IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.0	#356
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.7	#309

Pace	78.4	#27
Improvement	-1.1	#262

Offense
Total Offense	-7.5	#351

First Shot	-4.8	#313
After Offensive Rebound	-2.7	#326

Layup/Dunks	-0.3	#196
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#252
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#201
Freethrows	-2.8	#324

Improvement	-0.6	#246

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#341

First Shot	-3.8	#306
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.7	#288

Layups/Dunks	-4.3	#321
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#43
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.5	#341
Freethrows	+4.0	#9

Improvement	-0.5	#241

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	1.2%	2.1%	0.9%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	66.6%	61.2%	68.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Neutral) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 14
Quad 4	4 - 9	4 - 23

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	103 @Minnesota	L	60-87	4%	0 - 1			-19.5	-10.4	-8.3
Fri, Nov 7	38 @Clemson	L	59-97	1%	0 - 2			-22.9	-6.8	-16.2
Sat, Nov 15	190 @Elon	L	84-95	10%	0 - 3			-9.8	+2.1	-11.2
Tue, Nov 18	109 @DePaul	L	62-93	4%	0 - 4			-24.4	-13.8	-6.9
Sat, Nov 22	115 @Richmond	L	67-102	5%	0 - 5			-28.8	-8.0	-18.5
Wed, Nov 26	159 Navy	L	51-84	12%	0 - 6			-33.4	-18.9	-16.1
Fri, Nov 28	250 SE Louisiana	L	68-76	22%
Sat, Nov 29	113 @UNC Wilmington	L	65-84	3%
Wed, Dec 3	210 @Queens	L	75-88	12%
Sat, Dec 6	246 Georgia Southern	L	78-83	31%
Mon, Dec 15	225 Wofford	L	76-82	29%
Sun, Dec 21	14 @Tennessee	L	60-94	0.1%
Sat, Jan 3	105 @Winthrop	L	71-91	3%
Wed, Jan 7	86 @High Point	L	71-93	2%
Wed, Jan 14	273 Radford	L	80-84	36%
Sat, Jan 17	275 Presbyterian	L	68-72	36%
Wed, Jan 21	260 @Longwood	L	74-85	17%
Sat, Jan 24	316 South Carolina Upstate	L	78-80	44%
Thu, Jan 29	218 @UNC Asheville	L	72-84	13%
Wed, Feb 4	260 Longwood	L	77-82	34%
Sat, Feb 7	275 @Presbyterian	L	65-75	19%
Thu, Feb 12	105 Winthrop	L	74-88	10%
Sat, Feb 14	86 @High Point	L	71-93	3%
Thu, Feb 19	273 @Radford	L	77-87	19%
Thu, Feb 26	218 UNC Asheville	L	75-81	28%
Sat, Feb 28	316 @South Carolina Upstate	L	75-83	25%
Projected Record					4 - 22	3 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st																				1st
2nd										0.0	0.0		0.0						0.0	2nd
3rd								0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.4	3rd
4th							0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0								1.5	4th
5th						0.4	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0									3.4	5th
6th				0.0	0.6	2.8	2.7	0.4	0.0										6.5	6th
7th			0.1	1.6	4.8	4.4	0.9	0.0											11.8	7th
8th	0.1	0.8	4.6	10.0	7.4	1.6	0.1												24.6	8th
9th	7.1	16.1	17.1	9.4	2.0	0.1													51.7	9th

Total	7.1	16.9	21.8	21.0	14.8	9.3	5.5	2.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.0%
11-5	0.0%
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.0%																							0.0
11-5	0.0%																							0.0
10-6	0.1%																							0.1
9-7	0.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
8-8	0.8%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
7-9	2.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
6-10	5.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-11	9.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
4-12	14.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.8
3-13	21.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	21.0
2-14	21.8%																							21.8
1-15	16.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	16.9
0-16	7.1%																							7.1

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	16.0																	0.1	99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.9%