Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.5 259
Results Rating -2.5 207
Consistency 0.17 272
Pace 70.2 131
Improvement -0.1 191

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 245 C F+ B- D- B-
Defense D+ 261 D D B C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 176 C 57% 191 -0.3 193
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 289 C- 36% 249 -2.3 290
Three Pointers 46% 80 C+ 34% 153 +2.9 82
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 94 C -0.4 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 160
Second Chance F 21.4% 354 C- 0.99 238 F+ 0.21 354
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 31
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 230
Turnovers B- 15.3% 90
Freethrows D- 0.25 334 D 69% 282 D- 0.18 338
Total Offense C- -2.7 245

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 337 C+ 10.2% 130
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 4% 364 B- 3.5% 71
Three Pointers C 85% 178 D+ 1.3% 286
Total D+ 50% 307 C+ 5.1% 118

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 149 D+ 62% 299 +2.4 264
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 350 B 34% 55 -3.0 5
Three Pointers 46% 44 D- 38% 330 +5.3 350
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 334 D +3.6 316
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 328
Second Chance D 34.4% 323 C- 1.07 245 D 0.37 316
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 32
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 178
Turnovers B 19.3% 49
Freethrows B- 0.27 83 D 75% 317 C+ 0.20 115
Total Defense D+ -2.8 261

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 165 D+ 8.9% 252
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 12% 4 C- 3.7% 249
Three Pointers D 88% 300 C 1.0% 128
Total D+ 59% 258 D+ 4.6% 257

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 204 17.0 130
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 131 0.16 166
Consistency 0.13 242 0.10 35
Improvement -2.1 294 +2.1 76

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 274 259 236
Results Rating Rank 236 213 183
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 37% 60% 6%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round3% 4% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Away) - 57.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 65 - 10
Quad 410 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 61 @Grand Canyon L 71 - 90 6% -15  1% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C +0 C+ D+ C+ D -6 F D- B+
 Fri, Nov 7 36 @Ohio St. L 68 - 94 3% -14  0% 0 - 2 D -9 D+ -4 C- C C- D+ -4 F D A+
 Wed, Nov 12 272 @Western Michigan L 71 - 83 42% -1  50% 0 - 3 F+ -15 F -13 F D B- C -1 C- D+ B+
 Tue, Nov 18 99 @Utah L 77 - 85 11% -9  2% 0 - 4 C +0 B+ +9 A- D+ C F+ -9 F B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 25 @Saint Louis L 60 - 91 2% -19  0% 0 - 5 D- -12 D- -6 D- C C D -6 F+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 347 Chicago St. W 90 - 77 84% +4  61% 1 - 5 C- -3 A- +9 A+ F D- F -12 F+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 163 @Oakland L 92 - 101 22% -8  0% 1 - 6 0 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 C+ D- A+ F -12 F D C
 Sat, Dec 6 191 Northern Kentucky W 79 - 77 48% -2  40% 2 - 6 1 - 1 C- -3 D+ -4 A F F C+ +1 C+ C- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 247 Eastern Michigan W 80 - 65 59% +12  95% 3 - 6 B- +7 B+ +8 D+ A+ B C -0 F B C-
 Sun, Dec 14 254 Detroit Mercy W 81 - 77 60% +2  61% 4 - 6 2 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 B- F+ A+ D- -7 C D- D-
 Sun, Dec 21 90 @Notre Dame W 72 - 69 9% +4  89% 5 - 6 B+ +12 C +1 B- F A- A +11 A- B A
 Mon, Dec 29 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 55 - 77 39% -19  4% 5 - 7 2 - 2 F -25 F -21 F F B+ D+ -5 C F A+
 Thu, Jan 1 227 Green Bay L 54 - 72 55% -10  0% 5 - 8 2 - 3 F -25 F -21 D- F F+ D -6 D- D B-
 Sun, Jan 4 316 Cleveland St. W 74 - 71 76% -4  22% 6 - 8 3 - 3 D -10 F+ -10 F+ F B+ C +0 B+ F A
 Wed, Jan 7 204 @Youngstown St. W 71 - 69 28% +0  50% 7 - 8 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +0 C F+ B B- +2 A+ F A
 Sun, Jan 11 161 @Robert Morris W 79 - 74 22% +5  85% 8 - 8 5 - 3 B- +8 A- +11 A A- D C- -3 D- A C-
 Sun, Jan 18 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 100 - 82 62% +9  99% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 A+ +15 A+ C A+ D -6 F A+ B
 Wed, Jan 21 254 @Detroit Mercy W 83 - 76 37% +2  55% 10 - 8 7 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 C+ F A+ C+ +1 C B- C+
 Wed, Jan 28 163 Oakland L 65 - 74 42% -1  30% 10 - 9 7 - 4 D- -12 F -15 F C A B- +3 C- A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 161 Robert Morris W 83 - 71 41% +5  77% 11 - 9 8 - 4 B +9 B- +5 B+ F A B +4 C+ F A
 Wed, Feb 4 204 Youngstown St. L 61 - 90 50% -15  1% 11 - 10 8 - 5 F -34 F -10 C+ F A F -27 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 162 @Wright St. L 68 - 73 22% -8  4% 11 - 11 8 - 6 C- -2 C +1 B F C- D+ -4 D+ F A-
 Thu, Feb 12 227 @Green Bay L 59 - 76 32% -16  0% 11 - 12 8 - 7 F+ -18 F+ -9 D+ C F F -12 D- F C-
 Sun, Feb 15 326 IU Indianapolis W 83 - 78 78% +6  77% 12 - 12 9 - 7 D -8 D- -6 B- F A+ C- -3 C- C+ C+
 Wed, Feb 18 191 @Northern Kentucky L 71 - 87 26% -6  17% 12 - 13 9 - 8 F+ -15 D+ -4 C F B- F -11 F B+ D+
 Sun, Feb 22 316 @Cleveland St. W 92 - 86 55% +6  85% 13 - 13 10 - 8 C -1 C +0 A+ F D C- -2 F D+ C+
 Wed, Feb 25 162 Wright St. L 70 - 74 41% -4  19% 13 - 14 10 - 9 D+ -7 F+ -9 F B+ C B- +2 B+ F C
 Sat, Feb 28 326 @IU Indianapolis W 84 - 82 58%
Totals 14 - 14 11 - 9 -5 C- -3 A- C B- D+ -3 C+ D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C- C+ C 39% 28% 46% B- C F C- F+ B- D- D D- D+ D+ B D- D 40% 14% 46% D D D C- D B B- D C+
1.05 57% 36% 34% 0 +1 1.03 21% 1.0 .21 15% .25 69% .18 1.13 62% 34% 38% +4 +1 1.11 34% 1.1 .37 19% .27 75% .19
Nov
3		 Grand Canyon C B+ B F C+ 30% 23% 47% C C+ F A+ D+ C+ F A+ F D B F F F 48% 6% 46% F F A F D- B+ C C+ C
0.95 61% 43% 25% -4 -1 0.92 16% 1.5 .24 17% .16 90% .14 1.20 54% 67% 48% +9 +3 1.26 25% 1.7 .43 20% .33 75% .25
Nov
7		 Ohio St. D+ A+ F F D+ 38% 24% 38% B C- F A+ C C- C F D+ D+ F F F F 33% 10% 56% F F A- F D A+ A+ C A+
0.94 71% 15% 24% -6 0 0.89 19% 1.4 .28 18% .29 65% .18 1.29 81% 60% 59% +31 +1 1.67 29% 1.5 .43 26% .24 77% .19
Nov
12		 Western Michigan F F C+ F F 30% 13% 57% C- F C- F D B- F B D- C D A+ B- C 43% 14% 43% F C- F A+ D+ B+ B C B-
0.94 50% 38% 23% -12 0 0.79 29% 0.9 .27 12% .24 75% .18 1.09 60% 25% 32% -2 +1 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 20% .25 73% .18
Nov
18		 Utah B+ A F B+ A- 45% 11% 44% B+ A- B+ F D+ C F A- F F+ F B F F 35% 12% 53% C- F D A+ B+ C+ D+ D- D-
1.16 68% 17% 38% +4 +2 1.15 34% 0.7 .23 15% .14 75% .11 1.28 71% 33% 46% +13 +1 1.31 34% 0.7 .24 17% .34 79% .27
Nov
21		 Saint Louis D- D A- F F+ 28% 17% 56% C+ D- D- A+ C C F B+ D- D F F F F 35% 6% 59% B F+ F A+ C- A+ C- F F
0.85 47% 44% 20% -14 0 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 16% .24 79% .19 1.29 72% 67% 43% +15 +2 1.35 48% 0.7 .35 23% .31 94% .29
Nov
25		 Chicago St. A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 4% 48% A- A+ D F F D- D B+ C- F B- F C F 25% 38% 38% B F+ F F F A+ D- F+ F
1.32 74% 50% 52% +21 +3 1.50 30% 0.7 .22 22% .30 81% .24 1.13 50% 50% 33% +2 -3 1.00 50% 1.3 .63 25% .31 81% .25
Dec
3		 Oakland B C+ F B+ C+ 37% 11% 52% B+ C+ F B+ D- A+ B+ F B- F F A+ F F 34% 20% 46% B- F C- F+ D C D C D
1.20 63% 29% 38% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.1 .24 10% .29 65% .19 1.31 89% 9% 42% +11 0 1.23 31% 1.3 .40 14% .36 75% .27
Dec
6		 Northern Kentucky D+ C B+ A+ A 48% 22% 30% C A C F F F B F+ C C+ C B- B- C+ 30% 11% 59% C C+ F A- C- A+ D+ F F
1.05 58% 45% 53% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.5 .15 24% .38 64% .24 1.02 59% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.96 38% 0.9 .32 24% .31 94% .30
Dec
10		 Eastern Michigan B+ C+ F F D 59% 20% 20% B+ D+ D A+ A+ B A A+ A+ C D- F C D- 44% 9% 47% F F A+ F B C- C- A+ A-
1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33 0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13
Dec
14		 Detroit Mercy C+ C A+ D+ C+ 45% 8% 47% B+ B- F A- F+ A+ A- F D- D- A+ B+ F C 33% 33% 33% D+ C D D D- D- B- F C
1.19 58% 75% 32% +1 +2 1.09 19% 1.3 .25 3% .41 52% .21 1.13 42% 32% 47% -1 -2 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 13% .24 86% .20
Dec
21		 Notre Dame C B- D C+ B- 24% 17% 59% C B- F F F A- C- C+ C- A D A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 48% F A- D- A+ B A C F D
1.03 62% 33% 34% 0 -1 1.02 15% 0.8 .12 11% .28 76% .21 0.99 68% 17% 26% -4 +1 0.96 38% 0.7 .27 22% .31 82% .26
Dec
29		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F C+ F F F 38% 9% 54% B- F F F F B+ F F F D+ B- B- C C 37% 22% 41% C- C F F+ F A+ D+ F F+
0.82 62% 20% 23% -9 +1 0.88 11% 0.0 .00 13% .17 60% .10 1.14 53% 36% 33% -3 0 0.96 54% 1.3 .69 24% .29 80% .23
Jan
1		 Green Bay F F F C F 28% 11% 62% B- D- F A F F+ F F F D D- C D+ D- 41% 12% 46% D D- F B- D B- F F F
0.87 46% 20% 34% -5 +1 0.94 15% 1.4 .21 18% .16 38% .06 1.16 65% 40% 37% +5 +1 1.15 30% 1.0 .30 18% .49 92% .45
Jan
4		 Cleveland St. F+ B F D- F 27% 8% 65% C+ F+ F D+ F B+ B B+ B+ C A+ A+ D+ B+ 13% 13% 74% B B+ F F F A A+ F+ A
1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29 1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17
Jan
7		 Youngstown St. C D F A+ C+ 28% 23% 49% D C D F F+ B B+ B- A- B- A A+ A+ A+ 44% 6% 50% F A+ F F F A C- F D+
1.07 54% 27% 43% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 17% .40 77% .31 1.04 48% 0% 25% -14 +2 0.79 41% 1.5 .62 24% .28 79% .22
Jan
11		 Robert Morris A- D+ A+ A+ A+ 28% 23% 49% F+ A D+ A+ A- D D D- F+ C- C- D+ D- D 42% 9% 49% F D- D+ A+ A C- B+ C- B
1.23 54% 64% 43% +12 -1 1.23 27% 1.4 .38 19% .32 71% .23 1.15 59% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 17% .19 70% .13
Jan
18		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A+ A- D- A+ A+ 46% 21% 33% C- A+ D- A+ C A+ D B+ C- D B F F F 45% 25% 30% D+ F B- A+ A+ B F F F
1.37 69% 33% 53% +13 0 1.30 23% 1.6 .35 10% .29 79% .23 1.12 50% 62% 44% +7 0 1.15 29% 0.7 .21 18% .35 81% .28
Jan
21		 Detroit Mercy C+ F F A+ B- 35% 15% 50% C- C+ F F F A+ C+ D+ C C+ D A- F+ C- 28% 40% 32% B C B C B- C+ D+ B+ C-
1.15 47% 25% 44% +2 +1 1.07 23% 0.9 .20 8% .36 71% .26 1.06 63% 30% 39% +1 -3 0.96 28% 0.9 .26 17% .30 72% .22
Jan
28		 Oakland F F A- F+ F 37% 3% 59% A F F A+ C A F F F B- C+ A+ D- C 52% 8% 40% F C- C A+ A- C C- B+ C
0.94 36% 50% 29% -13 +2 0.81 20% 1.7 .34 12% .11 57% .07 1.07 56% 0% 38% -2 +3 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .34 70% .24
Jan
31		 Robert Morris B- D+ F A+ B+ 46% 13% 40% B B+ F C+ F A D- A+ B- B F A+ A+ B 43% 8% 49% F C+ C+ F F A A- A+ A+
1.19 54% 29% 48% +5 +1 1.15 14% 1.0 .14 11% .32 95% .31 1.02 68% 25% 24% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 23% .17 44% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Youngstown St. F B+ B- F+ C 45% 20% 35% C+ C+ F F F A F C- F F F F F F 43% 4% 53% F F A F D- C- A+ B+ A+
0.96 68% 40% 29% +3 0 1.08 10% 0.0 .00 14% .20 73% .15 1.42 76% 50% 58% +27 +2 1.61 21% 1.8 .37 19% .12 67% .08
Feb
7		 Wright St. C C+ A+ C B+ 32% 23% 45% D B F+ F F C- D- B+ D+ D+ F C A+ C- 44% 19% 37% D+ D+ F B- F A- F A+ F+
1.09 60% 64% 33% +6 -1 1.13 23% 0.7 .17 18% .25 77% .19 1.17 74% 38% 25% +2 +1 1.07 48% 1.0 .48 21% .49 58% .28
Feb
12		 Green Bay F+ D+ B+ D- D 47% 18% 34% B D+ B F+ C F B+ A A F C- F D D 62% 18% 21% F+ D- C F F C- F F+ F
1.00 56% 43% 31% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .36 22% .39 83% .33 1.29 58% 57% 38% +5 +2 1.15 24% 2.0 .48 15% .56 82% .46
Feb
15		 IU Indianapolis D- C D+ A+ C 70% 11% 19% A B- F F F A+ B+ F F C- F A- C+ C- 29% 17% 53% C- C- F+ A C+ C+ D F F
1.11 61% 33% 50% +6 +4 1.20 18% 0.6 .11 12% .45 47% .21 1.04 71% 30% 32% +1 0 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 17% .23 86% .19
Feb
18		 Northern Kentucky D+ D+ F C+ D+ 45% 4% 51% A C F D- F B- B A A- F F A+ D F 52% 2% 46% F F C- A+ B+ D+ D+ B- C-
1.00 55% 0% 36% -2 +3 1.04 16% 1.0 .16 18% .38 77% .29 1.22 71% 0% 36% +8 +3 1.24 31% 0.7 .23 15% .32 68% .22
Feb
22		 Cleveland St. C C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 4% 58% A- A+ F F F D B+ F D C- F A+ F F 23% 9% 68% C- F A- F D+ C+ C A- B-
1.21 65% 100% 48% +18 +2 1.42 22% 0.7 .16 17% .36 57% .21 1.13 69% 20% 42% +9 0 1.21 19% 1.5 .29 18% .32 70% .23
Feb
25		 Wright St. F+ D F F F 53% 8% 39% A+ F B- A B+ C A+ F A+ B- A+ A+ F A- 46% 23% 31% C- B+ C- F F C B B+ B+
0.99 54% 25% 16% -14 +3 0.80 33% 1.3 .42 17% .51 63% .32 1.04 42% 25% 44% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 17% .27 69% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 19.2 19.2 4th
5th 30.8 30.8 5th
6th 19.0 7.7 26.8 6th
7th 23.3 23.3 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 42.3 57.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 57.7% 4.3% 4.3% 15.3 0.1 1.6 0.9 55.2
10-10 42.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.3 0.8 41.2
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.4 96.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 15.3 2.2 62.7 35.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.4%
Lose Out 14.7%