Colorado St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.0 92
Results Rating +7.1 83
Consistency 0.18 312
Pace 59.7 362
Improvement -2.2 269

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 54 A- B- D+ B C+
Defense C 181 C C D+ B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 B 64% 51 +0.4 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 313 C- 37% 214 -2.1 285
Three Pointers 49% 30 A 40% 8 +9.0 6
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 119 A- +6.6 19
1st FG Attempt A- 1.17 22
Second Chance C+ 32.6% 108 B- 1.12 66 B- 0.36 73
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 251
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 246
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 264
Freethrows B- 0.33 111 B+ 77% 25 B 0.25 67
Total Offense B +6.3 54

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 65 B+ 7.9% 37
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 146 D 7.2% 309
Three Pointers B 90% 56 C 0.9% 203
Total A- 66% 22 B 4.4% 50

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 326 C- 59% 209 -3.3 73
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 120 C- 40% 248 +0.9 259
Three Pointers 45% 50 C+ 33% 153 +1.9 274
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 73 C +0.2 184
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 161
Second Chance B- 27.3% 70 D- 1.14 326 C 0.31 189
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 240
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 221
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 252
Freethrows B- 0.28 106 B+ 69% 28 B- 0.19 73
Total Defense C -0.3 181

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 84 D+ 8.1% 293
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 24 D+ 3.2% 286
Three Pointers A- 75% 15 D+ 0.4% 291
Total B 49% 55 D 3.5% 331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.0 333 18.2 305
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 175 0.13 59
Consistency 0.15 331 0.14 301
Improvement -4.4 346 +2.2 70

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 103 92 77
Results Rating Rank 108 83 68
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 12 - 8
Conference Finish 8 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 89% 100% 59%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 72.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 5
Quad 25 - 56 - 10
Quad 34 - 110 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 270 Incarnate Word W 98 - 64 92% +18  99% 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +22 A+ A+ C B +5 B A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 255 Nebraska Omaha W 97 - 74 90% +8  89% 2 - 0 A- +15 A+ +23 A A+ D- D -6 D+ C+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 222 Cal Poly W 93 - 79 87% +9  95% 3 - 0 B- +8 B +7 A- C- B- C -0 D+ A D-
 Sun, Nov 16 283 @Loyola Chicago W 80 - 67 82% +12  89% 4 - 0 B +9 A+ +16 A- A+ D D+ -5 F B- B+
 Fri, Nov 21 243 Denver L 81 - 83 89% -2  25% 4 - 1 D -10 B+ +9 B A+ F F -19 F+ C F
 Wed, Nov 26 56 Virginia Tech L 64 - 66 35% -3  22% 4 - 2 B- +8 C +1 D+ A- C B+ +6 C A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 27 93 Wichita St. W 76 - 70 50% +10  98% 5 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +19 A+ D- C- D -6 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 28 55 South Florida W 83 - 68 35% +8  83% 6 - 2 A+ +25 A +14 A+ C D A+ +11 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 66 Colorado W 91 - 86 51% +4  75% 7 - 2 B +11 A+ +21 A+ D+ C F -10 F C+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 256 Dartmouth W 76 - 55 90% +9  89% 8 - 2 B+ +13 B- +5 A+ F F A +10 B B- A
 Sat, Dec 20 33 @Utah St. L 58 - 100 14% -24  0% 8 - 3 0 - 1 F -25 D -5 D- C D F -24 F F C+
 Tue, Dec 30 73 Nevada L 62 - 75 54% -4  13% 8 - 4 0 - 2 D+ -8 D -5 D A- B- D+ -4 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 61 @Grand Canyon W 70 - 60 28% +10  95% 9 - 4 1 - 2 A +22 A +12 A C D- A +11 A+ C C-
 Tue, Jan 6 52 New Mexico L 70 - 80 42% -7  2% 9 - 5 1 - 3 C- -2 B- +4 B A+ D D- -7 D F C
 Fri, Jan 9 122 UNLV W 70 - 62 72% +0  35% 10 - 5 2 - 3 B- +8 C- -1 D+ A+ F A +10 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 129 @Fresno St. L 69 - 79 53% -7  3% 10 - 6 2 - 4 C- -5 B +6 A- F B- F -12 C+ D- F
 Fri, Jan 16 68 @Boise St. L 73 - 79 29% -6  1% 10 - 7 2 - 5 B- +6 A +12 A+ F F D- -7 D+ F B
 Tue, Jan 20 350 Air Force W 81 - 52 97% +17  97% 11 - 7 3 - 5 B+ +12 B- +5 B D A+ A +10 A A+ C
 Fri, Jan 23 33 Utah St. L 61 - 65 30% +4  76% 11 - 8 3 - 6 B- +7 D+ -3 A+ A+ F A +10 B A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 44 @San Diego St. L 50 - 73 19% -10  10% 11 - 9 3 - 7 D+ -8 D- -7 F+ B- F D+ -4 D- D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 100 @Wyoming L 57 - 68 42% -8  0% 11 - 10 3 - 8 C- -3 D -4 D D B- C -1 F+ A C+
 Sat, Feb 7 221 San Jose St. W 65 - 57 87% +3  81% 12 - 10 4 - 8 C +2 F -12 F C+ B A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Feb 10 350 @Air Force W 91 - 74 93% +8  73% 13 - 10 5 - 8 B- +6 A+ +19 A+ F B F -11 F A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 14 100 Wyoming W 79 - 68 65% 14 - 10 6 - 8 B+ +13
 Wed, Feb 18 122 @UNLV W 91 - 86 51% +6  89% 15 - 10 7 - 8 B +11 A+ +22 A+ B- A+ F -11 D- D- F+
 Sat, Feb 21 44 San Diego St. W 83 - 74 38% +6  69% 16 - 10 8 - 8 A +18 A+ +18 A A+ B C+ +0 A+ C C+
 Tue, Feb 24 129 Fresno St. W 74 - 70 74% -4  21% 17 - 10 9 - 8 C+ +3 C+ +4 B- A B C -0 C- B C
 Sat, Feb 28 221 @San Jose St. W 75 - 69 72%
 Wed, Mar 4 52 @New Mexico L 70 - 78 22%
 Sat, Mar 7 68 Boise St. W 72 - 71 51%
Totals 18 - 12 10 - 10 +6 B +6 C- A- C+ C +0 A B+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B C- A A- 35% 25% 49% C+ A- C+ B- B- D+ B- B+ B C C- C- C+ C 32% 22% 45% B- C B- D- C D+ B- B+ B-
1.18 64% 37% 40% +7 0 1.17 33% 1.1 .36 18% .33 77% .25 1.09 59% 40% 33% 0 -1 1.01 27% 1.1 .31 16% .28 69% .23
Nov
3		 Incarnate Word A+ A+ A A+ A+ 32% 18% 50% D A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ B C- F A+ B- 26% 28% 46% B+ B A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.49 79% 50% 50% +21 0 1.43 38% 1.8 .67 15% .54 90% .49 0.98 57% 47% 24% -5 -2 0.89 17% 0.6 .10 8% .35 57% .20
Nov
9		 Nebraska Omaha A+ A- A+ B+ A 38% 4% 58% A- A A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ D D+ C+ D+ D+ 24% 15% 61% C D+ B D+ C+ F B C- B-
1.48 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.29 52% 1.4 .70 17% .61 85% .51 1.13 62% 38% 36% +3 0 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 11% .26 73% .19
Nov
12		 Cal Poly B B- F A+ A- 33% 5% 61% B A- F A+ C- B- B- A+ A+ C B F F+ D- 31% 13% 56% B+ D+ A B A D- B- A+ A
1.24 63% 0% 43% +8 +2 1.21 19% 1.7 .31 15% .31 95% .30 1.05 53% 43% 39% +3 0 1.09 22% 0.9 .20 17% .29 61% .18
Nov
16		 Loyola Chicago A+ F+ A+ A+ A- 29% 16% 56% C+ A- A A- A+ D A A- A+ D+ C- F F F 32% 8% 61% C F B- C+ B- B+ F C F
1.33 46% 57% 44% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.3 .50 15% .37 84% .31 1.11 58% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.18 29% 0.9 .25 22% .47 68% .32
Nov
21		 Denver B+ D- F A+ B- 48% 6% 45% A- B A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 20% 40% 40% A+ F+ C C C F D C- D
1.35 53% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.19 48% 1.3 .60 18% .90 80% .71 1.38 60% 50% 45% +12 -4 1.18 30% 1.1 .33 7% .34 79% .27
Nov
26		 Virginia Tech C B D F D+ 49% 24% 27% B- D+ B- A+ A- C F B D- B+ D D- C+ C 39% 15% 46% D C A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ F C-
1.03 63% 33% 15% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 18% .16 75% .12 1.06 67% 43% 33% +4 +1 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 81% .24
Nov
27		 Wichita St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 13% 57% A- A+ B F D- C- D- F F D C+ F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% D+ A+ F F F C- B- A B+
1.30 71% 100% 46% +22 0 1.48 32% 0.6 .18 17% .23 55% .12 1.19 56% 50% 11% -13 0 0.77 54% 1.4 .76 14% .30 60% .18
Nov
28		 South Florida A C+ B+ A+ A+ 41% 15% 43% B+ A+ F A+ C D F F F A+ B+ A+ A A+ 40% 12% 47% B+ A+ A D+ B+ D A+ B- A+
1.21 58% 43% 70% +24 +1 1.52 14% 2.0 .29 22% .22 58% .13 0.99 48% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.75 30% 1.2 .37 13% .23 71% .17
Dec
6		 Colorado A+ A+ D A+ A+ 20% 17% 63% C A+ D C- D+ C C B+ B- F F F D- F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ F C+ F A+ A+ A+
1.36 73% 33% 50% +17 -1 1.35 22% 1.0 .22 16% .30 76% .23 1.28 77% 50% 39% +14 +2 1.35 20% 1.4 .28 9% .21 54% .11
Dec
9		 Dartmouth B- A+ B+ A A+ 53% 18% 29% B- A+ F F F F F A+ F A D- A+ B+ B+ 30% 13% 57% C- B C- A+ B- A A+ A+ A+
1.20 81% 44% 40% +16 +1 1.37 19% 0.8 .14 19% .06 100% .06 0.87 64% 17% 31% -4 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 24% .17 50% .08
Dec
20		 Utah St. D F C+ D D- 32% 20% 49% C+ D- D+ B+ C D A- A A F D F F F 50% 10% 40% D+ F F C F C+ F A+ D
0.91 38% 38% 30% -9 0 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 24% .39 79% .31 1.57 67% 60% 58% +21 +2 1.48 59% 1.2 .70 16% .45 58% .26
Dec
30		 Nevada D A+ F F D 30% 23% 48% D+ D B+ B A- B- A+ F A+ D+ F A+ A+ A+ 18% 39% 43% A+ A+ B+ F F C- F B- F
0.97 77% 10% 24% -8 -1 0.84 33% 1.3 .42 16% .54 62% .33 1.18 75% 18% 26% -10 -4 0.75 29% 2.4 .71 13% .56 74% .41
Jan
3		 Grand Canyon A A- F B- A- 36% 11% 52% A A A+ F C D- A+ D A+ A A- D+ A+ A+ 33% 20% 47% B A+ B+ F C C- A A+ A+
1.12 63% 20% 35% 0 +1 1.05 41% 0.7 .28 21% .50 68% .34 0.96 50% 40% 22% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .36 16% .25 62% .15
Jan
6		 New Mexico B- C B- C B- 42% 14% 44% A B B+ A+ A+ D F+ A+ D+ D- D C+ F D- 37% 17% 46% B+ D C F F C F+ A+ C-
1.07 57% 43% 32% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.3 .42 21% .21 82% .17 1.22 65% 38% 43% +8 0 1.20 31% 1.8 .55 15% .38 62% .23
Jan
9		 UNLV C- F D A D+ 36% 17% 47% C+ D+ A+ A A+ F A+ D+ A+ A A+ F+ A- A+ 42% 19% 40% C- A+ D C- D+ A+ F A+ F
1.09 38% 33% 41% -3 0 0.97 41% 1.3 .55 23% .61 70% .43 0.97 44% 50% 29% -6 +1 0.91 35% 0.9 .32 25% .52 60% .31
Jan
13		 Fresno St. B A A+ C- A- 31% 16% 53% C A- C+ F F B- D+ B- C- F C A- D C 37% 22% 41% B- C+ C F D- F F F F
1.10 73% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 30% 0.6 .18 18% .23 75% .17 1.26 59% 30% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.2 .37 11% .43 96% .41
Jan
16		 Boise St. A A- F A+ A+ 27% 20% 52% C+ A+ B F F F B A+ A+ D- A- F D+ D+ 27% 11% 61% B- D+ C- F F B F C+ F
1.17 67% 0% 61% +16 -1 1.32 26% 0.3 .09 24% .30 93% .28 1.27 50% 80% 37% +5 0 1.14 35% 1.4 .48 18% .53 78% .41
Jan
20		 Air Force B- A D+ B B 40% 17% 44% B B D- B- D A+ A F+ B A F C A+ A+ 29% 13% 58% B- A A- A+ A+ C A- F C+
1.24 74% 38% 38% +9 +1 1.21 23% 1.1 .26 9% .39 65% .25 0.80 79% 33% 14% -12 0 0.79 17% 0.7 .11 21% .23 75% .18
Jan
23		 Utah St. D+ A+ C A+ A+ 16% 37% 47% F A+ C A+ A+ F F C- F+ A D- F A+ C+ 32% 30% 38% A+ B A+ F+ A+ B- A+ F A+
0.98 83% 36% 44% +11 -4 1.16 30% 1.7 .52 34% .24 70% .17 1.05 69% 53% 26% +4 -2 1.06 21% 1.3 .28 16% .10 80% .08
Jan
28		 San Diego St. D- A+ D+ F D- 8% 25% 68% F F+ B C B- F C+ C- C D+ F B- F F 30% 41% 30% A+ D- F B+ D B+ D+ C D+
0.82 100% 30% 22% -11 -3 0.75 32% 0.9 .29 28% .32 71% .23 1.20 85% 33% 46% +11 -3 1.18 41% 1.0 .41 20% .35 76% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Wyoming D C- C+ F F+ 53% 10% 37% A- D B+ F D B- F C F C A B- F F 24% 14% 62% A- F+ A+ B+ A C+ F C+ F
0.97 56% 40% 21% -8 +2 0.90 32% 0.6 .19 15% .20 70% .14 1.16 44% 40% 48% +10 0 1.22 27% 0.9 .23 17% .49 75% .37
Feb
7		 San Jose St. F D+ F F F 40% 10% 50% B- F C- A- C+ B A- C A- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 33% 35% 32% B- A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F A-
0.99 58% 20% 17% -15 +1 0.75 32% 1.3 .43 15% .36 75% .27 0.87 42% 35% 17% -15 -2 0.68 8% 2.7 .21 6% .18 91% .16
Feb
10		 Air Force A+ A+ A A+ A+ 20% 20% 61% D+ A+ F F F B A+ A+ A+ F F B F F 40% 16% 44% C+ F B- A+ A+ D+ F A+ C
1.39 75% 50% 56% +26 -1 1.51 14% 0.0 .00 12% .63 81% .51 1.13 71% 29% 58% +19 +1 1.42 21% 0.5 .10 20% .42 45% .19
Feb
14		 Wyoming
Feb
18		 UNLV A+ A+ B+ B+ A+ 45% 18% 37% B- A+ B- C B- A+ A B- A F C- F F D- 44% 13% 42% D- D- D D- D- F+ D D- D-
1.39 82% 44% 39% +15 +1 1.33 33% 1.1 .37 11% .46 74% .34 1.32 61% 57% 41% +8 +1 1.21 35% 1.0 .35 12% .40 74% .30
Feb
21		 San Diego St. A+ C F A- A 27% 2% 71% A A B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B- C A+ 36% 27% 38% C A+ F+ A C C+ F F+ F
1.23 55% 0% 38% +2 +2 1.10 31% 1.7 .52 19% .53 83% .44 1.09 38% 33% 35% -8 -1 0.84 38% 0.9 .36 18% .43 83% .36
Feb
24		 Fresno St. C+ B B- C B 24% 24% 51% D- B- B A+ A B B+ B B+ C B D- F D- 25% 35% 39% A+ C- B+ C B C A B- A
1.11 67% 42% 32% +1 -1 1.02 32% 1.4 .44 17% .31 76% .23 1.05 54% 44% 40% +5 -3 1.06 25% 1.0 .25 18% .20 73% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 1.2 1.2 4th
5th 0.3 3.9 4.2 5th
6th 10.9 36.0 3.8 50.7 6th
7th 4.6 25.3 2.9 32.8 7th
8th 6.8 4.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 11.4 40.3 39.2 9.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 9.1% 6.0% 4.8% 1.2% 11.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.6 1.2%
11-9 39.2% 2.7% 2.6% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.7 0.4 38.1 0.1%
10-10 40.3% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 11.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 39.7 0.0%
9-11 11.4% 1.0% 1.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 11.3
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.2% 0.2% 11.3 97.7 0.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 11.0 15.9 72.7 11.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7% 8.4% 11.2 6.9 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4% 1.3% 11.3 0.8 0.4
Lose Out 5.6%