52% B+ A+ D F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.16 61% 67% 24% -2 +2 1.03 39% 0.9 .37 14% .32 68% .22 0.75 41% 29% 27% -13 +1 0.78 29% 1.5 .42 30% .21 42% .09
Nov
20		 Bucknell B+ A+ B- D+ B 47% 13% 40% A B+ A+ F C+ C A+ C A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C- A+ A- A A- A+ F A F
1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33 0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29
Nov
24		 Iowa St. A+ D- F B D+ 46% 19% 35% A C A+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ 43% 24% 33% B A+ F F F B F F F
1.20 50% 22% 35% -6 +1 0.92 42% 1.2 .50 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 43% 25% 44% -5 0 0.92 45% 1.3 .58 16% .43 80% .35
Nov
25		 Baylor A+ C+ C- A+ A- 48% 15% 37% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ F+ A- B+ A+ C A- A+ 42% 22% 36% F A+ F A+ B- C+ B F C-
1.34 62% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.9 .55 14% .36 68% .24 1.13 43% 42% 30% -7 0 0.87 51% 0.8 .39 15% .28 88% .25
Nov
26		 Auburn B- D+ F F F 44% 10% 46% A D- A+ A A+ D- A+ B- A+ C- F B F F+ 49% 24% 27% B- D- F C F+ A- F+ F F
1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40 1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38
Dec
6		 Mississippi F+ F F F F 40% 13% 48% A F A A- A+ F A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 28% 28% F A+ F+ A+ B A+ F D- F
0.88 31% 20% 21% -22 +1 0.60 39% 1.2 .47 28% .68 71% .48 0.81 55% 23% 15% -13 -1 0.74 36% 0.8 .28 28% .39 80% .31
Dec
13		 Iona B- C+ A+ A A- 42% 8% 50% A- A C+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 52% 21% 26% D A+ D+ B+ C+ C- A+ C- A+
1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36 0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08
Dec
16		 DePaul B+ D+ D A+ B 47% 12% 41% A+ B+ C C- C A+ B- A+ A- A- A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 22% 41% C+ A+ B F D+ C A+ F A+
1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28 0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09
Dec
20		 Kentucky C- D- F F F 31% 29% 40% C F B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ F C+ A- 45% 30% 26% B A- F A- D A+ F+ F F
0.95 46% 17% 24% -16 -2 0.67 32% 1.2 .38 17% .56 84% .47 1.13 43% 57% 33% -1 -1 0.98 48% 1.0 .48 23% .41 82% .34
Dec
23		 Harvard A D+ A+ A+ B+ 57% 2% 42% A+ A- A+ C- A+ D+ A- B+ A A+ F A- A+ B- 35% 27% 38% A- B- A A+ A+ A- B C- B
1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25 0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17
Dec
31		 Georgetown A+ D F+ A+ A+ 29% 21% 50% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ B+ A+ C- A- D- F D- 40% 26% 34% C+ D D- A+ B B+ F+ D F
1.36 50% 30% 50% +8 -1 1.17 42% 1.6 .70 16% .44 77% .34 1.19 50% 46% 47% +6 -1 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 17% .40 78% .31
Jan
3		 Providence F+ F C+ F F 40% 18% 42% B F A+ D A D+ A+ F A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 52% 19% 29% C- A+ D+ F F C+ F C+ F
0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38 1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33
Jan
6		 Butler A- B B- A- A- 37% 33% 30% F+ B F+ A+ C+ A+ C B- C+ A+ F B F F 38% 27% 36% A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D
1.18 64% 40% 39% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.4 .29 7% .23 73% .17 0.98 71% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.18 22% 0.7 .15 29% .36 83% .30
Jan
10		 Creighton A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 28% 33% 39% D- A+ B+ F+ C+ A+ A D A- B+ D C- D- D 27% 20% 53% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ C- F F F
1.34 60% 39% 57% +14 -2 1.26 33% 0.8 .28 9% .29 67% .20 1.09 69% 40% 38% +7 -1 1.14 7% 0.0 .00 13% .34 85% .29
Jan
13		 Marquette A+ B- A+ F B- 54% 16% 30% A- B A- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D+ C- 64% 5% 32% F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F
1.23 61% 56% 24% 0 +2 1.05 41% 1.2 .47 16% .38 88% .34 0.91 57% 50% 36% +1 +4 1.11 21% 0.4 .09 25% .49 63% .31
Jan
17		 Villanova A+ B C B- B+ 45% 27% 29% B- B+ A- B+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A- D F C- 28% 20% 52% B+ C A F D+ A+ F D F
1.21 64% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 13% .50 68% .34 1.11 54% 44% 42% +6 -1 1.13 27% 1.4 .38 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
20		 Seton Hall B- D F F F 58% 21% 21% B F A+ B- A+ A A+ C A+ A A+ D+ F A 60% 12% 28% F B F A+ B- A F+ A+ B-
1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40 0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22
Jan
24		 Xavier B D B+ B C 40% 32% 28% D C- B+ A+ A A- A F+ B A- A- D F C- 38% 29% 34% C C- A+ A+ A+ A- D+ F F+
1.15 52% 44% 38% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.2 .40 13% .35 65% .23 1.09 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.13 16% 0.8 .13 16% .29 84% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Butler A+ A A A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A B C+ A+ F F A 54% 13% 33% D- B+ B A A- F F A+ C
1.47 71% 45% 45% +13 0 1.29 42% 1.2 .52 8% .24 79% .19 1.12 40% 50% 40% -5 +2 0.96 32% 0.9 .29 10% .53 50% .27
Feb
3		 DePaul B- F F D F 53% 13% 34% A+ F A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 35% 26% 40% B A+ D A B- A+ F+ D- F
1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34 0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30
Feb
6		 Connecticut A+ B- A+ D- A- 48% 13% 39% A A B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A A F F C- 53% 11% 36% F+ D+ A+ F A A+ A A+ A+
1.18 55% 67% 28% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.8 .55 15% .53 71% .37 1.05 52% 80% 47% +8 +2 1.23 21% 1.5 .31 22% .22 42% .09
Feb
9		 Xavier D+ B F F D+ 57% 22% 20% B+ C B- F F A A+ D+ A+ A A+ F B+ A+ 45% 35% 20% C+ A+ A- F C C- B- A+ A
1.05 65% 25% 27% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.4 .12 12% .56 68% .38 0.99 40% 52% 31% -4 -1 0.91 22% 1.3 .29 11% .23 53% .12
Feb
14		 Providence C- D- F F F 42% 28% 30% C F D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A- D F F
1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30 0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32
Feb
18		 Marquette B+ F A+ C- C+ 38% 17% 46% C+ C+ B A+ A A- A+ F A+ A- A- D- A- B+ 45% 21% 34% A A- B+ F C C B F+ C
1.11 44% 63% 32% -3 0 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .42 67% .28 1.02 50% 45% 28% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.2 .32 15% .27 75% .21
Feb
21		 Creighton C+ B A- F B- 44% 33% 24% C- C+ C+ D C C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 42% 16% 42% D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ C-
1.08 63% 44% 23% 0 -1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 15% .36 87% .31 0.70 43% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 13% 0.8 .10 24% .32 67% .21
Feb
25		 Connecticut F F F F F 34% 30% 36% D F A- F F+ A+ C+ A- B- C+ D+ F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C A A F B- F A F B+
0.69 40% 0% 25% -22 -1 0.55 33% 0.4 .13 14% .34 76% .26 1.24 67% 56% 18% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .40 9% .21 82% .17
Feb
28		 Villanova A+ B- D+ A+ A 43% 31% 26% C- A C- A+ A A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 41% 16% 43% C- A+ A+ F A A+ C+ A+ B
1.23 61% 35% 50% +7 -1 1.13 28% 1.5 .41 11% .37 71% .26 0.79 45% 13% 29% -13 +1 0.78 14% 1.8 .24 22% .28 63% .18
Mar
3		 Georgetown C D F F F 48% 13% 39% A+ D- B+ A- A- A B C+ B A- A F B- B 46% 23% 31% D+ B- A+ F+ A A+ A- A A
1.03 50% 29% 24% -11 +2 0.83 36% 1.1 .40 13% .31 74% .23 0.99 46% 58% 31% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.3 .28 20% .27 67% .18
Mar
6		 Seton Hall A+ A C- B A+ 44% 13% 42% B A+ D+ B+ C A+ B+ F C A- A+ C A+ A+ 46% 35% 20% A A+ D+ F F D+ F B+ F
1.12 65% 33% 37% +4 +1 1.13 27% 1.0 .27 16% .41 59% .24 1.01 38% 38% 11% -16 -1 0.67 39% 1.4 .56 14% .49 67% .33
Mar
12		 Providence B- A- C- F+ C+ 43% 23% 34% B- C+ A+ D- B B+ C- C- C- A+ A C- C- A+ 51% 23% 26% C+ A A+ A- A+ C- D A C
1.13 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 12% .26 71% .18 0.95 48% 42% 36% -4 +1 0.96 11% 1.0 .11 15% .39 68% .26
Mar
13		 Seton Hall A+ B F A A 63% 11% 26% A+ A A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ B D+ A+ A+ A 44% 27% 29% B- A D F F B A+ D+ A
1.17 58% 25% 40% +1 +3 1.11 40% 1.2 .48 20% .56 80% .45 1.02 61% 21% 20% -9 0 0.83 39% 1.3 .53 18% .22 75% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0% 40.9% 59.1% 4.9 0.2 3.8 10.4 18.5 32.8 26.7 7.3 0.4 0.0 100.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 40.9% 59.1% 4.9 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 40.9% 100.0% 4.2 0.3 8.6 18.6 28.4 33.0 10.4 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 59.1% 100.0% 5.4 0.0 0.4 4.6 11.7 32.7 38.1 11.9 0.6 0.0