Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#264
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#295
Pace71.6#132
Improvement-1.1#270

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-4.1#295
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#199
Layup/Dunks-4.3#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement-1.8#330

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#192
First Shot-1.8#233
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#133
Layups/Dunks-2.6#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows+0.9#125
Improvement+0.7#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 3.9% 6.6% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 5.7% 7.8% 3.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.9% 29.8% 40.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 50.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 83 - 16
Quad 46 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 32 @UCLA L 63-74 3%     0 - 1 +5.4 +6.3 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 15 145 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 39%     0 - 2 -9.7 -5.7 -3.0
  Tue, Nov 18 205 New Orleans W 90-79 51%     1 - 2 +5.1 +9.8 -5.3
  Fri, Nov 21 139 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 35%     1 - 3 -4.7 -10.1 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 153 Fresno St. L 53-76 30%     1 - 4 -23.1 -18.1 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 29 324 @Cal St. Fullerton W 81-80 51%    
  Tue, Dec 2 252 Abilene Christian W 68-65 60%    
  Sat, Dec 6 171 Vermont L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Dec 13 271 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-75 40%    
  Thu, Dec 18 298 @Long Beach St. L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Dec 20 213 Rice W 70-69 54%    
  Sun, Dec 28 6 Gonzaga L 65-87 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 30 St. Mary's L 60-76 8%    
  Fri, Jan 2 59 @Santa Clara L 64-82 5%    
  Sun, Jan 4 144 @Pacific L 67-76 20%    
  Thu, Jan 8 247 @San Diego L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 77 San Francisco L 68-78 18%    
  Wed, Jan 14 274 Portland W 76-72 63%    
  Wed, Jan 21 6 @Gonzaga L 62-90 1%    
  Sat, Jan 24 157 @Washington St. L 74-82 23%    
  Wed, Jan 28 247 San Diego W 78-76 57%    
  Wed, Feb 4 116 @Seattle L 65-77 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 144 Pacific L 70-73 39%    
  Wed, Feb 11 30 @St. Mary's L 57-79 3%    
  Sat, Feb 14 114 Loyola Marymount L 66-72 30%    
  Wed, Feb 18 274 @Portland L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 169 @Oregon St. L 65-72 26%    
  Wed, Feb 25 116 Seattle L 68-74 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 157 Washington St. L 77-79 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.6 2.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 1.0 5.4 6.0 1.6 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 6.5 7.7 2.3 0.1 18.2 10th
11th 0.2 2.6 7.9 7.7 2.2 0.2 20.8 11th
12th 1.4 5.6 8.5 6.1 1.6 0.1 23.3 12th
Total 1.4 5.8 11.2 15.5 16.8 16.1 13.1 9.1 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 22.2% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.7% 0.7
10-8 1.5% 1.5
9-9 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 3.2
8-10 5.4% 5.4
7-11 9.1% 9.1
6-12 13.1% 13.1
5-13 16.1% 16.1
4-14 16.8% 16.8
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 11.2% 11.2
1-17 5.8% 5.8
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%