IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#355
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#330
Pace99.8#1
Improvement-2.5#344

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#291
First Shot-4.2#299
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#190
Layup/Dunks-0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#82
Freethrows-3.3#334
Improvement-0.8#259

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#362
First Shot-6.5#349
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#303
Layups/Dunks-8.7#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#18
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#110
Freethrows-2.0#297
Improvement-1.7#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.7% 3.9% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.9% 55.1% 65.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 82 - 11
Quad 44 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 20 @Ohio St. L 102-118 1%     0 - 1 +2.2 +18.2 -13.1
  Thu, Nov 6 232 LIU Brooklyn L 90-94 29%     0 - 2 -11.2 -2.3 -8.1
  Sat, Nov 8 47 @Butler L 80-112 2%     0 - 3 -18.4 -4.9 -6.3
  Fri, Nov 14 209 @Eastern Michigan W 90-83 12%     1 - 3 +7.0 +8.3 -2.1
  Tue, Nov 18 282 @Charleston Southern L 91-103 18%     1 - 4 -15.5 +3.0 -16.7
  Fri, Nov 21 266 Alabama St. L 80-101 24%     1 - 5 -26.6 -6.7 -17.2
  Sun, Nov 23 323 @Air Force L 85-98 24%     1 - 6 -18.6 +1.7 -18.9
  Sat, Nov 29 310 Morehead St. L 87-89 42%    
  Wed, Dec 3 328 @Detroit Mercy L 89-96 27%    
  Sat, Dec 6 189 Youngstown St. L 86-94 23%    
  Thu, Dec 11 267 Green Bay L 83-87 35%    
  Mon, Dec 22 98 @Grand Canyon L 79-100 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 303 @Cleveland St. L 94-102 22%    
  Thu, Jan 1 198 @Northern Kentucky L 83-97 11%    
  Sun, Jan 4 146 Wright St. L 81-91 18%    
  Fri, Jan 9 267 @Green Bay L 80-90 17%    
  Sun, Jan 11 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 85-98 12%    
  Thu, Jan 15 185 Robert Morris L 85-93 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 328 Detroit Mercy L 92-93 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 138 @Oakland L 88-105 6%    
  Sun, Jan 25 236 Purdue Fort Wayne L 90-96 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 185 @Robert Morris L 82-96 10%    
  Fri, Jan 30 189 @Youngstown St. L 83-97 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 303 Cleveland St. L 97-99 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 198 Northern Kentucky L 86-94 25%    
  Sun, Feb 15 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 87-99 15%    
  Thu, Feb 19 146 @Wright St. L 78-94 8%    
  Wed, Feb 25 138 Oakland L 91-102 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 88-95 27%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 4.0 7.0 7.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 23.9 10th
11th 3.1 8.4 12.9 12.6 8.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 48.9 11th
Total 3.1 8.4 13.8 16.7 16.1 13.9 10.6 7.7 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 34.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 9.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 1.6% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
11-9 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-10 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
9-11 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.5
8-12 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
7-13 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-14 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-15 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-16 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.1
3-17 16.7% 16.7
2-18 13.8% 13.8
1-19 8.4% 8.4
0-20 3.1% 3.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%