Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#318
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#294
Pace68.7#217
Improvement-0.4#213

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#133
First Shot+1.3#136
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#193
Layup/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+3.9#19
Improvement+0.7#115

Defense
Total Defense-9.5#363
First Shot-6.2#348
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#336
Layups/Dunks-7.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#246
Freethrows+1.7#85
Improvement-1.0#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 21.3% 30.0% 12.5%
.500 or above in Conference 36.1% 42.0% 30.2%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 8.2% 14.1%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 0.8%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 31 @USC L 83-114 2%     0 - 1 -14.6 +4.6 -14.6
  Wed, Nov 12 281 Utah Tech W 79-75 43%     1 - 1 -2.5 +11.4 -13.6
  Fri, Nov 14 110 @Hawaii L 56-86 9%     1 - 2 -23.5 -12.3 -10.2
  Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-73 89%     2 - 2 -15.0 +4.8 -19.2
  Fri, Nov 21 60 @Texas A&M L 68-109 4%     2 - 3 -28.7 -4.0 -22.2
  Wed, Nov 26 292 Wagner L 101-103 OT 57%     2 - 4 -12.3 +14.1 -26.2
  Sat, Nov 29 346 @Army W 79-78 50%    
  Fri, Dec 5 288 Fairfield W 80-79 55%    
  Sun, Dec 7 154 @Marist L 64-75 15%    
  Sat, Dec 13 212 @Fordham L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Dec 18 160 Furman L 74-79 32%    
  Sun, Dec 21 275 Presbyterian W 73-72 53%    
  Mon, Dec 29 343 @Rider L 76-77 50%    
  Fri, Jan 2 193 Quinnipiac L 80-84 38%    
  Sun, Jan 4 255 @Merrimack L 71-77 28%    
  Fri, Jan 9 348 Canisius W 77-71 72%    
  Sun, Jan 11 333 Niagara W 76-71 67%    
  Wed, Jan 14 288 @Fairfield L 77-82 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 177 Siena L 74-78 36%    
  Mon, Jan 19 193 @Quinnipiac L 77-87 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 167 @Iona L 79-89 17%    
  Fri, Jan 30 343 Rider W 79-73 70%    
  Sun, Feb 1 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 295 St. Peter's W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 261 Sacred Heart L 83-84 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 333 @Niagara L 73-74 46%    
  Sun, Feb 15 348 @Canisius W 74-73 51%    
  Fri, Feb 20 154 Marist L 67-72 33%    
  Fri, Feb 27 295 @St. Peter's L 72-76 36%    
  Sun, Mar 1 167 Iona L 82-86 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.1 0.9 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.3 1.5 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.5 5.3 1.8 0.2 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.7 4.1 2.1 0.3 10.0 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.6 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.2 7.5 10.2 11.7 12.9 11.7 11.0 8.9 6.7 4.6 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 85.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
16-4 59.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 33.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
14-6 8.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 18.8% 18.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 25.6% 25.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 14.5% 14.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.5% 11.8% 11.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
14-6 2.5% 11.5% 11.5% 15.7 0.1 0.2 2.2
13-7 4.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 4.2
12-8 6.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.3 6.3
11-9 8.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.6
10-10 11.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.8
9-11 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
8-12 12.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-13 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
6-14 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 7.5% 7.5
4-16 5.2% 5.2
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 97.9 0.0%