Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -10.4 324
Results Rating -8.9 307
Consistency 0.13 63
Pace 69.1 162
Improvement +1.9 112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 222 D C- B- C+ C-
Defense F+ 356 D- F+ D+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 D- 51% 339 -3.8 313
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 125 B- 41% 78 +1.7 88
Three Pointers 40% 202 D+ 32% 280 -1.9 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 248 D -3.5 304
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 304
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 272 B- 1.09 95 C- 0.30 212
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 101
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 156
Turnovers B- 15.7% 112
Freethrows C- 0.29 231 A- 79% 6 C+ 0.23 146
Total Offense C- -2.0 222

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 245 F+ 15.2% 348
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 115 B- 3.6% 78
Three Pointers D 77% 320 F 2.6% 364
Total D+ 51% 270 D- 7.5% 338

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 154 D 64% 322 +2.9 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 209 D 42% 311 +0.3 216
Three Pointers 41% 183 F+ 38% 350 +2.8 308
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 209 F+ +5.6 353
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 346
Second Chance F 37.3% 359 D+ 1.10 280 F+ 0.41 355
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.4% 109
Other Turnovers F 4.6% 365
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 283
Freethrows B+ 0.24 24 D 75% 320 B 0.18 47
Total Defense F+ -8.4 356

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 61% 356 D- 6.3% 342
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 46% 361 D 2.2% 326
Three Pointers C- 86% 251 D+ 0.5% 271
Total F+ 66% 354 D- 3.1% 345

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 230 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 312 0.18 232
Consistency 0.12 178 0.12 194
Improvement +0.6 155 +1.3 118

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 335 324 313
Results Rating Rank 324 307 288
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 10 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Iona (Home) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 59 @USC L 83 - 114 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 F -19 C+ +3 C+ D B+ F -17 C+ F D
 Wed, Nov 12 184 Utah Tech W 79 - 75 21% +3  77% 1 - 1 C+ +2 B+ +8 B B+ D- D -5 B+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 116 @Hawaii L 56 - 86 7% -15  1% 1 - 2 F -24 F -14 D+ F C F+ -9 C F F
 Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 73 88% +5  85% 2 - 2 F+ -16 C+ +3 B- B+ D- F -19 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 34 @Texas A&M L 68 - 109 1% -21  0% 2 - 3 F -24 D -4 B F D F -17 F D+ F+
 Wed, Nov 26 320 Wagner L 101 - 103 OT 61% +8  85% 2 - 4 F+ -15 B+ +9 C A- B F -24 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 341 @Army L 78 - 81 OT 45% -3  9% 2 - 5 D- -12 D- -7 F C+ B- D -5 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 245 Fairfield W 70 - 66 40% +4  86% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -4 F -13 D- F F A +9 B+ B- A
 Sun, Dec 7 183 @Marist L 68 - 80 14% -3  15% 3 - 6 1 - 1 D -11 D- -6 C- F C D+ -4 C- F+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 153 @Fordham L 53 - 82 11% -11  0% 3 - 7 F -26 F -13 F D+ B+ F -15 F F C+
 Thu, Dec 18 171 Furman L 68 - 75 27% -2  18% 3 - 8 D -11 D- -8 D+ C- D- D+ -3 D D- A
 Sun, Dec 21 271 Presbyterian W 87 - 81 46% +3  63% 4 - 8 C- -3 B +7 A- D A F -10 D D- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 356 @Rider W 74 - 71 57% -2  10% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D -9 C- -2 F C+ C- D- -7 D+ F C+
 Fri, Jan 2 211 Quinnipiac W 80 - 79 33% -8  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -5 C+ +2 B F B- D- -7 C+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 4 172 @Merrimack L 66 - 73 13% -4  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 D+ -5 D -4 D+ F A+ C -1 F B+ D
 Fri, Jan 9 343 Canisius L 64 - 70 68% +1  49% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -21 F -13 D- F D+ F+ -9 C- D F
 Sun, Jan 11 335 Niagara W 79 - 70 66% -1  43% 7 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -6 A- +10 F A+ A+ F -14 F B- D
 Wed, Jan 14 245 @Fairfield L 62 - 98 21% -20  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F -38 F -17 F D- D- F -20 F D D+
 Sat, Jan 17 201 Siena L 59 - 74 32% -12  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -20 F -12 F D- A- F -10 F B- B
 Mon, Jan 19 211 @Quinnipiac L 92 - 98 OT 16% +1  44% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D+ -6 B +7 C C+ A- F -13 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 242 @Iona L 57 - 66 20% -8  0% 7 - 14 4 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D+ C- B- +2 C C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 356 Rider W 95 - 90 77% +2  72% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D- -13 A+ +15 A C- B+ F -28 F F F
 Sun, Feb 1 286 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 72 27% -4  1% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D -11 D -5 F B+ B D- -6 A- F D
 Thu, Feb 5 238 St. Peter's L 75 - 80 38% -7  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 D- -12 B +7 D+ A+ C F -20 C F F
 Sat, Feb 7 284 Sacred Heart W 80 - 68 49% -2  28% 9 - 16 6 - 9 C+ +2 D+ -4 D- F B B+ +6 A- C- D-
 Fri, Feb 13 335 @Niagara W 76 - 69 43% +5  85% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C -2 B- +5 C+ B C- D -6 F A D+
 Sun, Feb 15 343 @Canisius W 69 - 65 46% +6  76% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -5 D+ -3 F A+ B- C- -2 D A F
 Fri, Feb 20 183 Marist L 70 - 84 29% -7  25% 11 - 17 8 - 10 F -19 B- +4 C- A+ B- F -24 F F D-
 Fri, Feb 27 238 @St. Peter's L 65 - 75 19% -13  0% 11 - 18 8 - 11 D -11 C- -2 F B+ A F -11 F D C+
 Sun, Mar 1 242 Iona L 77 - 80 40%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -10 C- -2 D D C- F+ -8 D+ A- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- B- D+ D 37% 42% 40% C- D D+ B- C- B- C- A- C+ F+ D D F+ F+ 40% 20% 41% C- D- F D+ F+ D+ B+ D B
1.06 51% 41% 32% -3 0 0.94 27% 1.1 .30 16% .29 79% .23 1.21 64% 42% 38% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.1 .41 15% .24 75% .22
Nov
9		 USC C+ F+ A+ D+ C 42% 19% 38% B- C+ D+ F D B+ A+ B+ A+ F D A+ F+ C+ 48% 23% 30% D+ C+ F F F D D D+ D-
1.01 45% 60% 30% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.7 .17 15% .51 81% .41 1.39 66% 21% 39% +2 0 1.07 52% 1.3 .65 15% .46 75% .34
Nov
12		 Utah Tech B+ D+ C+ A+ B 52% 17% 30% B- B B+ B- B+ D- A A+ A+ D A- C C+ A- 38% 15% 46% C- B+ F D+ F F+ D A+ C+
1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32 1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16
Nov
14		 Hawaii F D F A+ D 57% 25% 19% B- D+ F F F C C+ F D- F+ B+ A+ F C+ 55% 13% 32% D- C F F+ F F F+ C D-
0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17 1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30
Nov
15		 Mississippi Valley C+ A A+ C+ B- 27% 12% 61% C- B- A D B+ D- A+ A- A+ F C F A- F 27% 43% 31% B- F F F F C- B+ F D+
1.25 73% 60% 36% +8 0 1.20 48% 1.2 .56 20% .62 81% .51 1.14 54% 62% 27% +6 -4 1.06 35% 1.8 .61 20% .21 100% .21
Nov
21		 Texas A&M D C D A+ B 37% 24% 39% C- B F F F D B F D+ F F A F F 44% 5% 52% D+ F A+ F D+ F+ A- C- B+
0.91 56% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.06 19% 0.7 .14 21% .32 58% .19 1.46 74% 33% 47% +17 +2 1.40 25% 1.4 .36 11% .26 76% .20
Nov
26		 Wagner B+ F A+ A+ C+ 37% 23% 40% D- C B B+ A- B A+ B A+ F F F F F 60% 12% 29% F F F B F C- F D F
1.30 33% 54% 48% +3 0 1.07 36% 1.2 .43 12% .51 77% .39 1.33 65% 50% 60% +16 +3 1.40 48% 0.9 .45 18% .42 74% .31
Nov
29		 Army D- C- F F F 34% 22% 44% D+ F F A+ C+ B- F A+ D D B A+ F F 45% 9% 47% D F C D+ C- B A+ F A
1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 -1 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23 1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10
Dec
5		 Fairfield F D- A+ F F 52% 12% 36% B- D- D- F F F A A A+ A B- D A+ B 25% 28% 47% A B+ F A+ B- A A+ F A
0.97 50% 50% 28% -6 +2 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 21% .37 81% .30 0.91 50% 44% 26% -6 -2 0.86 43% 0.7 .28 21% .12 86% .10
Dec
7		 Marist D- D- C- B C 35% 33% 33% D C- F F F C B A- A- D+ D D A- C 35% 15% 50% F C- F C+ F+ D+ C A+ B
0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29 1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Fordham F F C- F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F A+ D+ B+ F A+ D+ F C+ F F+ F 36% 29% 35% B+ F F B F C+ A+ D- A+
0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16 1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06
Dec
18		 Furman D- A C- F C- 28% 30% 43% F+ D+ B- D- C- D- B- D+ C+ D+ C- F+ D D 42% 8% 50% D- D F C+ D- A B- A+ A+
0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19 1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10
Dec
21		 Presbyterian B A A B A 42% 15% 44% C+ A- D+ D- D A B- B- B- F C+ B F D 46% 20% 34% D- D F+ D+ D- F+ A+ F A
1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22 1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15
Dec
29		 Rider C- F A+ C- F 40% 17% 43% D F B+ D- C+ C- A+ A+ A+ D- B- C B- C- 44% 22% 34% F D+ F D- F C+ B- A B
1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38 1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15
Jan
2		 Quinnipiac C+ C A+ C B+ 40% 23% 38% C- B D- F F B- D+ A+ B D- F A+ D C- 26% 38% 36% A+ C+ F+ F F A- A+ F B-
1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25 1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Merrimack D F A+ F D+ 51% 28% 21% C D+ F F F A+ F A+ F C F F A- F 41% 8% 51% D F A- C B+ D C A+ A-
0.98 41% 56% 25% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .26 13% .14 88% .12 1.09 75% 50% 28% +3 +2 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 13% .34 65% .22
Jan
9		 Canisius F C+ F B D- 36% 28% 36% D- D- D- F F D+ F A+ F+ F+ D+ D+ A D+ 42% 29% 29% C C- F B- D F D F F
0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16 1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26
Jan
11		 Niagara A- C F F F 44% 29% 27% D+ F B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 49% 9% 43% F F F+ A+ B- D A F B+
1.31 60% 31% 25% -5 -1 0.91 37% 1.7 .63 8% .38 90% .34 1.16 52% 75% 50% +10 +2 1.28 28% 0.5 .14 17% .14 86% .12
Jan
14		 Fairfield F F C+ F F 40% 26% 34% F F F+ D+ D- D- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 34% 25% 41% B- F C- F+ D D+ F A- D-
0.86 40% 38% 18% -15 -1 0.70 23% 1.0 .23 18% .41 79% .32 1.36 68% 57% 48% +17 -1 1.34 34% 1.1 .38 14% .36 64% .23
Jan
17		 Siena F F A+ F F 31% 19% 50% C F F+ D+ D- A- F+ D F+ F C D F F 35% 22% 43% D+ F D+ A B- B A+ A+ A+
0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15 1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 0 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02
Jan
19		 Quinnipiac B F D A+ C 47% 22% 32% C C C B- C+ A- B A+ A+ F C+ D- F F 40% 22% 38% C- F F F F C- F B- F
1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30 1.22 55% 42% 43% +4 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Iona F F A+ F F 34% 19% 47% C- F D+ C- D+ C- C+ A B B- F+ C- B- C- 26% 21% 53% B+ C F A+ C+ C+ D D- D-
0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22 1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23
Jan
30		 Rider A+ B+ F A+ A 37% 10% 53% C- A D+ C C- B+ A A+ A+ F F B- F F 48% 23% 29% F F F F F F F B- F
1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35 1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33
Feb
1		 Mount St. Mary's D F+ A+ F F 25% 17% 58% C- F D+ A+ B+ B F A+ F+ D- A- B A- A- 40% 21% 38% B+ A- F F F D B- F D-
0.99 46% 56% 23% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.5 .39 12% .23 85% .19 1.10 47% 30% 28% -10 0 0.83 39% 1.6 .64 20% .27 93% .25
Feb
5		 St. Peter's B C- A- F+ D+ 27% 22% 51% F+ D+ A A- A+ C A+ A- A+ F B+ F A+ C 38% 22% 40% C- C F D- F F C+ F D+
1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42 1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26
Feb
7		 Sacred Heart D+ D- B- C D- 39% 21% 40% D+ D- F D+ F B B+ A+ A+ B+ D A- A+ A- 30% 20% 50% B- A- A- F C- D- B F C+
1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29 0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20
Feb
13		 Niagara B- A+ F A+ B 27% 29% 44% F+ C+ D A+ B C- D- A D+ D F F B- F 43% 15% 41% C- F A- A+ A D+ F F F
1.20 77% 14% 48% +7 -2 1.13 29% 1.4 .42 16% .24 85% .21 1.09 75% 57% 32% +9 +1 1.22 16% 0.5 .08 17% .31 81% .25
Feb
15		 Canisius D+ F D- B+ F 46% 26% 28% D+ F C- A+ A+ B- A+ F B- C- F A- A+ D- 33% 27% 39% B- D B- A+ A F C F F+
1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25 1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25
Feb
20		 Marist B- C- A+ F C- 35% 26% 39% C- C- B+ A+ A+ B- A- A A F D- F F F 36% 30% 34% C+ F F F F D- D- D+ D-
1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32 1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24
Feb
27		 St. Peter's C- F A+ F F 43% 20% 37% C F C+ A B+ A A- A- A+ F F C+ F F 35% 24% 41% C+ F F A- D C+ A- A+ A
1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 +1 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39 1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 40.3 40.3 8th
9th 9th
10th 59.7 59.7 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 59.7 40.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 40.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 40.1
8-12 59.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.3 59.5
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 39.3%