Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.2 179
Results Rating -1.8 193
Consistency 0.15 187
Pace 68.3 188
Improvement -0.2 196

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 177 C D+ C+ C- C+
Defense C 191 C B- D D B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 283 D+ 54% 276 -3.2 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 286 D 33% 334 -2.7 305
Three Pointers 49% 33 B 37% 46 +6.3 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 130 C +0.1 169
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 154
Second Chance C- 28.1% 244 C- 0.99 247 D+ 0.28 259
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 222
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 80
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 149
Freethrows C- 0.29 244 C 72% 196 C- 0.21 236
Total Offense C -0.6 177

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 26% 363 C 11.0% 176
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 9% 360 D 7.5% 319
Three Pointers C- 82% 228 C+ 0.8% 164
Total D 48% 324 C 5.5% 172

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 237 C 58% 186 -0.8 140
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 30 D+ 40% 267 +3.1 356
Three Pointers 36% 320 C 34% 191 -2.5 71
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 41 C- +0.7 213
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 166
Second Chance B+ 25.5% 29 C- 1.08 256 B- 0.27 75
Turnovers from Steals D 7.6% 316
Other Turnovers C- 7.1% 207
Turnovers D 14.7% 305
Freethrows D 0.34 298 D+ 74% 283 D 0.25 310
Total Defense C -0.6 191

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 188 F+ 5.2% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 86 D 2.0% 328
Three Pointers B 78% 46 B- 1.4% 71
Total B 50% 68 D- 3.0% 347

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 222 17.0 136
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 323 0.19 235
Consistency 0.10 37 0.14 294
Improvement -1.6 269 +1.4 112

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 203 180 155
Results Rating Rank 233 192 154
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 12% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 58% 76% 33%
.500 or above in Conference 74% 100% 37%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round10% 12% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Northern Colorado (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 36 - 87 - 11
Quad 48 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 127 @Washington St. W 83 - 81 25% +9  98% 1 - 0 B- +8 B +6 A D+ C- C+ +1 A B F
 Wed, Nov 12 233 @San Diego L 74 - 78 49% -5  2% 1 - 1 D+ -5 C +0 C- D+ F D -5 F D+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 132 @UC San Diego L 67 - 75 29% +3  62% 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -4 D- C C C+ +1 C B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 157 Cal St. Northridge W 78 - 64 46% +4  61% 2 - 2 B+ +14 C -0 F A B- A+ +14 A+ B- D
 Fri, Nov 28 105 Sam Houston St. L 68 - 94 30% -4  41% 2 - 3 F -22 C +0 B- C- B F -25 F F F
 Wed, Dec 3 291 North Dakota W 90 - 58 82% +15  86% 3 - 3 A +21 B +7 A B C- A+ +14 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 209 @South Dakota St. W 84 - 81 44% -1  34% 4 - 3 C+ +3 A- +10 A- D+ B D -6 C- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 90 @Notre Dame L 65 - 80 17% -5  4% 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +1 B- F+ A+ F+ -9 F+ C D+
 Sun, Dec 21 222 @Cal Poly W 83 - 80 OT 47% +7  87% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ D C- A +9 A A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 63 - 64 75% -2  20% 5 - 5 D -9 F -12 F F+ C B- +3 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 178 Eastern Washington W 84 - 81 61% +2  57% 6 - 5 1 - 0 C -1 B- +5 B A- D D -6 A- F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 192 Montana L 73 - 79 64% -9  2% 6 - 6 1 - 1 D -11 D+ -4 F A- A- D- -7 C- B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 152 Montana St. W 92 - 89 55% -9  4% 7 - 6 2 - 1 C +0 A+ +18 A+ F+ A+ F -17 F C B-
 Thu, Jan 15 249 @Idaho St. L 68 - 76 53% +2  70% 7 - 7 2 - 2 D -10 D- -8 F A B- C- -2 F+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 208 @Weber St. W 75 - 67 44% +9  96% 8 - 7 3 - 2 B +8 F+ -9 F+ B- F A+ +17 A+ D A+
 Thu, Jan 22 274 Sacramento St. W 86 - 76 78% +7  94% 9 - 7 4 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 A F C C- -2 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 158 Portland St. L 66 - 69 57% -5  10% 9 - 8 4 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -4 C+ F C- C- -2 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 168 @Northern Colorado L 83 - 91 37% -2  28% 9 - 9 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +1 D+ F A D -6 D B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 310 @Northern Arizona W 79 - 62 67% +15  99% 10 - 9 5 - 4 B +11 C+ +4 B+ F B A +9 B- C+ C
 Thu, Feb 5 152 @Montana St. L 66 - 73 33% -9  3% 10 - 10 5 - 5 C- -4 F -10 C- F D- B+ +7 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 192 @Montana L 68 - 73 41% +2  60% 10 - 11 5 - 6 C- -4 D- -8 D+ F D+ B +4 D+ C C+
 Thu, Feb 12 208 Weber St. L 72 - 83 67% -15  0% 10 - 12 5 - 7 F+ -17 C- -2 C- F A+ F -15 D D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 249 Idaho St. W 99 - 69 74% +25  99% 11 - 12 6 - 7 A +22 A +13 A+ A- D+ A- +8 A+ C F+
 Thu, Feb 19 158 @Portland St. L 67 - 77 35% -9  7% 11 - 13 6 - 8 D+ -7 C- -1 C D+ C- D -6 C F F
 Sat, Feb 21 274 @Sacramento St. W 86 - 80 59% +3  86% 12 - 13 7 - 8 C+ +3 C+ +3 C- B+ F C -1 D+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 310 Northern Arizona W 78 - 58 84% +10  90% 13 - 13 8 - 8 B +8 B +6 B+ B+ B+ B+ +5 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 168 Northern Colorado W 78 - 75 59%
 Mon, Mar 2 178 @Eastern Washington L 75 - 78 39%
Totals 14 - 14 9 - 9 -1 C -1 A C C+ C -1 B C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D B C 35% 28% 49% C+ C C- C- D+ C+ C- C C- C C D+ C C- 37% 27% 36% B+ C B+ C- B- D D D+ D
1.08 54% 33% 37% 0 0 1.03 28% 1.0 .28 16% .29 72% .21 1.10 58% 40% 34% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.1 .27 15% .34 74% .21
Nov
3		 Washington St. B C- A+ A A- 35% 12% 54% B+ A D- B- D+ C- B- C B- C+ B F A+ A 37% 16% 47% C A A+ F B F F C F
1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23 1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38
Nov
12		 San Diego C C+ C- D- D+ 50% 11% 39% B+ C- A+ F D+ F A+ B A+ D A- F F F 25% 27% 48% A- F C+ F+ D+ B- B- A+ B+
1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37 1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 UC San Diego D+ F F B- D- 24% 14% 62% C D- C- C+ C C A- C B+ C+ D- A- B+ C 50% 15% 35% D+ C A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24 1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37
Nov
26		 Cal St. Northridge C C F F F 26% 7% 67% B F C+ A+ A B- A+ A- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 36% 24% 40% A A+ A D B- D F D+ F
1.06 57% 25% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.6 .47 15% .43 81% .35 0.87 70% 23% 14% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.1 .28 15% .40 68% .27
Nov
28		 Sam Houston St. C A A+ D+ B- 22% 10% 67% C+ B- D B- C- B D- F F F C D+ F F 30% 26% 44% A F F F F F A+ B+ A+
1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10
Dec
3		 North Dakota B A- F A+ A+ 30% 7% 63% C A B B- B C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D- C+ C+ D 34% 19% 47% B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B-
1.30 69% 0% 48% +14 +1 1.33 39% 1.2 .48 20% .43 92% .40 0.84 63% 33% 32% -1 0 1.00 19% 0.0 .00 24% .38 55% .21
Dec
6		 South Dakota St. A- D A+ A A 27% 22% 51% D A- D C+ D+ B A+ C- A+ D D- B- D- D 40% 34% 26% A C- A A A+ F F C- F
1.22 54% 64% 40% +9 -1 1.18 23% 1.1 .27 13% .49 72% .35 1.18 65% 35% 38% +4 -2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 7% .52 73% .38
Dec
10		 Notre Dame C D+ F A+ B- 33% 25% 41% C- B- D F F+ A+ F A+ F+ F+ F B+ F F 29% 48% 23% A+ F+ D+ B- C D+ A+ C- A+
1.04 53% 15% 48% +1 -1 1.02 20% 0.7 .14 10% .18 90% .16 1.27 80% 32% 67% +15 -4 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 14% .19 70% .13
Dec
21		 Cal Poly D- F F A+ D 19% 26% 54% F F+ F+ B D C- A+ C+ A+ A D+ F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% C+ A A A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.00 36% 20% 42% -2 -2 0.93 24% 1.2 .28 17% .41 75% .30 0.96 61% 50% 21% -10 +1 0.85 23% 0.5 .11 17% .57 79% .45
Dec
23		 Cal St. Bakersfield F D F+ F F 31% 24% 45% D- F F+ D+ F+ C F A D- B- D- F C- F 27% 33% 40% B- F A F B- C+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 53% 33% 27% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.0 .29 17% .28 80% .22 0.98 64% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.1 .26 20% .15 38% .06
Jan
3		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A B 31% 13% 56% C- B A- C+ A- D A+ D A+ D B- A- C B+ 32% 36% 32% A+ A- F A F B+ F A- F
1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37 1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31
Jan
8		 Montana D+ F D F F 52% 12% 36% A F A- C+ A- A- A+ D- A+ D- D+ F B D+ 33% 22% 45% B+ C- A F B D+ F F F
1.04 46% 33% 17% -16 +2 0.74 38% 1.1 .40 11% .47 66% .31 1.13 63% 64% 32% +6 -1 1.12 14% 1.3 .18 19% .39 86% .33
Jan
10		 Montana St. A+ A- C- A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% B- A+ C+ F F+ A+ D B- D+ F F+ F F F 46% 28% 26% D F D- A C B- F F+ F
1.35 65% 38% 44% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.7 .22 7% .22 79% .17 1.30 65% 57% 54% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.9 .28 18% .37 81% .30
Jan
15		 Idaho St. D- B B+ F F 38% 13% 49% B- F D- A+ A B- A+ F A+ C- A+ F F F 39% 25% 36% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F D- F
1.02 65% 50% 14% -11 +1 0.82 23% 2.0 .46 13% .54 65% .35 1.14 41% 64% 50% +9 -1 1.18 23% 0.6 .13 13% .43 80% .35
Jan
17		 Weber St. F+ D A+ F F 44% 13% 44% B- F+ F A+ B- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 16% 40% C A+ C- D D A+ F C F
0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28 0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47
Jan
22		 Sacramento St. C+ A- F A+ A 37% 8% 56% C+ A F+ F F C D- A+ C C- C+ A- A+ A 52% 31% 17% D+ A F D+ F D- A- F C
1.20 68% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 26% 0.9 .23 17% .27 88% .23 1.06 53% 28% 10% -12 0 0.78 35% 1.2 .42 13% .27 100% .27
Jan
24		 Portland St. D+ C F C- C 47% 11% 42% A- C+ D+ F F C- A+ F+ B+ C- B- F F F+ 66% 12% 22% F F A+ A+ A+ F B- C B-
0.98 57% 20% 32% -4 +2 0.98 26% 0.7 .17 19% .46 68% .31 1.03 52% 50% 55% +4 +3 1.16 13% 0.0 .00 15% .28 69% .19
Jan
29		 Northern Colorado C F B- B D 38% 13% 50% C+ D+ D F F A A- A+ A+ D D A- F D 50% 19% 31% D+ D A+ D B+ D F B F
1.09 38% 43% 36% -6 +1 0.93 21% 0.8 .17 8% .40 86% .34 1.20 65% 30% 44% +7 +1 1.17 19% 1.2 .22 14% .51 70% .35
Jan
31		 Northern Arizona C+ A+ B- B- B+ 43% 13% 44% C+ B+ F D F B F B+ F A B- F B C+ 40% 27% 33% C+ B- B F+ C+ C D- A- D+
1.21 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 18% 1.0 .18 14% .16 78% .12 0.95 53% 46% 31% -1 -1 0.98 20% 1.1 .23 17% .33 61% .20
Feb
5		 Montana St. F D A+ F D+ 57% 16% 28% B+ C- F F F D- F A+ F B+ C- A- A+ A+ 35% 44% 21% A+ A+ A+ F C- D- F F F
0.91 52% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.97 21% 0.6 .12 19% .15 89% .14 1.00 59% 33% 20% -6 -3 0.83 13% 2.3 .30 12% .47 87% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Montana D- F+ F B+ D 35% 18% 47% C+ D+ D F F D+ F F F B B F F D 31% 20% 49% B D+ B+ F C C+ D- A+ B-
0.94 50% 20% 37% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .16 17% .20 58% .12 1.01 53% 50% 42% +7 -1 1.14 17% 1.4 .23 21% .35 60% .21
Feb
12		 Weber St. C- C+ F C D+ 42% 6% 52% B+ C- F+ F F A+ D B D+ F D B+ F F 44% 34% 22% A+ D B F D+ F C F F
1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22 1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31
Feb
14		 Idaho St. A A A+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 46% A- A+ B A A- D+ D+ F F+ A- A+ C A+ A+ 30% 23% 46% A A+ A- F C F+ B- F D+
1.36 71% 60% 48% +17 +2 1.41 34% 1.3 .45 17% .30 67% .20 0.95 35% 38% 27% -12 -1 0.77 26% 1.3 .33 14% .29 89% .26
Feb
19		 Portland St. C- D+ F A- C 37% 22% 41% C- C C D D+ C- F B- F D B C F D 28% 34% 38% A+ C B- F F F D- B- D
0.98 53% 18% 38% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 19% .23 77% .18 1.12 50% 35% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.5 .43 15% .36 67% .24
Feb
21		 Sacramento St. C+ F F A+ C- 35% 10% 54% C C- A D+ B+ F A+ C+ A+ C F B+ B- D- 29% 33% 37% A- D+ A+ A+ A+ F F F F
1.17 47% 20% 42% +1 +1 1.06 44% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35 1.09 73% 29% 32% 0 -2 0.98 14% 0.4 .06 11% .51 85% .43
Feb
26		 Northern Arizona B F F A+ B+ 40% 17% 43% C- B+ C A+ B+ B+ F F F B+ A+ C D B+ 35% 33% 33% A- A- A F C+ D- C- F+ D+
1.29 47% 25% 60% +10 +1 1.23 32% 1.4 .45 13% .21 55% .11 0.96 41% 38% 38% -4 -2 0.90 17% 1.3 .23 13% .28 73% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 3.3 3.3 3rd
4th 4.1 14.0 18.0 4th
5th 19.2 5.8 25.0 5th
6th 24.0 0.6 24.5 6th
7th 25.5 3.5 29.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 25.5 50.8 23.7 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 23.7% 15.3% 15.3% 14.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 0.8 20.1
9-9 50.8% 9.1% 9.1% 14.7 0.0 1.3 3.2 0.1 46.2
8-10 25.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.1 0.0 1.4 0.3 23.8
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 14.5 90.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 100.0% 14.0 0.1 16.1 62.4 21.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.2%
Lose Out 9.1%