Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#138
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#144
Pace73.7#87
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#75
First Shot+5.1#49
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#227
Layup/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-2.4#258
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#214
Layups/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#319
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement-0.2#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.5% 27.1% 19.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 77.0% 81.1% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 95.7% 85.2%
Conference Champion 36.1% 40.4% 19.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.3%
First Round25.2% 26.9% 18.6%
Second Round1.9% 2.2% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 79.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 11 - 6
Quad 35 - 45 - 11
Quad 413 - 318 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78-121 1%     0 - 1 -14.3 +13.1 -23.2
  Fri, Nov 7 3 @Purdue L 77-87 2%     0 - 2 +15.2 +13.3 +1.9
  Wed, Nov 12 5 @Houston L 45-78 3%     0 - 3 -10.3 -9.6 -5.0
  Mon, Nov 17 68 @Central Florida L 83-87 18%     0 - 4 +7.0 +9.8 -2.7
  Fri, Nov 21 209 @Eastern Michigan L 91-97 55%     0 - 5 -6.0 +13.8 -19.5
  Mon, Nov 24 199 Lamar W 83-68 64%     1 - 5 +12.6 +11.0 +1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 191 @Montana W 95-87 51%     2 - 5 +9.1 +12.3 -3.9
  Wed, Dec 3 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-78 80%    
  Sat, Dec 6 173 Toledo W 86-80 70%    
  Sat, Dec 13 90 @Northern Iowa L 68-76 24%    
  Wed, Dec 17 198 @Northern Kentucky W 80-79 52%    
  Sat, Dec 20 12 Michigan St. L 68-85 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 146 @Wright St. L 76-78 44%    
  Thu, Jan 1 189 @Youngstown St. W 80-79 51%    
  Sun, Jan 4 185 Robert Morris W 83-77 71%    
  Fri, Jan 9 303 Cleveland St. W 93-81 87%    
  Sun, Jan 11 146 Wright St. W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-81 55%    
  Sun, Jan 18 267 @Green Bay W 79-75 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 355 IU Indianapolis W 105-88 94%    
  Sat, Jan 24 328 @Detroit Mercy W 86-78 76%    
  Wed, Jan 28 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-81 60%    
  Sun, Feb 1 198 Northern Kentucky W 83-76 72%    
  Wed, Feb 4 303 @Cleveland St. W 90-84 71%    
  Thu, Feb 12 189 Youngstown St. W 83-77 71%    
  Sun, Feb 15 185 @Robert Morris W 80-79 50%    
  Fri, Feb 20 267 Green Bay W 82-72 81%    
  Sun, Feb 22 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-78 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 355 @IU Indianapolis W 102-91 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 328 Detroit Mercy W 89-75 89%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.5 9.3 8.8 5.2 2.4 0.6 36.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 7.1 6.5 3.0 0.8 0.0 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.1 3.7 1.0 0.1 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.1 5.0 7.4 10.0 12.8 13.9 14.1 12.4 9.6 5.3 2.4 0.6 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 100.0% 2.4    2.4 0.0
18-2 99.1% 5.2    5.0 0.2
17-3 91.6% 8.8    7.6 1.2 0.1
16-4 75.0% 9.3    6.5 2.6 0.3
15-5 46.1% 6.5    3.1 2.7 0.7 0.0
14-6 19.3% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 36.1% 36.1 26.0 8.0 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 65.1% 65.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
19-1 2.4% 49.9% 49.9% 12.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2
18-2 5.3% 47.3% 47.3% 12.9 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.8
17-3 9.6% 39.7% 39.7% 13.3 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.3 0.1 5.8
16-4 12.4% 36.4% 36.4% 13.6 0.3 1.5 2.3 0.4 7.9
15-5 14.1% 29.5% 29.5% 13.9 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.8 0.0 9.9
14-6 13.9% 24.4% 24.4% 14.1 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 10.5
13-7 12.8% 19.6% 19.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.2 10.3
12-8 10.0% 14.4% 14.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 8.6
11-9 7.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 6.6
10-10 5.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.5
9-11 3.1% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.9
8-12 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 1.9
7-13 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
6-14 0.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 25.5% 25.5% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.3 2.5 7.0 9.0 5.2 1.5 74.5 0.0%