Hawaii
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.9 #104
Expected Predictive Rating +3.9 #107
Pace 71.2 #119
Improvement -0.3 #199

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #215 C C+ D B- A
Defense #31 A+ B C- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #12 1.22 #112 +6.3 #20
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #321 0.67 #286 -3.3 #327
Three Pointers 40% #204 0.89 #311 -2.9 #284
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #179 +0.0 #178
Freethrows 20.3 #48 69% #294 13.9 #106
Second Chance 30.4% #190 1.15 #59 0.35 #113
Turnovers 18.5% #293
Total Offense -1.7 #215

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #7 0.95 #9 -0.4 #190
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #176 0.65 #49 +1.1 #109
Three Pointers 32% #357 0.81 #8 +7.9 #1
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #7 +8.6 #7
Freethrows 17.1 #180 68% #31 11.6 #238
Second Chance 26.9% #62 1.00 #119 0.27 #59
Turnovers 15.7% #233
Total Defense +6.6 #31

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.2% #20 1.5% #303
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.0% #222 -18.1% #4
Possession Length 16.9 #132 17.2 #182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #182 0.16 #148
Improvement +2.0 #72 -2.3 #312

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.0% 38.8% 31.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 99.9% 99.2%
Conference Champion 59.2% 65.1% 42.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round37.0% 38.8% 31.8%
Second Round4.5% 4.9% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 36 - 36 - 6
Quad 416 - 123 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 72 @Oregon L 59 - 60 28% -3  0 - 1 +10 -13 F C F +23 A+ B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 321 East Texas A&M W 100 - 74 94% +17  1 - 1 +13 +14 A+ A+ C- -3 C C+ C-
 Wed, Nov 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 88 - 56 99% +18  2 - 1 +5 +10 B B+ C- -3 B B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 312 Manhattan W 86 - 56 93% +15  3 - 1 +18 +2 D- B- B+ +15 A- A+ C
 Sat, Nov 15 232 Utah Tech W 68 - 62 86% +6  4 - 1 -1 -9 F A+ F +8 A+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 20 82 Arizona St. L 76 - 83 54% +2  4 - 2 -3 -2 C+ C+ F -1 B- A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 319 North Dakota W 92 - 55 94% +14  5 - 2 +25 +3 B+ D F +18 A+ B A+
 Thu, Dec 4 188 UC Davis W 75 - 69 82% +6  6 - 2 1 - 0 +1 -3 B+ C F +4 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 231 Cal St. Fullerton W 69 - 59 86% +9  7 - 2 2 - 0 +3 -10 F D+ F +13 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 257 UTEP W 66 - 61 89% -2  8 - 2 -3 -4 F F A+ +0 A- F F
 Thu, Jan 1 287 @UC Riverside W 88 - 45 81% +21  9 - 2 3 - 0 +39 +23 A+ A+ F +21 A+ B- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 109 @UC San Diego L 73 - 83 41% -7  9 - 3 3 - 1 -3 +6 C B C+ -9 B F F
 Sat, Jan 10 122 UC Irvine W 67 - 66 70% +2  10 - 3 4 - 1 +0 -3 C+ D F +4 A+ D+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 249 @Cal Poly W 81 - 74 74%
 Sat, Jan 17 181 @UC Santa Barbara W 73 - 70 62%
 Fri, Jan 23 293 Cal St. Bakersfield W 79 - 64 93%
 Sun, Jan 25 216 Cal St. Northridge W 82 - 71 85%
 Thu, Jan 29 122 @UC Irvine L 67 - 68 48%
 Sat, Jan 31 264 @Long Beach St. W 75 - 67 77%
 Sun, Feb 8 109 UC San Diego W 73 - 69 64%
 Thu, Feb 12 293 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 76 - 67 81%
 Sat, Feb 14 216 @Cal St. Northridge W 79 - 74 68%
 Fri, Feb 20 249 Cal Poly W 84 - 71 88%
 Sun, Feb 22 181 UC Santa Barbara W 76 - 67 81%
 Thu, Feb 26 188 @UC Davis W 75 - 71 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 231 @Cal St. Fullerton W 81 - 75 69%
 Fri, Mar 6 287 UC Riverside W 77 - 62 91%
 Sun, Mar 8 264 Long Beach St. W 78 - 64 89%
Totals 21 - 7 15 - 5 +5 -2 C C+ D +7 A+ B C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.5 10.0 16.0 16.3 9.7 3.2 59.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.6 8.3 8.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 25.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.0 2.5 0.7 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.8 8.7 14.4 18.8 19.8 17.0 9.8 3.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 3.2    3.2
18-2 99.6% 9.7    9.5 0.2
17-3 95.9% 16.3    14.3 1.9 0.0
16-4 80.8% 16.0    11.1 4.6 0.3
15-5 52.9% 10.0    4.9 4.2 0.8 0.0
14-6 24.4% 3.5    1.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 59.2% 59.2 44.0 12.9 2.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 3.2% 54.2% 54.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.5
18-2 9.8% 50.7% 50.7% 12.1 0.6 3.4 0.9 0.0 4.8
17-3 17.0% 48.5% 48.5% 12.5 0.2 4.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 8.8
16-4 19.8% 41.3% 41.3% 12.8 0.0 2.6 4.5 1.0 0.0 11.7
15-5 18.8% 35.5% 35.5% 13.1 1.2 3.9 1.5 0.1 12.2
14-6 14.4% 29.7% 29.7% 13.3 0.4 2.2 1.6 0.1 10.1
13-7 8.7% 22.6% 22.6% 13.6 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 6.7
12-8 4.8% 13.2% 13.2% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1
11-9 2.4% 11.9% 11.9% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.1
10-10 0.9% 6.0% 6.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.9
9-11 0.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
8-12 0.1% 0.1
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 37.0% 37.0% 0.0% 12.7 63.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 11.3 0.3 0.9 3.2 60.0 35.1 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%