Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.7 210
Results Rating -1.7 192
Consistency 0.13 83
Pace 71.4 101
Improvement -0.4 203

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 185 C D+ C+ C C-
Defense C- 231 C- D+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 C 58% 180 -0.9 220
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 139 A+ 50% 4 +4.1 31
Three Pointers 39% 222 D 30% 319 -3.2 292
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 260 C +0.5 149
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 175
Second Chance D+ 27.8% 252 D+ 0.97 270 D+ 0.27 272
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 91
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 209
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 121
Freethrows C+ 0.32 138 D+ 70% 254 C 0.22 159
Total Offense C -0.8 185

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 248 C 10.9% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 293 B- 3.5% 69
Three Pointers D 79% 299 D+ 1.3% 289
Total D- 46% 333 C+ 5.4% 160

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 49 C+ 56% 125 +2.2 254
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 175 C- 39% 230 +0.3 209
Three Pointers 36% 321 D+ 36% 282 -1.5 122
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 C- +0.6 207
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 207
Second Chance D 33.7% 311 C 1.03 175 D+ 0.35 274
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 283
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 80
Turnovers C- 16.2% 214
Freethrows C- 0.32 220 C- 73% 222 C- 0.23 232
Total Defense C- -1.9 231

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 112 C- 9.5% 227
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 34 C- 4.2% 209
Three Pointers B 79% 50 C 0.9% 152
Total B 50% 60 C 5.3% 193

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 134 17.1 147
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 331 0.15 95
Consistency 0.12 134 0.11 105
Improvement +0.4 169 -0.8 231

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 237 206 174
Results Rating Rank 248 189 159
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 12 - 6
Conference Finish 5 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 38% 60% 15%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 52.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 35 - 75 - 12
Quad 49 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 145 Arkansas St. L 85 - 89 47% +2  61% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +2 B+ F B- D- -8 C- F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 98 Illinois St. W 72 - 68 32% +2  74% 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 A- F A A- +7 B+ A C-
 Tue, Nov 11 37 @St. Mary's L 60 - 90 4% -15  11% 1 - 2 D- -13 D -6 D- A F D- -8 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 14 @Louisville L 81 - 106 2% -14  0% 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 A+ D- F F+ -9 C+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 19 239 Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 76 67% -4  10% 1 - 4 D -10 C- -1 C- F A F+ -9 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 109 George Mason L 69 - 92 27% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -19 D+ -2 C- B+ D F -18 D- F F
 Tue, Nov 25 148 Loyola Marymount L 58 - 70 38% -4  38% 1 - 6 D- -11 F -16 F D- F B+ +5 A- D+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 340 Maine W 79 - 57 87% +12  88% 2 - 6 B- +7 B +6 C+ C B- B- +2 B+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 186 Marshall W 88 - 81 58% +6  93% 3 - 6 C+ +2 B- +4 B D- A C- -2 B D- C-
 Sat, Dec 13 133 St. Bonaventure W 88 - 83 OT 34% +2  70% 4 - 6 B- +7 C+ +2 B A+ B+ B +4 A- C B-
 Sat, Dec 20 177 Bowling Green L 58 - 68 55% -9  8% 4 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 F -16 F C- F C+ +1 B F+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 266 @Central Michigan W 80 - 64 51% +5  53% 5 - 7 1 - 1 B+ +13 D -5 F+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 247 @Eastern Michigan W 68 - 67 47% -9  8% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C -1 C- -2 B F F C+ +1 D- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 190 Massachusetts W 86 - 83 58% +3  71% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C- -2 C+ +3 A D C+ D+ -5 D A+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 206 Buffalo W 91 - 80 61% +4  59% 8 - 7 4 - 1 B- +5 B +6 A A+ F C -1 B D D+
 Tue, Jan 13 164 @Toledo L 85 - 101 30% -4  47% 8 - 8 4 - 2 D- -13 B+ +8 C+ B+ B F -21 F F D
 Fri, Jan 16 313 @Ball St. L 71 - 76 63% -8  0% 8 - 9 4 - 3 D -11 C- -1 C D C F -10 F+ D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 321 Northern Illinois W 80 - 77 84% +5  78% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D -10 D+ -2 C C D D- -8 F B B-
 Fri, Jan 23 72 Akron L 65 - 86 22% -15  0% 9 - 10 5 - 4 F+ -16 F -14 F D+ A+ C -1 C+ A C
 Tue, Jan 27 159 @Kent St. L 57 - 72 30% -4  12% 9 - 11 5 - 5 D- -12 F -20 F F+ B A- +8 A F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 206 @Buffalo W 95 - 83 38% +8  92% 10 - 11 6 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +15 B- C+ A+ C- -3 F+ D+ B-
 Tue, Feb 3 272 Western Michigan W 91 - 71 74% +13  96% 11 - 11 7 - 5 B +11 A- +10 A B C C+ +1 D- A F
 Sat, Feb 7 240 @Old Dominion L 72 - 78 45% +0  38% 11 - 12 D+ -7 C+ +2 B D+ B F+ -10 C+ F F
 Fri, Feb 13 87 @Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 13% -10  2% 11 - 13 7 - 6 D+ -7 C -0 D+ D+ A D -6 C F D
 Tue, Feb 17 313 Ball St. W 69 - 57 81% +6  71% 12 - 13 8 - 6 C -0 C+ +2 C- F A C -0 D+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 321 @Northern Illinois W 74 - 66 67% +7  91% 13 - 13 9 - 6 C +1 B- +4 C F+ A+ C- -3 F B C
 Sat, Feb 28 164 Toledo W 81 - 80 53%
 Tue, Mar 3 190 @Massachusetts L 78 - 82 36%
 Fri, Mar 6 87 Miami (OH) L 78 - 84 28%
Totals 14 - 15 10 - 8 -3 C -1 D- C C- C- -2 D D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C A+ D C 37% 41% 39% C- C D+ D+ D+ C+ C+ D+ C C- C+ C- D+ C- 44% 21% 36% C- C- D C D+ C- C- C- C-
1.08 58% 50% 30% 0 -1 1.02 28% 1.0 .27 16% .32 70% .22 1.11 56% 39% 36% +1 0 1.04 34% 1.0 .35 16% .32 73% .23
Nov
3		 Arkansas St. C+ B- A+ D+ B+ 41% 17% 42% B- B+ F+ F F B- C+ D+ C D- A+ F C- C 42% 4% 54% F C- D- F F A- F F F
1.13 63% 70% 32% +6 +1 1.15 20% 0.6 .11 13% .34 68% .23 1.18 45% 100% 35% -2 +2 1.02 42% 1.6 .68 24% .49 89% .44
Nov
6		 Illinois St. C- B+ C+ F B- 70% 16% 14% A+ A- F F+ F A A+ F B A- B+ F A- A- 44% 18% 38% D- B+ B+ A A C- A A+ A+
1.03 66% 38% 14% +1 +3 1.10 16% 0.8 .13 11% .44 56% .24 0.97 54% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 23% 0.9 .21 16% .19 55% .10
Nov
11		 St. Mary's D C+ B- F D- 34% 28% 38% D+ D- B A+ A F F A+ F D- B- B+ F C 42% 19% 38% C- C D F F D- D B D+
0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11 1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28
Nov
15		 Louisville B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% D+ A+ A F D- F A+ A- A+ F+ B B+ F C 35% 15% 50% A- C+ F F F D+ F B+ F
1.06 57% 50% 41% +8 -2 1.13 33% 0.4 .14 22% .44 77% .34 1.39 58% 38% 44% +8 +1 1.19 44% 1.5 .67 14% .46 73% .34
Nov
19		 Bethune-Cookman C- B A+ F C- 51% 22% 27% C C- C- F F A A+ D A+ F+ B F F F 48% 23% 29% D+ F A+ A A+ F A A+ A
1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31 1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13
Nov
24		 George Mason D+ B- A- D+ B- 18% 40% 42% F C- A C- B+ D A+ F+ A- F B- A+ F F+ 35% 15% 51% D+ D- F D F F B+ B- B+
1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23 1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 +1 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Loyola Marymount F F D+ D F 37% 20% 43% B- F D+ F D- F A+ F A+ B+ B- F A+ A 38% 19% 42% D- A- F A- D+ A D+ C- D
0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31 0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21
Dec
3		 Maine B D A+ C- C 49% 16% 35% B C+ A+ F C B- F A+ F B- C- A+ A A- 46% 21% 33% D+ B+ F C+ F A- A+ F+ A
1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13 0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14
Dec
6		 Marshall B- F A+ A+ B 33% 24% 43% C- B F C+ D- A A+ D A- C- D B A+ A 48% 11% 41% F B F+ C- D- C- F D+ F
1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31 1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25
Dec
13		 St. Bonaventure C+ B- A+ D A- 33% 33% 35% F B D A+ A+ B+ F A D- B B- C A A- 43% 33% 24% B- A- D- A- C B- D+ F F
1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17 1.08 56% 42% 29% -2 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27
Dec
20		 Bowling Green F A A+ F F 26% 13% 62% C- F D+ B- C- F A+ F A+ C+ A D- C- B 53% 16% 31% C- B F D F+ A+ F F F
0.86 70% 60% 17% -10 0 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 22% .57 63% .36 1.01 46% 43% 36% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.9 .32 24% .45 83% .37
Dec
30		 Central Michigan D D+ A+ F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F+ F C+ F+ C+ A+ F+ A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A 53% 22% 25% F A- A A+ A+ B- F C F
1.04 55% 57% 18% -7 +2 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .52 65% .34 0.83 67% 36% 0% -9 +1 0.86 21% 0.5 .11 19% .37 70% .26
Jan
3		 Eastern Michigan C- A+ B+ D A- 28% 26% 46% F+ B C- F F F D+ C C- C+ D- A F F 33% 33% 33% B+ D- D- A+ A+ C- F A- F
1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21 1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32
Jan
6		 Massachusetts C+ B B+ A+ A 34% 17% 49% C- A F B+ D C+ D- D- F+ D+ C- D+ F+ D 44% 25% 32% C D B- A+ A+ D B+ F C+
1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23 1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21
Jan
10		 Buffalo B A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 26% 32% D A A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+ C B+ F B B+ 41% 19% 41% C B F B- D D+ C- A+ B
1.24 75% 58% 40% +15 0 1.32 50% 1.3 .64 24% .36 85% .31 1.09 50% 50% 32% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .35 15% .35 64% .22
Jan
13		 Toledo B+ D+ A+ B- B+ 31% 33% 37% F C+ C+ A B+ B A F B- F D+ F F F 40% 30% 30% B- F F F F D C F F+
1.21 56% 59% 37% +8 -2 1.13 36% 1.2 .44 16% .32 63% .20 1.44 62% 75% 44% +17 -1 1.34 46% 1.4 .63 13% .28 94% .26
Jan
16		 Ball St. C- C+ A+ F B- 33% 39% 29% F C D- C- D C A- C A- F C- D C- F 36% 23% 41% B- F+ D+ C- D+ D+ F F F
1.06 63% 53% 29% +5 -3 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 18% .35 79% .27 1.14 56% 40% 33% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 15% .55 81% .44
Jan
20		 Northern Illinois D+ B- D B+ C+ 42% 25% 33% D- C F+ A+ C D A+ C A D- A+ F F F 45% 14% 41% C- F D+ A B B- F F F
1.10 65% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 72% .31 1.06 40% 50% 50% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.6 .19 23% .48 74% .36
Jan
23		 Akron F F D F F 38% 34% 29% F F F A D+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C C+ F B C 41% 30% 30% A C+ D+ A+ A C F C F
0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33 1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
27		 Kent St. F F F F F 42% 9% 49% B+ F D- F F+ B D- C- D- A- A+ F A+ A+ 52% 7% 40% F A F C F A+ F C F
0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19 1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Buffalo A+ A A+ F B 46% 28% 26% D B- C+ C- C+ A+ A+ B- A+ C- D F F F 48% 26% 26% B- F+ B+ F D+ B- F B F
1.33 72% 53% 29% +9 0 1.19 35% 0.9 .32 8% .40 77% .30 1.16 64% 50% 42% +9 0 1.20 22% 1.5 .33 18% .46 70% .32
Feb
3		 Western Michigan A- A A+ A- A 35% 8% 58% B- A C A B C B A+ A C+ C+ A F D 52% 21% 27% F+ D- A A- A F F A+ B+
1.32 72% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.27 30% 1.3 .40 13% .37 82% .30 1.03 52% 27% 50% +1 +1 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 9% .40 40% .16
Feb
7		 Old Dominion C+ A+ B D+ B+ 30% 24% 46% D B D C D+ B F F+ F F+ F A+ F C- 34% 45% 21% A+ C+ F D+ F F C- F F+
1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18 1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27
Feb
13		 Miami (OH) C D+ A+ F C- 34% 26% 40% D+ D+ F A+ D+ A B- F C D C+ A+ F C 48% 20% 31% C- C D F F D F C F
1.03 56% 64% 24% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 13% .32 65% .21 1.25 62% 27% 47% +6 +1 1.15 27% 1.9 .50 13% .45 75% .33
Feb
17		 Ball St. C+ D+ A+ C- C 36% 23% 41% C- C- D- F F A A+ B- A+ C C A C+ D+ 53% 18% 29% F+ D+ D- A C+ D+ C+ A+ B+
1.15 56% 50% 33% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 13% .41 81% .33 0.95 54% 25% 31% -6 +1 0.93 31% 0.6 .19 15% .28 57% .16
Feb
21		 Northern Illinois B- C- B- B+ C 46% 21% 33% C- C D- F F+ A+ A D- B+ C- D A+ F F 50% 13% 37% D F A C- B C A A+ A+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +3 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .23 11% .42 67% .28 1.02 61% 17% 47% +6 +2 1.17 23% 0.9 .20 22% .24 50% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 26.0 27.0 5.7 58.7 4th
5th 22.9 17.3 0.8 40.9 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 22.9 43.3 27.8 6.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 6.1% 4.1% 4.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.9
11-7 27.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 27.0
10-8 43.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 42.3
9-9 22.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 22.5
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.9 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.5 2.0 48.0 48.0 2.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.0%
Lose Out 14.8%