Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#236
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#304
Pace73.0#106
Improvement+1.8#53

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#185
First Shot-1.3#207
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#142
Layup/Dunks+3.9#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows-3.8#350
Improvement+1.8#45

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#301
First Shot-4.3#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#147
Layups/Dunks+2.7#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.2#364
Freethrows+2.2#60
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 9.5% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 24.6% 43.8% 19.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.4% 76.0% 50.1%
Conference Champion 5.2% 13.1% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 0.8% 4.8%
First Four1.8% 2.3% 1.6%
First Round4.7% 8.4% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Away) - 20.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 98 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 12%     0 - 1 -10.8 -0.6 -8.9
  Fri, Nov 7 20 @Ohio St. L 68-94 3%     0 - 2 -7.8 +0.6 -7.4
  Wed, Nov 12 243 @Western Michigan L 71-83 40%     0 - 3 -13.7 -7.9 -4.8
  Tue, Nov 18 125 @Utah L 77-85 17%     0 - 4 -2.3 +10.1 -12.9
  Fri, Nov 21 50 @Saint Louis L 60-91 6%     0 - 5 -17.7 -5.9 -11.7
  Tue, Nov 25 340 Chicago St. W 90-77 82%     1 - 5 -1.0 +12.1 -12.7
  Wed, Dec 3 138 @Oakland L 78-87 20%    
  Sat, Dec 6 198 Northern Kentucky W 78-77 54%    
  Wed, Dec 10 209 Eastern Michigan W 75-73 56%    
  Sun, Dec 14 328 Detroit Mercy W 84-76 77%    
  Sun, Dec 21 66 @Notre Dame L 65-81 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-81 35%    
  Thu, Jan 1 267 Green Bay W 76-72 66%    
  Sun, Jan 4 303 Cleveland St. W 87-81 72%    
  Wed, Jan 7 189 @Youngstown St. L 74-80 31%    
  Sun, Jan 11 185 @Robert Morris L 74-80 30%    
  Sun, Jan 18 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-78 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 328 @Detroit Mercy W 81-79 58%    
  Sun, Jan 25 355 @IU Indianapolis W 96-90 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 Oakland L 81-84 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 185 Robert Morris W 78-77 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 189 Youngstown St. W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 146 @Wright St. L 70-78 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 267 @Green Bay L 73-75 44%    
  Sun, Feb 15 355 IU Indianapolis W 99-87 85%    
  Wed, Feb 18 198 @Northern Kentucky L 75-80 33%    
  Sun, Feb 22 303 @Cleveland St. W 84-83 52%    
  Wed, Feb 25 146 Wright St. L 73-75 44%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.3 4.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 3.7 5.5 2.0 0.2 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.4 2.2 0.2 12.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.1 5.5 2.3 0.2 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.5 1.7 0.2 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 3.2 1.2 0.2 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.7 6.0 8.7 10.9 12.0 12.4 12.2 10.0 8.2 5.7 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 88.1% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 69.6% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.1
15-5 42.9% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 15.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-7 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 35.1% 35.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.9% 21.9% 21.9% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.1% 23.6% 23.6% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
15-5 3.5% 17.1% 17.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.9
14-6 5.7% 13.9% 13.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.9
13-7 8.2% 10.1% 10.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 7.3
12-8 10.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.7 0.2 0.6 9.3
11-9 12.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.1 0.6 11.5
10-10 12.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.0
9-11 12.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 11.7
8-12 10.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.7
7-13 8.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.6
6-14 6.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.8 94.6 0.0%