Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.4 #272
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #281
Pace 71.4 #111
Improvement -2.6 #304

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #264 C- D- C C C-
Defense #266 C- D C- D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 1.16 #185 +1.5 #124
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #83 0.70 #253 +1.2 #109
Three Pointers 33% #323 0.96 #249 -4.8 #325
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #235 -2.2 #236
Freethrows 17.1 #202 71% #237 12.2 #208
Second Chance 26.3% #300 0.91 #323 0.24 #328
Turnovers 16.4% #167
Total Offense -3.4 #264

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #40 1.11 #118 -2.3 #263
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #286 0.78 #220 +1.0 #118
Three Pointers 39% #247 1.09 #282 -0.2 #189
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #232 -1.5 #236
Freethrows 19.2 #277 73% #212 14.1 #82
Second Chance 34.1% #303 1.08 #239 0.37 #293
Turnovers 15.6% #238
Total Defense -3.0 #266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #242 1.8% #330
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.4% #230 1.0% #203
Possession Length 17.6 #208 16.7 #92
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #69 0.19 #225
Improvement -3.4 #347 +0.8 #135

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.9% 16.3% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 26.8% 28.4% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.4% 84.4% 62.4%
Conference Champion 22.2% 23.4% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four12.5% 12.7% 10.5%
First Round10.2% 10.5% 6.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Away) - 91.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 20 - 00 - 8
Quad 31 - 01 - 8
Quad 413 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 27 @Auburn L 90 - 95 OT 2% -1  0 - 1 +13 +12 A+ F B +2 A+ C- C
 Thu, Nov 6 35 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 101 3% -20  0 - 2 -23 -6 F C+ A -16 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 70 @Dayton L 82 - 91 6% -6  0 - 3 +2 +18 C A+ A+ -17 F F A
 Wed, Nov 19 178 @Ohio W 76 - 73 22% +4  1 - 3 +5 +6 A+ F A+ -1 B B F
 Mon, Nov 24 305 Jacksonville L 64 - 69 58% +2  1 - 4 -13 -6 F F B- -8 D D+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 274 Stony Brook L 54 - 61 50% +2  1 - 5 -13 -15 F F D+ +0 B D+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 31 @Indiana L 56 - 100 2% -26  1 - 6 -27 -11 F D- B -15 F B+ F
 Fri, Dec 5 361 South Carolina St. W 80 - 59 87% +12  2 - 6 +3 +5 A F A+ -1 A+ C C
 Sun, Dec 14 53 @Missouri L 60 - 82 4% -15  2 - 7 -9 -6 F B+ F -4 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 17 32 @Saint Louis L 53 - 112 2% -31  2 - 8 -42 -17 F D+ D -20 F F C
 Mon, Dec 22 2 @Arizona L 71 - 107 1% -15  2 - 9 -9 +4 A+ D F -9 F C- A
 Mon, Dec 29 62 @Oklahoma St. L 77 - 103 5% -13  2 - 10 -14 -1 A- F F -10 A F F
 Sat, Jan 3 322 Florida A&M W 87 - 83 73% +4  3 - 10 1 - 0 -9 +6 B- D- A- -15 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 269 Grambling St. W 74 - 65 60% +8  4 - 10 2 - 0 -0 -7 F C D- +6 B- A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 263 Southern L 73 - 77 59% +4  4 - 11 2 - 1 -13 -5 C- F F -7 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79 - 65 91%
 Mon, Jan 19 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80 - 79 53%
 Sat, Jan 24 333 Jackson St. W 81 - 74 75%
 Mon, Jan 26 347 Alcorn St. W 81 - 72 80%
 Sat, Jan 31 306 @Alabama St. L 76 - 77 46%
 Mon, Feb 2 300 @Alabama A&M L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 317 Prairie View W 81 - 75 71%
 Mon, Feb 9 334 Texas Southern W 79 - 71 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 347 @Alcorn St. W 78 - 75 61%
 Mon, Feb 16 333 @Jackson St. W 78 - 77 55%
 Thu, Feb 19 306 Alabama St. W 79 - 74 68%
 Sat, Feb 21 300 Alabama A&M W 75 - 70 67%
 Thu, Feb 26 269 @Grambling St. L 73 - 76 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 263 @Southern L 75 - 79 37%
 Thu, Mar 5 322 @Florida A&M W 76 - 75 52%
Totals 13 - 17 10 - 7 -6 -3 C- D- C -3 C- D C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 6.2 8.0 4.8 1.6 0.3 22.2 1st
2nd 0.6 6.1 6.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 15.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.8 7.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.8 7.2 2.9 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.8 4.9 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.8 1.1 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 3.3 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.6 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.5 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.1 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 5.1 9.4 14.5 17.6 18.3 14.9 10.2 5.0 1.6 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-3 99.7% 1.6    1.6 0.0
14-4 95.7% 4.8    4.1 0.7 0.0
13-5 77.9% 8.0    4.6 2.9 0.4 0.0
12-6 41.9% 6.2    1.4 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 6.8% 1.2    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.2% 22.2 12.0 6.7 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 50.0% 50.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.6% 35.3% 35.3% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.0
14-4 5.0% 30.3% 30.3% 15.8 0.3 1.3 3.5
13-5 10.2% 25.0% 25.0% 15.9 0.1 2.4 7.7
12-6 14.9% 21.5% 21.5% 16.0 0.1 3.1 11.7
11-7 18.3% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 3.3 14.9
10-8 17.6% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 2.4 15.2
9-9 14.5% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 1.6 12.8
8-10 9.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.5 8.9
7-11 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
6-12 2.1% 2.1
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 15.9 84.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.1 13.8 62.1 20.7 3.4