IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-16.2	#362
Expected Predictive Rating	-18.2	#355

Pace	75.5	#42
Improvement	+0.2	#177

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#351	D-	F	F	D+	C+
Defense	#357	F	F	D	B-	C

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	39%	#170	1.02	#325	-2.7	#277
2 Pt. Jumpers	18%	#217	0.59	#349	-2.3	#295
Three Pointers	43%	#144	0.96	#243	+0.0	#181
1st FG Attempt			0.92	#317	-5.1	#316
Freethrows	16.3	#248	70%	#257	11.4	#256
Second Chance	23.7%	#343	0.96	#273	0.23	#343
Turnovers					19.7%	#341
Total Offense					-8.3	#351

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	39%	#169	1.39	#363	-4.9	#330
2 Pt. Jumpers	19%	#204	0.81	#272	-0.2	#196
Three Pointers	41%	#178	1.13	#320	-2.4	#285
1st FG Attempt			1.17	#356	-7.6	#356
Freethrows	15.8	#107	72%	#172	11.4	#256
Second Chance	34.9%	#319	1.19	#326	0.41	#347
Turnovers					14.5%	#309
Total Defense					-8.0	#357

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	0.6%	#148	0.4%	#196
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-10.5%	#337	14.4%	#360
Possession Length	16.5	#106	16.5	#59
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.20	#114	0.21	#303
Improvement	+0.0	#180	+0.2	#171

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	n/a

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	88.2%	78.1%	91.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 13
Quad 4	2 - 13	2 - 26

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	76 @Minnesota	L	60 - 87	2%	-25	0 - 1		-16	-9	F	F	C-	-7	F	D+	A-
Fri, Nov 7	33 @Clemson	L	59 - 97	1%	-21	0 - 2		-21	-4	C	D-	F	-17	B-	F	F
Sat, Nov 15	169 @Elon	L	84 - 95	5%	-16	0 - 3		-9	+2	C	D-	D	-10	F	F	A+
Tue, Nov 18	98 @DePaul	L	62 - 93	2%	-16	0 - 4		-23	-11	D-	D	F	-8	F	A+	B-
Sat, Nov 22	116 @Richmond	L	67 - 102	3%	-28	0 - 5		-29	-8	B-	F	F	-18	F	F	F
Wed, Nov 26	200 Navy	L	51 - 84	10%	-16	0 - 6		-35	-18	F	F	F	-19	F	F	B+
Fri, Nov 28	266 SE Louisiana	L	68 - 76	17%	+2	0 - 7		-14	-7	D+	C+	F	-7	C	C	D
Sat, Nov 29	118 @UNC Wilmington	L	62 - 88	3%	-12	0 - 8		-20	-7	C-	F	F	-13	F	B	F
Wed, Dec 3	202 @Queens	L	74 - 107	7%	-14	0 - 9		-32	-7	F	A+	C	-24	F	F	D-
Sat, Dec 6	230 Georgia Southern	L	84 - 88	18%	-3	0 - 10		-11	+1	B-	F	D+	-11	F	C	F
Mon, Dec 15	228 Wofford	L	57 - 83	18%	-11	0 - 11		-33	-21	F	F	F	-12	D	F	C
Sun, Dec 21	20 @Tennessee	L	52 - 94	0%	-26	0 - 12		-23	-10	D-	D-	C	-13	F	B-	F
Wed, Dec 31	217 Charleston Southern	L	79 - 89	17%	+1	0 - 13	0 - 1	-16	+0	F	B+	D	-16	F	F	C
Sat, Jan 3	143 @Winthrop	L	77 - 88	4%	+5	0 - 14	0 - 2	-7	+7	A-	F	A+	-14	F	A+	F
Wed, Jan 7	87 @High Point	L	49 - 104	2%	-38	0 - 15	0 - 3	-45	-28	F	F	F	-11	C	F	F
Wed, Jan 14	254 Radford	L	80 - 88	23%
Sat, Jan 17	292 Presbyterian	L	68 - 74	30%
Wed, Jan 21	270 @Longwood	L	72 - 85	11%
Sat, Jan 24	299 South Carolina Upstate	L	74 - 79	32%
Thu, Jan 29	218 @UNC Asheville	L	67 - 83	7%
Wed, Feb 4	270 Longwood	L	75 - 82	26%
Sat, Feb 7	292 @Presbyterian	L	65 - 77	15%
Thu, Feb 12	143 Winthrop	L	73 - 87	9%
Sat, Feb 14	87 @High Point	L	69 - 95	1%
Thu, Feb 19	254 @Radford	L	77 - 91	10%
Thu, Feb 26	218 UNC Asheville	L	70 - 80	18%
Sat, Feb 28	299 @South Carolina Upstate	L	71 - 82	15%
Totals						2 - 25	2 - 13	-16	-8	D-	F	F	-8	F	F	D

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st																			1st
2nd																			2nd
3rd								0.0		0.0								0.0	3rd
4th							0.0	0.0	0.0									0.1	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.4	5th
6th					0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1										1.3	6th
7th				0.4	1.8	1.9	0.3											4.4	7th
8th		0.2	2.8	6.8	4.9	1.1	0.0											15.9	8th
9th	14.2	27.3	23.3	11.0	2.0	0.1												77.9	9th

Total	14.2	27.5	26.1	18.2	8.9	3.7	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0									Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7	0.0%																					0.0
8-8	0.1%																				0.0	0.1
7-9	0.3%																					0.3
6-10	1.1%																					1.1
5-11	3.7%																					3.7
4-12	8.9%																					8.9
3-13	18.2%																					18.2
2-14	26.1%																					26.1
1-15	27.5%																					27.5
0-16	14.2%																					14.2

Total	100%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	100.0	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	11.9%