Navy
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +0.9 146
Results Rating +1.7 135
Consistency 0.17 298
Pace 64.2 298
Improvement +7.0 6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 228 C- C D+ B- C-
Defense B- 92 B- C+ C+ B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 C- 55% 251 -0.6 204
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 111 C+ 40% 113 +2.0 74
Three Pointers 36% 286 C 33% 208 -2.9 278
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 253 C- -1.0 207
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 217
Second Chance C 30.2% 186 C 1.04 159 C 0.31 166
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.4% 275
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 276
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 288
Freethrows B- 0.33 90 C+ 74% 150 B- 0.25 85
Total Offense C- -2.1 228

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 59% 38 C- 11.9% 238
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 58% 1 C- 6.0% 249
Three Pointers B- 88% 100 F+ 1.8% 344
Total A- 67% 19 D 6.8% 306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 342 D+ 62% 293 -3.1 78
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 72 C 38% 178 +1.2 289
Three Pointers 45% 62 B+ 30% 31 -0.6 156
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 42 C+ -1.5 118
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 97
Second Chance C 30.4% 185 B- 0.96 68 C+ 0.29 118
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 101
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 235
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 133
Freethrows B 0.25 40 D+ 74% 302 B 0.19 62
Total Defense B- +3.0 92

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 296 C- 10.1% 204
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 168 C 4.9% 170
Three Pointers C- 85% 198 C+ 1.1% 123
Total C- 57% 220 C- 4.8% 239

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 282 17.5 228
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 220 0.14 87
Consistency 0.12 171 0.12 184
Improvement +3.7 32 +3.2 39

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 163 146 130
Results Rating Rank 160 140 111
Conference Record 16 - 2 17 - 1 17 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 15 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51% 52% 48%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round51% 52% 48%
Second Round1% 1% 2%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 11 - 4
Quad 424 - 225 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 271 @Presbyterian W 76 - 55 66% +16  88% 1 - 0 A- +18 B +6 B- C B+ A+ +13 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 7 88 Yale L 68 - 97 40% -14  17% 1 - 1 F -26 F -15 D+ D- F F+ -9 C- F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 117 @Penn St. L 71 - 80 31% -6  6% 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -2 D C+ F C -1 A- F D+
 Tue, Nov 18 26 @North Carolina L 61 - 73 6% -10  0% 1 - 3 B- +6 D- -7 F+ D A+ A+ +13 B A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 315 NJIT W 86 - 70 89% +10  92% 2 - 3 C+ +3 B+ +8 B+ D+ B- D+ -4 A- F+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 362 Gardner-Webb W 84 - 51 95% +16  96% 3 - 3 A- +15 C+ +3 D+ A+ F A+ +13 A- B- A-
 Fri, Nov 28 107 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 87 28% -21  0% 3 - 4 F -23 F -11 F D- D+ F -15 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 290 SE Louisiana L 65 - 69 79% -7  21% 3 - 5 D- -12 D -6 F D C+ D -6 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 361 @Delaware St. W 66 - 59 91% +9  98% 4 - 5 D+ -7 F -13 F B+ F B+ +5 B+ D+ F
 Sun, Dec 7 350 Air Force W 61 - 56 94% -0  39% 5 - 5 D- -12 F -15 F F B B +4 A- C+ F+
 Fri, Dec 19 364 Coppin St. W 88 - 55 97% +12  94% 6 - 5 B+ +12 B+ +9 C- A+ D+ B +4 C+ A D+
 Wed, Dec 31 258 Boston University W 82 - 77 81% +5  88% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C- -3 C +1 B+ D- C- D+ -4 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 327 @Holy Cross W 65 - 58 79% +6  92% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 D -5 D F D- B+ +5 A+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 7 334 Bucknell W 76 - 55 92% +7  59% 9 - 5 3 - 0 B- +6 C +1 C- A- F+ A- +7 B A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 323 Lafayette W 76 - 50 90% +20  97% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B+ +13 C- -2 B C- C- A+ +15 A- A+ A
 Mon, Jan 12 251 @American L 51 - 65 61% -11  0% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -16 F -19 F F F C+ +1 B B F
 Sat, Jan 17 295 @Lehigh W 82 - 79 2OT 71% -0  36% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 D- A- F C+ +0 B B F
 Wed, Jan 21 327 Holy Cross W 85 - 68 91% +6  85% 12 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +3 B+ +9 C+ A A D+ -4 D F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 341 Army W 84 - 56 92% +12  92% 13 - 6 7 - 1 B+ +13 A- +10 A+ A+ F B+ +6 C- A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 258 @Boston University W 58 - 50 63% -2  34% 14 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 F+ -9 C F F A+ +16 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 31 319 Loyola Maryland W 87 - 71 90% +8  87% 15 - 6 9 - 1 C+ +3 A- +10 A+ A+ D- D -6 D C C+
 Wed, Feb 4 323 @Lafayette W 65 - 50 78% +4  82% 16 - 6 10 - 1 B- +8 D- -6 F+ D- C A+ +16 C A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 251 American W 82 - 73 80% +3  73% 17 - 6 11 - 1 C +1 A- +10 A- C A D- -8 D C- B
 Mon, Feb 9 334 @Bucknell W 76 - 60 82% +9  87% 18 - 6 12 - 1 B- +7 C- -1 F+ A D+ A- +8 B+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 14 250 @Colgate W 84 - 80 OT 61% +5  81% 19 - 6 13 - 1 C+ +2 B- +5 B+ F+ C+ C- -3 D D- C+
 Wed, Feb 18 295 Lehigh W 72 - 49 86% +11  96% 20 - 6 14 - 1 B+ +12 C- -2 C+ F C A+ +16 A+ A- C
 Sat, Feb 21 341 @Army W 81 - 63 82% +11  91% 21 - 6 15 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 D- A+ D B- +3 C- B C+
 Wed, Feb 25 319 @Loyola Maryland W 78 - 51 78% +14  84% 22 - 6 16 - 1 A +20 A- +10 A D+ C- A+ +14 A+ B C-
 Sat, Feb 28 250 Colgate W 74 - 65 79%
Totals 23 - 6 17 - 1 +1 C- -2 D C- C- B- +3 C C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C+ C C- 39% 44% 36% C- C- C C C D+ B- C+ B- B- D+ C B+ C+ 31% 24% 45% B+ B- C B- C+ C+ B D+ B
1.06 55% 40% 33% -1 0 0.99 30% 1.0 .31 18% .33 74% .25 1.04 62% 38% 30% -2 -1 0.97 30% 1.0 .29 17% .25 74% .25
Nov
3		 Presbyterian B B F C+ C+ 54% 15% 30% B B- C+ C- C B+ A+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A 36% 18% 45% D A- B- A+ A+ A- F B+ F+
1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28 0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28
Nov
7		 Yale F A+ F+ F D+ 41% 30% 30% D+ D+ F B D- F A+ B A+ F+ C- A- F C- 39% 16% 45% C- C- C- F F D+ D+ D- D-
0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37 1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29
Nov
11		 Penn St. D+ C+ C+ D- D 41% 27% 33% D+ D C- A- C+ F B A+ A C D+ B A B+ 36% 30% 34% A+ A- D F F D+ B- D+ C+
1.03 60% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.4 .38 23% .27 93% .25 1.17 63% 38% 28% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.5 .52 13% .30 78% .23
Nov
18		 North Carolina D- F F C F 42% 28% 30% B- F+ C+ F D A+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ F F A 53% 6% 40% F B A A+ A+ A+ D F F+
0.87 40% 18% 33% -14 -1 0.73 27% 0.6 .16 9% .25 81% .20 1.04 44% 67% 42% -1 +3 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .39 77% .30
Nov
22		 NJIT B+ D A+ A+ A- 48% 25% 27% C- B+ C- D+ D+ B- A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ C- B B+ 21% 34% 45% A+ A- D- F+ F+ D- F B- F
1.25 52% 50% 46% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.0 .32 13% .55 73% .40 1.02 27% 39% 29% -9 -3 0.77 31% 1.1 .33 15% .43 68% .29
Nov
26		 Gardner-Webb C+ B D+ B C- 28% 26% 46% F D+ B+ A+ A+ F B A+ A A+ D F A+ A- 27% 23% 50% A+ A- B+ C- B- A- B- F+ C
1.26 69% 33% 38% +5 -1 1.09 43% 1.6 .70 21% .34 83% .29 0.77 62% 45% 17% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 24% .24 75% .18
Nov
28		 UNC Wilmington F F F+ F F 39% 19% 43% B+ F B+ F D- D+ D- A+ C- F C- F F F 26% 35% 39% A F F F F A+ B- F+ C
0.87 48% 30% 22% -13 0 0.76 32% 0.6 .18 15% .20 91% .18 1.34 58% 56% 44% +13 -3 1.22 57% 1.4 .79 23% .34 76% .26
Nov
29		 SE Louisiana D C+ F F F 43% 29% 29% C- F F+ B+ D C+ A+ F A D F C- F F 26% 42% 33% A+ F B- F D+ A+ C+ F D
1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36 1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25
Dec
3		 Delaware St. F F A+ F F 45% 16% 39% C F C- A+ B+ F A+ D+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ B 28% 40% 32% B+ B+ B+ F D+ F C- B+ C+
0.93 53% 50% 20% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.6 .47 25% .60 69% .41 0.83 53% 24% 24% -12 -3 0.72 19% 1.1 .21 11% .30 63% .19
Dec
7		 Air Force F F F C+ F 42% 29% 29% C- F F D+ F B D A+ B B B- D- A+ A- 27% 21% 52% A A- A- F C+ F+ B- A B
0.96 50% 29% 36% -5 -1 0.90 18% 1.0 .18 13% .27 93% .25 0.88 54% 40% 24% -9 -1 0.83 17% 1.3 .22 17% .27 57% .15
Dec
19		 Coppin St. B+ C- A B- C 33% 22% 46% D- C- A B- A+ D+ A+ A A+ B D D+ A+ D+ 21% 44% 35% A+ C+ C+ A+ A D+ B D- C+
1.31 60% 50% 38% +6 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .57 18% .53 83% .44 0.82 60% 38% 24% -5 -4 0.83 26% 0.6 .16 21% .28 73% .21
Dec
31		 Boston University C B- C+ A+ A- 30% 20% 50% D+ B+ C- F D- C- A+ C A+ D+ C- F B D+ 27% 34% 39% A+ C+ A+ F B+ F A F B
1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38 1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17
Jan
3		 Holy Cross D C F F F+ 64% 16% 20% A D C F F D- A A+ A+ B+ A+ B B A+ 28% 30% 43% B- A+ F F F B+ C- D+ D+
1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29 0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22
Jan
7		 Bucknell C B F A+ C 37% 24% 39% C C- B A- A- F+ B- B B A- D A+ A B 27% 17% 56% B- B A A+ A+ C C+ D+ C
1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27 0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21
Jan
10		 Lafayette C- B+ A+ B- B+ 33% 26% 41% D+ B F A+ C- C- A+ F B- A+ D A+ B+ B+ 27% 23% 50% A+ A- A- A+ A+ A D B D+
1.14 67% 50% 37% +8 -1 1.15 21% 1.6 .32 15% .47 48% .23 0.75 62% 9% 29% -9 -1 0.81 19% 0.3 .05 21% .32 65% .21
Jan
12		 American F F D- F F 38% 23% 40% D+ F D- F F F A+ C- A+ C+ F F A+ B+ 35% 6% 59% D- B F A+ B F A+ D+ A
0.82 47% 33% 19% -14 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35 1.04 68% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13
Jan
17		 Lehigh D+ F A A+ F+ 49% 19% 32% B D- A C A- F C+ D C C+ F F A+ B- 22% 35% 43% A+ B A D+ B F B F C+
1.06 31% 50% 47% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.0 .45 21% .33 70% .23 1.03 71% 48% 21% -2 -3 0.92 15% 1.0 .15 10% .23 81% .19
Jan
21		 Holy Cross B+ B+ A D+ B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F A+ A A A+ B+ A+ D+ F D+ B- F 25% 42% 33% A+ D F F F B+ B F C+
1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35 1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19
Jan
24		 Army A- C- A+ A+ A+ 24% 33% 43% F A+ A+ A A+ F B C+ B B+ D- F B- D 17% 20% 63% A+ C- A A+ A+ B C+ A+ B
1.33 60% 50% 56% +18 -3 1.33 43% 1.4 .61 21% .40 75% .30 0.89 63% 44% 31% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 21% .24 58% .14
Jan
28		 Boston University F+ C- A+ D+ C 44% 22% 33% C C D+ F F F F A+ F A+ A C A A+ 44% 13% 44% D- A+ F A+ C A+ A- B+ A-
1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04 0.89 47% 40% 29% -8 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Loyola Maryland A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 35% 24% F+ A+ A+ A A+ D- F F F D C+ B F F 22% 20% 59% A+ D D- A- C C+ A F B-
1.33 80% 65% 42% +21 -2 1.41 45% 1.4 .64 17% .18 50% .09 1.09 55% 30% 40% +3 -1 1.06 32% 0.8 .26 18% .19 90% .17
Feb
4		 Lafayette D- C+ B+ F D- 41% 39% 20% F+ F+ D D D- C D B D+ A+ D- F A+ C+ 36% 6% 57% D C A A+ A+ A- A+ F A
1.02 62% 45% 10% -3 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 14% .24 77% .18 0.79 65% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 18% 0.0 .00 20% .12 100% .12
Feb
7		 American A- C A+ A+ A 45% 25% 30% C- A- C- B C A A+ D+ A+ D- F F+ C F+ 21% 17% 62% A D F A C- B B+ A+ A
1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36 1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13
Feb
9		 Bucknell C- D+ B- F D- 38% 33% 29% D- F+ B+ A A D+ C B C+ A- F A+ A+ A 35% 11% 55% D B+ A- D+ B F+ A+ F A
1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25 0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14
Feb
14		 Colgate B- B B A A- 38% 23% 38% D+ B+ D- D- F+ C+ A+ D+ A+ C- A- A- F D 37% 20% 43% D D B- F D- C+ F A F
1.17 65% 42% 40% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.9 .21 14% .47 69% .32 1.12 47% 33% 50% +5 0 1.13 24% 1.4 .32 17% .44 65% .29
Feb
18		 Lehigh C- D A B+ C+ 45% 20% 35% B- C+ C F F C F+ A+ D+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% B+ A+ D A+ A- C A F B+
1.12 52% 50% 39% +2 +1 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 16% .24 85% .20 0.76 59% 25% 19% -11 -2 0.76 26% 0.4 .10 19% .19 80% .15
Feb
21		 Army B+ F C+ B D 38% 27% 35% D D- A- A A+ D A+ A- A+ B- F A+ B+ C- 26% 7% 67% C+ C- B B- B C+ F F+ F
1.26 50% 40% 38% 0 -1 1.00 40% 1.4 .56 17% .75 80% .60 0.98 75% 0% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 19% .33 76% .25
Feb
25		 Loyola Maryland A- A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 30% 39% F+ A C- D+ D+ C- C F D+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 59% C+ A+ D A+ B C- C- A+ B
1.28 86% 43% 44% +16 -2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 15% .29 67% .19 0.84 57% 0% 22% -15 +1 0.74 30% 0.7 .20 16% .28 57% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 20.8 79.2 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 20.8 79.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 79.2    79.2
16-2 100.0% 20.8    20.8
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 79.2% 51.7% 51.7% 13.9 0.3 9.5 25.3 5.9 0.0 38.2
16-2 20.8% 47.7% 47.7% 14.4 0.6 4.8 4.4 0.2 10.9
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 50.9% 50.9% 0.0% 14.0 49.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 41.0% 100.0% 13.9 0.7 23.1 61.7 14.5 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.4%
Lose Out 2.4%