Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.6 #163
Expected Predictive Rating +2.7 #125
Pace 70.9 #128
Improvement -6.2 #363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #165 B C F D+ B+
Defense #189 B- B F C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #34 1.14 #203 +3.4 #70
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #281 0.77 #148 -1.4 #248
Three Pointers 39% #221 1.16 #22 +1.9 #123
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #83 +3.9 #73
Freethrows 14.7 #310 77% #44 11.4 #259
Second Chance 35.6% #53 0.88 #340 0.31 #183
Turnovers 20.9% #358
Total Offense +0.1 #165

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.01 #28 +0.1 #171
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #167 0.81 #273 -0.7 #230
Three Pointers 35% #323 1.02 #192 +2.8 #80
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #107 +2.2 #108
Freethrows 16.7 #156 72% #153 12.0 #213
Second Chance 28.0% #91 0.97 #94 0.27 #71
Turnovers 12.7% #353
Total Defense -0.6 #189

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #52 0.7% #232
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.9% #107 -5.0% #90
Possession Length 18.2 #264 16.5 #64
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #232 0.22 #310
Improvement -2.7 #326 -3.5 #339

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 13.1% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 13.8
.500 or above 97.6% 99.4% 95.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 79.9% 53.0%
Conference Champion 12.6% 17.6% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 2.7% 13.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.3% 13.1% 6.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Away) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 34 - 7
Quad 412 - 317 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 340 @New Haven W 71 - 53 77% +16  1 - 0 +10 +2 A+ F F +9 A+ B- D+
 Mon, Nov 10 4 @Connecticut L 62 - 89 2% -16  1 - 1 -3 +5 B- C+ C -9 D+ C- F
 Thu, Nov 13 284 Umass Lowell W 86 - 72 81% +1  2 - 1 +4 +8 B+ C+ F -4 D+ A- C-
 Tue, Nov 18 256 Boston University W 54 - 49 77% +12  3 - 1 -3 -18 F F F +16 A+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 21 313 @Lehigh W 82 - 67 70% +9  4 - 1 +9 +9 A- A+ F +0 C B F
 Sun, Nov 23 270 Longwood W 95 - 70 80% +13  5 - 1 +16 +14 A+ A F +1 F A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 281 @Fairfield W 106 - 77 62% +18  6 - 1 +25 +28 A+ A+ C- -3 C C C-
 Wed, Dec 3 110 Hofstra W 72 - 70 44% +6  7 - 1 +3 +4 A+ F D- -1 A C D-
 Sat, Dec 6 309 Albany W 93 - 65 85% +9  8 - 1 +16 +15 A A+ F +2 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 274 @Stony Brook L 73 - 77 OT 61% -8  8 - 2 -7 -9 F F F +1 A- F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 81 @California L 56 - 74 16% -11  8 - 3 -8 -10 B F F +1 B A F
 Sun, Dec 28 350 @North Florida W 90 - 82 82% +1  9 - 3 -2 +6 A+ F D+ -9 D A+ F
 Mon, Jan 5 193 @Cornell W 104 - 99 44% +1  10 - 3 1 - 0 +6 +9 A F F -4 B+ D F
 Sat, Jan 10 162 Harvard L 54 - 79 61% -13  10 - 4 1 - 1 -28 -11 F C- F -21 F D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 248 @Brown W 70 - 69 55%
 Mon, Jan 19 94 @Yale L 74 - 83 19%
 Sat, Jan 24 204 @Dartmouth L 78 - 79 46%
 Fri, Jan 30 206 Penn W 81 - 76 68%
 Sat, Jan 31 221 Princeton W 75 - 69 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 193 Cornell W 90 - 86 67%
 Fri, Feb 13 206 @Penn L 78 - 79 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 221 @Princeton L 71 - 72 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 204 Dartmouth W 81 - 76 68%
 Fri, Feb 27 248 Brown W 73 - 66 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 94 Yale L 77 - 80 39%
 Sat, Mar 7 162 @Harvard L 70 - 73 39%
Totals 16 - 10 7 - 7 -1 +0 B C F -1 B- B F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.5 4.9 3.7 1.1 0.1 12.6 1st
2nd 0.5 5.3 9.2 4.1 0.5 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.2 9.5 3.2 0.2 0.0 18.3 3rd
4th 0.0 3.1 9.4 3.4 0.2 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 7.8 4.0 0.1 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.1 4.0 0.3 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.1 0.3 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.5 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.7 9.8 15.3 19.3 18.6 15.2 9.2 4.2 1.1 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.1
11-3 87.9% 3.7    2.7 1.0 0.0
10-4 53.5% 4.9    2.0 2.4 0.5 0.0
9-5 16.7% 2.5    0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
8-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.6% 12.6 6.2 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 42.9% 42.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 1.1% 32.9% 32.9% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
11-3 4.2% 28.3% 28.3% 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.0
10-4 9.2% 23.6% 23.6% 13.5 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 7.1
9-5 15.2% 21.0% 21.0% 13.7 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.4 12.0
8-6 18.6% 14.5% 14.5% 14.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.0 15.9
7-7 19.3% 3.1% 3.1% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 18.7
6-8 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 15.3
5-9 9.8% 9.8
4-10 4.7% 4.7
3-11 1.9% 1.9
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 13.7 89.7 0.0%