Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#207
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#291
Pace74.5#68
Improvement-1.1#267

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#180
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#256
Layup/Dunks+2.1#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#307
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement-1.2#295

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot+1.6#120
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#344
Layups/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#267
Freethrows+3.4#17
Improvement+0.2#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 18.7% 21.3% 8.7%
.500 or above in Conference 49.1% 51.9% 38.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.0% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 6.1% 10.4%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round2.1% 2.3% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 79.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 47 - 511 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 172 Arkansas St. L 85-89 55%     0 - 1 -8.2 +4.2 -12.1
  Thu, Nov 6 102 Illinois St. W 72-68 32%     1 - 1 +5.7 -0.6 +6.3
  Tue, Nov 11 30 @St. Mary's L 60-90 5%     1 - 2 -13.6 -2.9 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 15 9 @Louisville L 81-106 2%     1 - 3 -2.9 +10.3 -11.2
  Wed, Nov 19 217 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 63%     1 - 4 -9.5 -0.8 -8.9
  Mon, Nov 24 74 George Mason L 69-92 16%     1 - 5 -15.3 +2.4 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 25 114 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 27%     1 - 6 -8.8 -12.2 +3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 321 Maine W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Dec 6 183 Marshall W 82-80 57%    
  Sat, Dec 13 119 St. Bonaventure L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 140 Bowling Green L 75-76 46%    
  Tue, Dec 30 305 @Central Michigan W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 209 @Eastern Michigan L 73-76 39%    
  Tue, Jan 6 181 Massachusetts W 81-79 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 228 Buffalo W 81-77 65%    
  Tue, Jan 13 173 @Toledo L 78-83 33%    
  Fri, Jan 16 277 @Ball St. W 75-74 51%    
  Tue, Jan 20 280 Northern Illinois W 81-75 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 58 Akron L 80-89 21%    
  Tue, Jan 27 124 @Kent St. L 79-88 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 228 @Buffalo L 78-80 44%    
  Tue, Feb 3 243 Western Michigan W 80-75 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 121 @Miami (OH) L 76-85 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 277 Ball St. W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 280 @Northern Illinois W 79-78 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 173 Toledo W 81-80 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 181 @Massachusetts L 78-82 35%    
  Fri, Mar 6 121 Miami (OH) L 79-82 40%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 5.0 1.8 0.2 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 4.8 1.2 0.1 8.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.2 0.3 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.9 0.4 5.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.4 7.2 9.8 12.5 13.2 13.3 11.9 9.3 6.9 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 79.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 56.4% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 27.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
13-5 7.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 13.0% 13.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.2% 18.1% 18.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.1% 10.9% 10.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.2% 11.9% 11.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
13-5 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.8
12-6 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.4
11-7 9.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.9
10-8 11.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.7
9-9 13.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.0
8-10 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.1
7-11 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-12 9.8% 9.8
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 97.7 0.0%