Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.1 #286
Expected Predictive Rating -9.5 #318
Pace 67.6 #226
Improvement -2.7 #308

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #322 D D- D C C-
Defense #203 C- C C B F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #264 1.10 #253 -2.9 #283
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #152 0.69 #259 -0.2 #186
Three Pointers 43% #150 0.91 #299 -1.3 #237
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #301 -4.4 #300
Freethrows 15.7 #272 79% #17 12.4 #195
Second Chance 28.8% #236 0.87 #347 0.25 #313
Turnovers 18.7% #305
Total Offense -5.9 #322

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #74 1.19 #215 -2.9 #277
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #358 0.78 #215 +2.6 #20
Three Pointers 44% #92 0.99 #149 -1.1 #229
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #227 -1.3 #227
Freethrows 14.6 #51 73% #202 10.6 #302
Second Chance 30.8% #181 1.08 #231 0.33 #212
Turnovers 16.9% #167
Total Defense -1.2 #203

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #235 2.5% #354
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.9% #300 0.1% #187
Possession Length 18.3 #275 17.1 #152
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #344 0.17 #169
Improvement -1.3 #262 -1.5 #278

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 81.4% 70.4% 92.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 32 - 102 - 18
Quad 44 - 56 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 38 @UCLA L 63 - 74 3% -10  0 - 1 +5 +5 D A+ C -1 B F B-
 Sat, Nov 15 174 Northern Colorado L 81 - 88 OT 38% -5  0 - 2 -11 -7 D- F D+ -2 C D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 245 New Orleans W 90 - 79 53% +6  1 - 2 +3 +5 B+ F A+ -3 C C A
 Fri, Nov 21 108 Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 63 22% +3  1 - 3 -2 -7 D+ C- F +5 A- F B-
 Wed, Nov 26 152 Fresno St. L 53 - 76 24% -7  1 - 4 -23 -16 F C+ F -7 D F F
 Sat, Nov 29 231 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69 - 83 27% -5  1 - 5 -15 -5 F F C -10 C F D
 Tue, Dec 2 212 Abilene Christian L 63 - 71 45% -8  1 - 6 -14 -4 D- F B -11 D C F
 Sat, Dec 6 195 Vermont L 56 - 65 43% -1  1 - 7 -14 -14 F F F -1 D+ A+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 293 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70 - 62 41% +4  2 - 7 +3 -1 A- F F +5 A+ A+ B-
 Thu, Dec 18 264 @Long Beach St. L 78 - 81 34% +2  2 - 8 -6 +4 A A+ F -10 F C D-
 Sat, Dec 20 247 Rice W 84 - 62 53% +8  3 - 8 +14 +6 A+ B F +7 A+ D B-
 Sun, Dec 28 10 Gonzaga L 56 - 96 2% -22  3 - 9 0 - 1 -23 -10 F B C -12 C- B- C-
 Tue, Dec 30 42 St. Mary's L 45 - 72 7% -12  3 - 10 0 - 2 -18 -18 F C- F -4 C- A- C
 Fri, Jan 2 55 @Santa Clara L 63 - 82 4% -7  3 - 11 0 - 3 -6 -9 F D+ F +4 D A+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 144 @Pacific L 69 - 74 15% -3  3 - 12 0 - 4 -1 +1 C D- C- -3 D F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 222 @San Diego L 63 - 83 26% -12  3 - 13 0 - 5 -20 -7 D F F -14 F D D+
 Sat, Jan 10 103 San Francisco L 60 - 80 20% -12  3 - 14 0 - 6 -18 -8 F D A+ -11 F C+ B-
 Wed, Jan 14 233 Portland L 72 - 73 49%
 Wed, Jan 21 10 @Gonzaga L 60 - 90 0%
 Sat, Jan 24 136 @Washington St. L 66 - 77 14%
 Wed, Jan 28 222 San Diego L 73 - 74 47%
 Wed, Feb 4 121 @Seattle L 61 - 74 12%
 Sat, Feb 7 144 Pacific L 67 - 72 32%
 Wed, Feb 11 42 @St. Mary's L 58 - 80 2%
 Sat, Feb 14 130 Loyola Marymount L 65 - 71 30%
 Wed, Feb 18 233 @Portland L 69 - 75 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 189 @Oregon St. L 65 - 73 21%
 Wed, Feb 25 121 Seattle L 64 - 71 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 136 Washington St. L 69 - 74 31%
Totals 6 - 23 3 - 15 -7 -6 D D- D -1 C- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 1.9 0.1 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.4 4.6 9.5 3.4 0.1 18.0 11th
12th 4.3 14.3 22.8 18.9 6.7 0.3 67.3 12th
Total 4.3 14.3 23.2 23.6 18.3 10.4 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11 1.3% 1.3
6-12 4.3% 4.3
5-13 10.4% 10.4
4-14 18.3% 18.3
3-15 23.6% 23.6
2-16 23.2% 23.2
1-17 14.3% 14.3
0-18 4.3% 4.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%