Grand Canyon
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#98
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#150
Pace73.3#97
Improvement+1.3#77

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#140
First Shot+1.2#140
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#206
Layup/Dunks+4.9#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#341
Freethrows+3.7#23
Improvement-2.2#345

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#57
First Shot+5.0#47
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#207
Layups/Dunks+7.0#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows-0.4#214
Improvement+3.6#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.4% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 12.3
.500 or above 80.5% 81.3% 55.7%
.500 or above in Conference 69.2% 69.7% 51.4%
Conference Champion 6.3% 6.4% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round6.0% 6.1% 3.1%
Second Round1.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 36 - 310 - 12
Quad 49 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-71 88%     1 - 0 +11.6 +5.9 +4.4
  Fri, Nov 7 189 Youngstown St. L 81-90 83%     1 - 1 -13.8 +4.1 -17.7
  Mon, Nov 10 280 Northern Illinois W 88-59 91%     2 - 1 +19.5 +7.2 +11.6
  Sat, Nov 15 50 @Saint Louis L 64-78 22%     2 - 2 -0.7 -5.6 +5.8
  Fri, Nov 21 285 Northwestern St. W 85-72 91%     3 - 2 +3.3 +7.1 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 25 125 Utah W 68-58 60%     4 - 2 +12.7 -1.9 +15.0
  Wed, Nov 26 21 Iowa L 46-59 17%     4 - 3 +2.2 -12.8 +12.9
  Tue, Dec 2 344 Stetson W 84-64 97%    
  Sat, Dec 6 46 Oklahoma St. L 79-85 30%    
  Sat, Dec 13 253 Coastal Carolina W 80-67 89%    
  Sat, Dec 20 117 @Wyoming L 74-75 47%    
  Mon, Dec 22 355 IU Indianapolis W 100-79 97%    
  Sat, Jan 3 87 Colorado St. W 74-72 57%    
  Wed, Jan 7 61 @Boise St. L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 187 San Jose St. W 76-66 82%    
  Tue, Jan 13 101 @New Mexico L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 35 Utah St. L 73-78 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 57 San Diego St. L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 @Fresno St. W 76-74 59%    
  Tue, Jan 27 122 @Nevada L 73-74 47%    
  Fri, Jan 30 61 Boise St. L 69-70 46%    
  Tue, Feb 3 323 Air Force W 76-59 94%    
  Sat, Feb 7 129 @UNLV W 80-79 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 101 New Mexico W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 187 @San Jose St. W 73-69 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 57 @San Diego St. L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 117 Wyoming W 77-72 68%    
  Wed, Feb 25 129 UNLV W 83-77 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 35 @Utah St. L 70-81 18%    
  Tue, Mar 3 323 @Air Force W 73-62 83%    
  Sat, Mar 7 153 Fresno St. W 79-71 77%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.3 1.4 3.5 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 3.7 0.8 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 5.5 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 5.2 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.3 0.8 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.4 5.4 8.2 10.8 12.9 12.7 12.2 10.9 8.4 6.2 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 95.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1
17-3 81.7% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
16-4 53.9% 1.9    1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 26.2% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 72.0% 40.0% 32.0% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.3%
18-2 0.6% 47.1% 23.8% 23.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 30.5%
17-3 1.7% 37.3% 24.7% 12.7% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 16.8%
16-4 3.5% 22.0% 18.2% 3.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 2.7 4.6%
15-5 6.2% 16.7% 15.6% 1.0% 11.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 5.1 1.2%
14-6 8.4% 11.6% 11.4% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 7.5 0.3%
13-7 10.9% 7.2% 7.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
12-8 12.2% 5.8% 5.8% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 11.5
11-9 12.7% 3.5% 3.5% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.3
10-10 12.9% 1.8% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.6
9-11 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7
8-12 8.2% 1.2% 1.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
7-13 5.4% 0.9% 0.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 5.3
6-14 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.3% 5.6% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.7 0.7%